0xed33…ad20

Прибыльный

Эдж

+9.9pp

ROI

+37%

Доля побед

44% @ 34.5¢

Brier

0.238

Сделок

268

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	41% (49/119)	+49%	119
Спорт	60% (3/5)	+27%	5
Политика	25% (1/4)	-90%	4
Экономика	50% (2/4)	-20%	4
Геополитика	50% (1/2)	-29%	2

Other119 ставки
Попадания
41% (49/119)
ROI
+49%
Спорт5 ставки
Попадания
60% (3/5)
ROI
+27%
Политика4 ставки
Попадания
25% (1/4)
ROI
-90%
Экономика4 ставки
Попадания
50% (2/4)
ROI
-20%
Геополитика2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-29%

История результатов

42% попаданий · 56/134

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-22?	Yes	$13	41.1¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	$4	3.0¢	Поражение
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	$7	75.0¢	Победа
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?	No	$5	49.0¢	Поражение
Hornets vs. Knicks	Knicks	$31	18.4¢	Поражение
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	$5	50.0¢	Поражение
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	No	$8	79.0¢	Победа
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?	No	$8	85.0¢	Победа
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs	New York Mets	$5	43.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	$10	1.5¢	Поражение
Suns vs. Lakers	Lakers	$10	39.0¢	Победа
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$5	65.0¢	Победа
Warriors vs. Kings	Kings	$5	16.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	$10	81.5¢	Победа
Will Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	$3	26.0¢	Поражение
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Over	$3	49.0¢	Победа
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Under	$4	52.0¢	Поражение
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	$6	62.0¢	Победа
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5	Over	$5	48.0¢	Поражение
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	No	$4	88.9¢	Победа
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$3	41.0¢	Поражение
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	$5	58.8¢	Победа
Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?	Yes	$6	29.0¢	Поражение
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$5	23.0¢	Поражение
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$5	17.0¢	Поражение
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha	TEC Esports	$2	42.0¢	Поражение
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	$4	19.0¢	Победа
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?	Yes	$6	18.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	$5	30.7¢	Победа
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$3	53.0¢	Победа
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	$3	38.0¢	Победа
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	$4	63.0¢	Поражение
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	$86	17.9¢	Победа
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$6	19.0¢	Поражение
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Fnatic	$10	44.0¢	Поражение
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?	Yes	$4	33.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	$3	1.6¢	Поражение
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?	No	$8	87.0¢	Победа
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	$4	63.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$12	42.0¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$28	58.0¢	Поражение
Raptors vs. Suns	Suns	$10	38.0¢	Победа
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	$5	46.0¢	Поражение
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$1	8.0¢	Поражение
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$19	20.0¢	Поражение
Will AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	No	$9	77.0¢	Победа
Will AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	Yes	$9	23.0¢	Поражение
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	$5	29.0¢	Победа
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?	No	$5	50.0¢	Поражение
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$14	36.5¢	Победа

Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-22?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 41.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Победа
No$7 @ 75.0¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?Поражение
No$5 @ 49.0¢
Hornets vs. KnicksПоражение
Knicks$31 @ 18.4¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesПоражение
Philadelphia Phillies$5 @ 50.0¢
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?Победа
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?Победа
No$8 @ 85.0¢
New York Mets vs. Chicago CubsПоражение
New York Mets$5 @ 43.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
Suns vs. LakersПобеда
Lakers$10 @ 39.0¢
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Победа
Over$5 @ 65.0¢
Warriors vs. KingsПобеда
Kings$5 @ 16.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Победа
No$10 @ 81.5¢
Will Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 26.0¢
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Победа
Over$3 @ 49.0¢
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Поражение
Under$4 @ 52.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Победа
No$6 @ 62.0¢
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Поражение
Over$5 @ 48.0¢
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Победа
No$4 @ 88.9¢
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Поражение
No$3 @ 41.0¢
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Победа
Yes$5 @ 58.8¢
Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 29.0¢
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-19?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 17.0¢
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group AlphaПоражение
TEC Esports$2 @ 42.0¢
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Победа
Yes$4 @ 19.0¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 18.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Победа
Yes$5 @ 30.7¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Победа
Under$3 @ 53.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Победа
No$3 @ 38.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 63.0¢
Timberwolves vs. SpursПобеда
Timberwolves$86 @ 17.9¢
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Поражение
Under$6 @ 19.0¢
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonПоражение
Fnatic$10 @ 44.0¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 33.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 1.6¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?Победа
No$8 @ 87.0¢
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendПоражение
JD Gaming$4 @ 63.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Победа
No$12 @ 42.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
Yes$28 @ 58.0¢
Raptors vs. SunsПобеда
Suns$10 @ 38.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Поражение
Gen.G$5 @ 46.0¢
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Поражение
Under$1 @ 8.0¢
Blue Jackets vs. CanadiensПоражение
Canadiens$19 @ 20.0¢
Will AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?Победа
No$9 @ 77.0¢
Will AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 23.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonПобеда
Team Vitality$5 @ 29.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Поражение
No$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Победа
Yes$14 @ 36.5¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Политика	No	$4	49.0¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	1.9¢
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	1.3¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	1.1¢
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	1.1¢
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	1.1¢
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	0.9¢
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	0.7¢
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	0.7¢
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	0.6¢
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$0	0.6¢

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseПолитика
No$4 @ 49.0¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢