0xea85…12dd

Профи

Эдж

+10.2pp

ROI

+9%

Доля побед

54% @ 44.0¢

Brier

0.157

Сделок

190

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	42% (8/19)	-13%	19
Other	33% (2/6)	-29%	6
Крипто	50% (3/6)	+31%	6
Технологии	100% (2/2)	+105%	2
Геополитика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Политика19 ставки
Попадания
42% (8/19)
ROI
-13%
Other6 ставки
Попадания
33% (2/6)
ROI
-29%
Крипто6 ставки
Попадания
50% (3/6)
ROI
+31%
Технологии2 ставки
Попадания
100% (2/2)
ROI
+105%
Геополитика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

44% попаданий · 15/34

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	59.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$28	18.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$6	21.8¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$1	86.9¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$40	57.2¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$23	17.7¢	Поражение
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$1	83.0¢	Поражение
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$11	42.2¢	Победа
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$5	1.1¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$4	39.0¢	Поражение
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$2	83.0¢	Победа
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$5	7.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$6	51.7¢	Поражение
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	$1	56.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$10	34.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	35.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	28.9¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$44	58.9¢	Победа
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$1	5.0¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$14	78.2¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	$2	51.6¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	36.1¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	$4	78.6¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	$3	7.0¢	Поражение
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	No	$9	77.0¢	Поражение
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	Yes	$5	40.4¢	Победа
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$4	46.1¢	Победа
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$2	57.3¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	$2	33.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	81.2¢	Победа
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$1	39.0¢	Победа
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	$1	62.0¢	Победа

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$28 @ 18.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 21.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Победа
No$1 @ 86.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$40 @ 57.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$23 @ 17.7¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Поражение
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Победа
Yes$11 @ 42.2¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 39.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Победа
No$2 @ 83.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 7.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$6 @ 51.7¢
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 56.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$10 @ 34.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 35.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$1 @ 28.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$44 @ 58.9¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Поражение
No$1 @ 5.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Победа
Yes$14 @ 78.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Поражение
No$2 @ 51.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$2 @ 36.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Победа
No$4 @ 78.6¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Поражение
No$9 @ 77.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Победа
Yes$5 @ 40.4¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Победа
No$4 @ 46.1¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 57.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$2 @ 33.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$5 @ 81.2¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Победа
No$1 @ 39.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Победа
No$1 @ 62.0¢

Недавние сделки

в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировки

Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Политика	Yes	$534	75.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$175	20.2¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$93	72.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$72	23.7¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$66	25.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$43	97.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$33	72.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$30	17.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	—	No	$23	90.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$21	38.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Политика	No	$10	97.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	27.0¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	—	No	$10	51.8¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$9	32.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Политика	Yes	$8	14.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$8	55.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$8	22.8¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$8	88.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$8	0.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$7	27.1¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Наука	No	$7	91.5¢
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$6	83.0¢
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$5	88.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	Yes	$5	16.4¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$4	32.2¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Спорт	Yes	$4	38.4¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$4	17.0¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	—	Yes	$3	72.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$2	70.0¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$2	36.0¢

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Политика
Yes$534 @ 75.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
Yes$175 @ 20.2¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?—
No$93 @ 72.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?—
Yes$72 @ 23.7¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$66 @ 25.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
No$43 @ 97.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$33 @ 72.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Политика
Yes$30 @ 17.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?—
No$23 @ 90.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?—
No$21 @ 38.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Политика
No$10 @ 97.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 27.0¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?—
No$10 @ 51.8¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Геополитика
Yes$9 @ 32.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Политика
Yes$8 @ 14.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Политика
Yes$8 @ 55.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$8 @ 22.8¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Геополитика
No$8 @ 88.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?—
Yes$8 @ 0.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?—
Yes$7 @ 27.1¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Наука
No$7 @ 91.5¢
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Наука
Yes$6 @ 83.0¢
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Наука
Yes$5 @ 88.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
Yes$5 @ 16.4¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$4 @ 32.2¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Спорт
Yes$4 @ 38.4¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$4 @ 17.0¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?—
Yes$3 @ 72.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Политика
Yes$2 @ 70.0¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Наука
Yes$2 @ 36.0¢