← Умные деньги
0xee67…fd6d
ПрофиЭдж
+4.5pp
ROI
+6%
Доля побед
63% @ 58.3¢
Brier
0.174
Сделок
880
Ср. размер
$108
Динамика ROI
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 68% (86/127) | +10% | 127 |
| Политика | 79% (30/38) | +19% | 38 |
| Геополитика | 75% (9/12) | +1% | 12 |
| Спорт | 50% (2/4) | -71% | 4 |
| Крипто | 100% (1/1) | +167% | 1 |
- Other127 ставки
- Попадания
- 68% (86/127)
- ROI
- +10%
- Политика38 ставки
- Попадания
- 79% (30/38)
- ROI
- +19%
- Геополитика12 ставки
- Попадания
- 75% (9/12)
- ROI
- +1%
- Спорт4 ставки
- Попадания
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -71%
- Крипто1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +167%
История результатов
70% попаданий · 128/182- No$26 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$720 @ 65.2¢
- Yes$98 @ 7.6¢
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?ПоражениеYes$32 @ 5.0¢
- No$390 @ 69.1¢
- Yes$78 @ 64.8¢
- No$146 @ 81.8¢
- Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?ПоражениеNo$492 @ 82.0¢
- Will Circle IPO in 2024?ПобедаNo$502 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 23.0¢
- No$9 @ 1.5¢
- No$229 @ 76.2¢
- Yes$38 @ 25.9¢
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?ПобедаNo$11 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 75.9¢
- No$622 @ 85.8¢
- No$145 @ 42.0¢
- No$165 @ 47.4¢
- No$492 @ 88.0¢
- No$20 @ 69.5¢
- No$134 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$112 @ 46.6¢
- No$4.6k @ 76.4¢
- No$131 @ 89.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 3.0¢
- No$124 @ 82.0¢
- No$180 @ 70.9¢
- No$239 @ 79.7¢
- No$163 @ 81.5¢
- No$127 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.3¢
- No$2.5k @ 37.4¢
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?ПоражениеYes$201 @ 31.0¢
- No$233 @ 81.1¢
- No$420 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 17.0¢
- No$504 @ 72.0¢
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?ПобедаNo$3.2k @ 78.9¢
- Base airdrop in 2024?ПобедаNo$268 @ 84.3¢
- No$858 @ 89.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 87.4¢
- No$4 @ 14.4¢
- Solana ETF approved by July 31?ПоражениеNo$199 @ 35.3¢
- No$279 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 9.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
- No$175 @ 77.0¢
- No$26 @ 85.0¢
- No$597 @ 85.3¢
Недавние сделки
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Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Other | No | $2.8k | 85.9¢ |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | Политика | No | $2.1k | 83.0¢ |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Геополитика | No | $1.8k | 91.5¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Политика | No | $1.5k | 84.0¢ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Политика | No | $1.4k | 94.9¢ |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Крипто | No | $1.3k | 89.7¢ |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Политика | No | $1.1k | 96.9¢ |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Крипто | No | $845 | 95.1¢ |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Политика | No | $838 | 93.1¢ |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Политика | No | $534 | 89.0¢ |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027? | Политика | No | $180 | 60.0¢ |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Крипто | No | $1 | 50.5¢ |
- No$2.8k @ 85.9¢
- Viktor Orbán arrested by...?ПолитикаNo$2.1k @ 83.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 91.5¢
- No$1.5k @ 84.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 94.9¢
- No$1.3k @ 89.7¢
- No$1.1k @ 96.9¢
- No$845 @ 95.1¢
- No$838 @ 93.1¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?ПолитикаNo$534 @ 89.0¢
- No$180 @ 60.0¢
- No$1 @ 50.5¢