0xefdd…8370

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

• Other177 ставки

  Попадания

  48% (85/177)

  ROI

  +27%

• Политика125 ставки

  Попадания

  65% (81/125)

  ROI

  +5%

• Геополитика49 ставки

  Попадания

  63% (31/49)

  ROI

  -9%

• Технологии33 ставки

  Попадания

  52% (17/33)

  ROI

  +1%

• Экономика3 ставки

  Попадания

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  -76%

• Культура1 ставки

  Попадания

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +276%

• Бизнес1 ставки

  Попадания

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Победа
  Yes$194 @ 12.8¢
• Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?Победа
  Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
• NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Поражение
  No$368 @ 60.2¢
• NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Победа
  Yes$121 @ 56.2¢
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Победа
  No$87 @ 87.3¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Поражение
  No$361 @ 70.8¢
• Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Поражение
  No$303 @ 21.6¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Победа
  No$260 @ 75.4¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Победа
  No$2.3k @ 49.5¢
• Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Победа
  No$174 @ 87.0¢
• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Победа
  No$28 @ 79.3¢
• Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?Победа
  No$4 @ 88.0¢
• VEO 4 released by April 30, 2026?Победа
  No$12 @ 62.0¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Победа
  No$76 @ 79.5¢
• FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa?Поражение
  No$108 @ 15.0¢
• Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Поражение
  No$146 @ 20.5¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
  No$686 @ 68.7¢
• Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Победа
  No$197 @ 66.9¢
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Поражение
  No$613 @ 8.4¢
• GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Поражение
  No$14 @ 27.0¢
• US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Победа
  No$375 @ 85.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Поражение
  No$24 @ 22.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Победа
  No$125 @ 86.0¢
• Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Поражение
  No$502 @ 69.2¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Победа
  No$78 @ 39.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поражение
  No$488 @ 81.3¢
• Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Победа
  No$6 @ 70.0¢
• Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 7?Победа
  No$0 @ 11.6¢
• Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Поражение
  Yes$127 @ 7.9¢
• Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Победа
  No$124 @ 66.7¢
• Kurds declare independence from Iran?Победа
  No$385 @ 71.8¢
• FDA approves Elevar Therapeutics' Rivoceranib + camrelizumab?Поражение
  Yes$22 @ 5.4¢
• GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Победа
  No$38 @ 75.0¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Победа
  No$126 @ 61.3¢
• FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?Поражение
  Yes$109 @ 67.0¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Поражение
  No$439 @ 35.6¢
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Победа
  No$95 @ 43.3¢
• Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Победа
  No$94 @ 37.4¢
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Поражение
  No$271 @ 50.4¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Победа
  No$234 @ 83.5¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Победа
  No$92 @ 73.2¢
• Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$105 @ 10.8¢
• Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?Победа
  Yes$21 @ 66.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Победа
  No$74 @ 49.3¢
• Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Победа
  No$282 @ 26.6¢
• Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
  No$1.4k @ 9.3¢
• Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Победа
  Yes$81 @ 23.0¢
• Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?Поражение
  Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
• Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Победа
  No$184 @ 73.4¢
• Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be at least $1.4B at market close on IPO day?Победа
  No$42 @ 86.0¢

Текущие позиции

• Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Политика
  Yes$430 @ 46.4¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Экономика
  No$389 @ 34.7¢
• Will the UK Budget include a wealth tax?Политика
  No$271 @ 81.0¢
• Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Политика
  No$256 @ 84.1¢
• Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Технологии
  No$241 @ 77.1¢
• Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?Политика
  No$219 @ 50.0¢
• No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Геополитика
  Yes$165 @ 35.3¢
• Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$163 @ 31.5¢
• US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Политика
  No$77 @ 71.1¢
• Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Геополитика
  No$45 @ 31.0¢
• Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by September 30?Политика
  No$41 @ 41.0¢
• Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$25 @ 66.3¢
• Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$4 @ 5.0¢
• Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?Политика
  No$0 @ 25.0¢