0xf0ed…87b1

Прибыльный

Эдж

+5.1pp

ROI

+7%

Доля побед

48% @ 42.8¢

Brier

0.228

Сделок

856

Ср. размер

$20

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Спорт	48% (44/91)	+6%	91
Other	50% (27/54)	+14%	54
Технологии	59% (20/34)	-0%	34
Политика	35% (12/34)	-2%	34
Бизнес	68% (13/19)	+107%	19
Геополитика	50% (7/14)	-1%	14
Крипто	17% (2/12)	+172%	12
Экономика	64% (7/11)	+40%	11
Культура	38% (3/8)	+22%	8
Наука	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Спорт91 ставки
Попадания
48% (44/91)
ROI
+6%
Other54 ставки
Попадания
50% (27/54)
ROI
+14%
Технологии34 ставки
Попадания
59% (20/34)
ROI
-0%
Политика34 ставки
Попадания
35% (12/34)
ROI
-2%
Бизнес19 ставки
Попадания
68% (13/19)
ROI
+107%
Геополитика14 ставки
Попадания
50% (7/14)
ROI
-1%
Крипто12 ставки
Попадания
17% (2/12)
ROI
+172%
Экономика11 ставки
Попадания
64% (7/11)
ROI
+40%
Культура8 ставки
Попадания
38% (3/8)
ROI
+22%
Наука1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

49% попаданий · 135/278

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Javonte Williams have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	$2	11.0¢	Поражение
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)	Raptors	$58	58.0¢	Победа
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)	Wizards	$40	40.0¢	Поражение
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	$460	64.8¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	$424	84.7¢	Победа
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	$0	27.0¢	Поражение
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 5 above $315?	Yes	$84	84.3¢	Победа
Navy vs. Air Force: O/U 41.5	Over	$1	55.0¢	Поражение
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Победа
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 257.5	Under	$5	46.0¢	Победа
Oregon State vs. Colorado State: O/U 59.5	Over	$5	51.0¢	Победа
CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	$109	44.0¢	Поражение
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)	Raptors	$60	60.0¢	Победа
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$96	41.9¢	Победа
Braunschweig: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Max Schoenhaus	Roman Andres Burruchaga	$24	69.7¢	Поражение
Paris curfew by October 24?	No	$28	20.7¢	Поражение
Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	$249	46.4¢	Победа
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5	Over	$235	55.8¢	Поражение
Spread: Texas (-13.5)	Oklahoma	$51	54.0¢	Победа
Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?	No	$6	2.8¢	Поражение
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$87	87.0¢	Победа
Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $32.4B?	No	$81	79.2¢	Победа
Spread: Wales (-2.5)	Wales	$9	43.0¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 22?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Поражение
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in October?	No	$2	2.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Победа
Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 13+ innings?	Yes	$0	18.0¢	Поражение
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	No	$2	1.6¢	Поражение
Will "Digger" score at least 51 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$2	8.0¢	Поражение
Will Kentucky have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	$0	9.0¢	Поражение
Bears vs. Packers: O/U 44.5	Under	$50	50.0¢	Победа
Will there be 7+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Поражение
Meta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026?	No	$22	34.1¢	Поражение
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)	Golden State Valkyries	$13	4.0¢	Поражение
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?	Yes	$69	69.0¢	Победа
East Tennessee State vs. The Citadel: O/U 53.5	Under	$204	45.7¢	Победа
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$2	6.9¢	Поражение
Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	27.0¢	Победа
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.49% in October?	Yes	$11	26.2¢	Победа
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	$11	87.0¢	Победа
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	$109	13.1¢	Поражение
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$80	16.0¢	Победа
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	$66	41.0¢	Победа
76ers Team Total: O/U 114.5	Over	$5	69.0¢	Поражение
Spread: Texas (-10.5)	Texas	$81	41.5¢	Поражение
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)	Timberwolves	$334	66.1¢	Победа
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	$17	17.0¢	Поражение
Spread: Patriots (-8.5)	Patriots	$16	16.0¢	Поражение
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October?	No	$6	69.0¢	Поражение
Paris curfew by October 31?	Yes	$106	47.5¢	Победа

Will Javonte Williams have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Поражение
No$2 @ 11.0¢
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Победа
Raptors$58 @ 58.0¢
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Поражение
Wizards$40 @ 40.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?Победа
Yes$460 @ 64.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Победа
Yes$424 @ 84.7¢
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 27.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 5 above $315?Победа
Yes$84 @ 84.3¢
Navy vs. Air Force: O/U 41.5Поражение
Over$1 @ 55.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?Победа
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 257.5Победа
Under$5 @ 46.0¢
Oregon State vs. Colorado State: O/U 59.5Победа
Over$5 @ 51.0¢
CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5Поражение
Over$109 @ 44.0¢
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Победа
Raptors$60 @ 60.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$96 @ 41.9¢
Braunschweig: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Max SchoenhausПоражение
Roman Andres Burruchaga$24 @ 69.7¢
Paris curfew by October 24?Поражение
No$28 @ 20.7¢
Paris curfew by October 24?Победа
Yes$249 @ 46.4¢
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Поражение
Over$235 @ 55.8¢
Spread: Texas (-13.5)Победа
Oklahoma$51 @ 54.0¢
Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?Поражение
No$6 @ 2.8¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$87 @ 87.0¢
Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $32.4B?Победа
No$81 @ 79.2¢
Spread: Wales (-2.5)Победа
Wales$9 @ 43.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 22?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in October?Поражение
No$2 @ 2.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Победа
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 13+ innings?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 18.0¢
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Поражение
No$2 @ 1.6¢
Will "Digger" score at least 51 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Поражение
No$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Kentucky have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Поражение
No$0 @ 9.0¢
Bears vs. Packers: O/U 44.5Победа
Under$50 @ 50.0¢
Will there be 7+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Meta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026?Поражение
No$22 @ 34.1¢
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)Поражение
Golden State Valkyries$13 @ 4.0¢
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?Победа
Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
East Tennessee State vs. The Citadel: O/U 53.5Победа
Under$204 @ 45.7¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of October 19 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 6.9¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.49% in October?Победа
Yes$11 @ 26.2¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Победа
Yes$11 @ 87.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$109 @ 13.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$80 @ 16.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Победа
No$66 @ 41.0¢
76ers Team Total: O/U 114.5Поражение
Over$5 @ 69.0¢
Spread: Texas (-10.5)Поражение
Texas$81 @ 41.5¢
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Победа
Timberwolves$334 @ 66.1¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of October 12 2026?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
Spread: Patriots (-8.5)Поражение
Patriots$16 @ 16.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October?Поражение
No$6 @ 69.0¢
Paris curfew by October 31?Победа
Yes$106 @ 47.5¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Политика	Yes	$2.1k	78.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Геополитика	Yes	$957	95.7¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$840	84.0¢
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$505	54.4¢
Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Крипто	No	$484	96.8¢
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $45B by October 31?	Other	No	$409	81.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Геополитика	Yes	$371	93.5¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$351	44.3¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31?	Other	No	$314	62.8¢
Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by October 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$310	92.5¢
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$298	73.9¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $950B by October 31?	Технологии	No	$274	87.6¢
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Политика	No	$243	48.5¢
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$235	97.9¢
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Технологии	No	$231	79.0¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	Технологии	No	$230	76.7¢
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	Крипто	No	$215	94.0¢
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?	Крипто	No	$206	82.3¢
Will XRP reach $2.80 in October?	Крипто	No	$189	96.6¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?	Крипто	No	$174	94.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31?	Other	No	$167	94.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Геополитика	Yes	$158	87.9¢
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$157	94.1¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$150	15.0¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$150	83.2¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Политика	Yes	$146	46.9¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $157.5B by October 31?	Other	Yes	$123	22.1¢
Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by November 30?	Политика	No	$122	81.7¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Политика	No	$122	51.4¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Крипто	Yes	$118	59.6¢

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Политика
Yes$2.1k @ 78.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?Геополитика
Yes$957 @ 95.7¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Геополитика
No$840 @ 84.0¢
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Политика
Yes$505 @ 54.4¢
Will Solana reach $140 in October?Крипто
No$484 @ 96.8¢
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $45B by October 31?Other
No$409 @ 81.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?Геополитика
Yes$371 @ 93.5¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Технологии
Yes$351 @ 44.3¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31?Other
No$314 @ 62.8¢
Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by October 31, 2026?Политика
No$310 @ 92.5¢
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$298 @ 73.9¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $950B by October 31?Технологии
No$274 @ 87.6¢
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Политика
No$243 @ 48.5¢
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?Крипто
No$235 @ 97.9¢
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Технологии
No$231 @ 79.0¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Технологии
No$230 @ 76.7¢
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?Крипто
No$215 @ 94.0¢
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?Крипто
No$206 @ 82.3¢
Will XRP reach $2.80 in October?Крипто
No$189 @ 96.6¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?Крипто
No$174 @ 94.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31?Other
No$167 @ 94.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Геополитика
Yes$158 @ 87.9¢
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Политика
No$157 @ 94.1¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$150 @ 15.0¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Политика
Yes$150 @ 83.2¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?Политика
Yes$146 @ 46.9¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $157.5B by October 31?Other
Yes$123 @ 22.1¢
Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by November 30?Политика
No$122 @ 81.7¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Политика
No$122 @ 51.4¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?Крипто
Yes$118 @ 59.6¢