0xefab…b927

Профи

Эдж

+2.9pp

ROI

+8%

Доля побед

37% @ 34.5¢

Brier

0.132

Сделок

2163

Ср. размер

$31

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	41% (127/309)	+3%	309
Политика	79% (11/14)	+63%	14
Спорт	22% (2/9)	-38%	9
Геополитика	100% (4/4)	+46%	4
Технологии	50% (1/2)	-78%	2
Культура	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other309 ставки
Попадания
41% (127/309)
ROI
+3%
Политика14 ставки
Попадания
79% (11/14)
ROI
+63%
Спорт9 ставки
Попадания
22% (2/9)
ROI
-38%
Геополитика4 ставки
Попадания
100% (4/4)
ROI
+46%
Технологии2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-78%
Культура1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

43% попаданий · 145/339

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	$894	74.4¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$706	58.9¢	Победа
Will MrBeast's next video get between 82 and 83 million views on week 1?	Yes	$33	11.0¢	Поражение
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?	Yes	$46	23.0¢	Поражение
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$172	86.0¢	Победа
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$47	31.7¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	$651	76.6¢	Победа
TikTok sale announced by March 31?	No	$891	42.4¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$1.1k	24.5¢	Поражение
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?	No	$14	9.0¢	Поражение
Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?	Yes	$335	27.9¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?	Yes	$129	16.1¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	$192	16.0¢	Поражение
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?	No	$142	71.0¢	Победа
Will Justin Young win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поражение
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$147	73.6¢	Победа
Will Matt Berkey win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?	Yes	$8	12.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$41	20.5¢	Поражение
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?	Yes	$18	17.5¢	Поражение
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	$46	46.0¢	Поражение
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$12	8.2¢	Поражение
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	$63	63.1¢	Победа
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4?	Yes	$46	15.4¢	Поражение
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$32	6.5¢	Поражение
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?	No	$87	86.8¢	Победа
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	$15	5.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	No	$340	68.0¢	Победа
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$20	87.0¢	Победа
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	$26	17.0¢	Поражение
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$31	10.5¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	$136	54.4¢	Победа
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$100	7.1¢	Поражение
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?	No	$108	43.0¢	Победа
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?	Yes	$143	57.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$75	74.3¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$46	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?	No	$599	74.9¢	Победа
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	$17	20.9¢	Поражение
Grokipedia released by October 31?	No	$8	16.0¢	Поражение
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	$4	6.9¢	Поражение
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?	Yes	$23	15.0¢	Поражение
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?	No	$228	76.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$268	67.0¢	Поражение
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?	Yes	$246	81.9¢	Победа
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?	Yes	$69	69.0¢	Победа
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$90	60.0¢	Победа
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?	No	$52	88.3¢	Победа
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$65	32.6¢	Поражение

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Поражение
No$894 @ 74.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Победа
Yes$706 @ 58.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 82 and 83 million views on week 1?Поражение
Yes$33 @ 11.0¢
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?Поражение
Yes$46 @ 23.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Победа
Yes$172 @ 86.0¢
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Поражение
No$47 @ 31.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Победа
Yes$651 @ 76.6¢
TikTok sale announced by March 31?Поражение
No$891 @ 42.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Поражение
Yes$1.1k @ 24.5¢
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?Поражение
No$14 @ 9.0¢
Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?Поражение
Yes$335 @ 27.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?Поражение
Yes$129 @ 16.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Поражение
Yes$192 @ 16.0¢
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Победа
No$142 @ 71.0¢
Will Justin Young win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Победа
Yes$147 @ 73.6¢
Will Matt Berkey win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 12.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$41 @ 20.5¢
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 17.5¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Поражение
No$46 @ 46.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?Поражение
Yes$12 @ 8.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Победа
No$63 @ 63.1¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4?Поражение
Yes$46 @ 15.4¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$32 @ 6.5¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?Победа
No$87 @ 86.8¢
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 5.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Победа
No$340 @ 68.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Победа
No$20 @ 87.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Поражение
Yes$26 @ 17.0¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Поражение
Yes$31 @ 10.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Победа
No$136 @ 54.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 7.1¢
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Победа
No$108 @ 43.0¢
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Поражение
Yes$143 @ 57.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Победа
No$75 @ 74.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$46 @ 13.0¢
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Победа
No$599 @ 74.9¢
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 20.9¢
Grokipedia released by October 31?Поражение
No$8 @ 16.0¢
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 6.9¢
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?Поражение
Yes$23 @ 15.0¢
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Победа
No$228 @ 76.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поражение
No$268 @ 67.0¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?Победа
Yes$246 @ 81.9¢
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?Победа
Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Победа
No$90 @ 60.0¢
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?Победа
No$52 @ 88.3¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$65 @ 32.6¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$2.3k	85.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Политика	No	$844	84.4¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Политика	No	$689	86.1¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Политика	No	$653	87.1¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Политика	No	$485	80.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$288	72.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$267	66.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Политика	Yes	$219	43.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$182	36.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$174	2.9¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Политика	No	$170	68.0¢
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$165	55.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$147	42.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$89	2.2¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$65	25.9¢
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$45	0.9¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$40	2.6¢

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$2.3k @ 85.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Политика
No$844 @ 84.4¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Политика
No$689 @ 86.1¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Политика
No$653 @ 87.1¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Политика
No$485 @ 80.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
No$288 @ 72.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$267 @ 66.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseПолитика
Yes$219 @ 43.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$182 @ 36.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$174 @ 2.9¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Политика
No$170 @ 68.0¢
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$165 @ 55.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$147 @ 42.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$89 @ 2.2¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$65 @ 25.9¢
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$45 @ 0.9¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$40 @ 2.6¢