0xf1f7…fa11

Профи

Эдж

+5.9pp

ROI

+7%

Доля побед

63% @ 57.1¢

Brier

0.186

Сделок

1177

Ср. размер

$58

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	59% (219/372)	+6%	372
Политика	46% (12/26)	+9%	26
Геополитика	100% (3/3)	+47%	3
Спорт	100% (1/1)	+45%	1

Other372 ставки
Попадания
59% (219/372)
ROI
+6%
Политика26 ставки
Попадания
46% (12/26)
ROI
+9%
Геополитика3 ставки
Попадания
100% (3/3)
ROI
+47%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+45%

История результатов

58% попаданий · 235/402

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$398	45.9¢	Победа
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?	No	$105	87.5¢	Победа
Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Поражение
Trump x Xi talk before July?	No	$29	29.0¢	Поражение
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winner	KT Rolster	$74	68.8¢	Победа
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?	No	$16	85.0¢	Победа
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?	No	$10	49.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	No	$138	46.0¢	Победа
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	Yes	$829	38.1¢	Поражение
Will Solana dip to $100 in April?	No	$47	47.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	No	$162	81.4¢	Победа
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	No	$123	47.4¢	Победа
Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?	No	$44	88.0¢	Победа
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?	No	$145	78.0¢	Победа
Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?	Yes	$560	72.0¢	Победа
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?	Yes	$13	63.0¢	Победа
Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?	No	$18	89.6¢	Победа
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?	Yes	$26	73.1¢	Поражение
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?	No	$9	44.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$580	41.4¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?	No	$51	23.3¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$215	75.5¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	$176	44.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	Yes	$159	39.8¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$296	74.0¢	Победа
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	No	$61	32.3¢	Поражение
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	Yes	$207	75.0¢	Победа
Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?	Yes	$13	25.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump recognize Syrian government before August?	Yes	$41	81.0¢	Победа
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?	No	$239	39.8¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$1.7k	35.1¢	Победа
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?	No	$207	59.0¢	Победа
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?	No	$142	62.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	$36	12.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	No	$40	17.0¢	Поражение
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$12	77.8¢	Победа
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 50 or more times during the March meeting?	Yes	$27	78.4¢	Победа
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?	Yes	$160	76.2¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his Cabinet Meeting on April 30?	Yes	$11	75.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?	No	$89	73.9¢	Победа
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$69	62.7¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$99	66.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?	Yes	$23	23.0¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?	No	$141	47.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$372	74.4¢	Победа
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?	No	$302	62.6¢	Победа
Will XRP reach $2.50 in April?	No	$68	80.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$9	9.0¢	Поражение
Solana above $215 on January 10?	No	$45	45.0¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$237	79.0¢	Победа

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Победа
Yes$398 @ 45.9¢
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Победа
No$105 @ 87.5¢
Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Trump x Xi talk before July?Поражение
No$29 @ 29.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerПобеда
KT Rolster$74 @ 68.8¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?Победа
No$16 @ 85.0¢
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Поражение
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Победа
No$138 @ 46.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Поражение
Yes$829 @ 38.1¢
Will Solana dip to $100 in April?Поражение
No$47 @ 47.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Победа
No$162 @ 81.4¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Победа
No$123 @ 47.4¢
Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?Победа
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Победа
No$145 @ 78.0¢
Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?Победа
Yes$560 @ 72.0¢
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?Победа
Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?Победа
No$18 @ 89.6¢
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Поражение
Yes$26 @ 73.1¢
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Поражение
No$9 @ 44.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$580 @ 41.4¢
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Поражение
No$51 @ 23.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поражение
Yes$215 @ 75.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Победа
No$176 @ 44.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Поражение
Yes$159 @ 39.8¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Победа
No$296 @ 74.0¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Поражение
No$61 @ 32.3¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Победа
Yes$207 @ 75.0¢
Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump recognize Syrian government before August?Победа
Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Поражение
No$239 @ 39.8¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Победа
No$1.7k @ 35.1¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?Победа
No$207 @ 59.0¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Поражение
No$142 @ 62.0¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Поражение
No$36 @ 12.0¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?Поражение
No$40 @ 17.0¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Победа
Yes$12 @ 77.8¢
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 50 or more times during the March meeting?Победа
Yes$27 @ 78.4¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?Поражение
Yes$160 @ 76.2¢
Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his Cabinet Meeting on April 30?Победа
Yes$11 @ 75.0¢
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?Победа
No$89 @ 73.9¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Победа
No$69 @ 62.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Победа
No$99 @ 66.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Поражение
Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Победа
No$141 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Победа
No$372 @ 74.4¢
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Победа
No$302 @ 62.6¢
Will XRP reach $2.50 in April?Победа
No$68 @ 80.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Solana above $215 on January 10?Победа
No$45 @ 45.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Победа
No$237 @ 79.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$150	50.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Политика	Yes	$99	66.0¢

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$150 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Политика
Yes$99 @ 66.0¢