0xe8a6…644b

Профи

Эдж

+5.3pp

ROI

+27%

Доля побед

31% @ 25.2¢

Brier

0.107

Сделок

3280

Ср. размер

$18

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	35% (35/100)	+16%	100
Политика	34% (26/77)	+45%	77
Спорт	20% (9/46)	-13%	46
Геополитика	29% (6/21)	-55%	21
Технологии	25% (2/8)	+85%	8
Наука	17% (1/6)	+22%	6
Культура	33% (1/3)	-26%	3

Other100 ставки
Попадания
35% (35/100)
ROI
+16%
Политика77 ставки
Попадания
34% (26/77)
ROI
+45%
Спорт46 ставки
Попадания
20% (9/46)
ROI
-13%
Геополитика21 ставки
Попадания
29% (6/21)
ROI
-55%
Технологии8 ставки
Попадания
25% (2/8)
ROI
+85%
Наука6 ставки
Попадания
17% (1/6)
ROI
+22%
Культура3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
-26%

История результатов

31% попаданий · 80/261

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	$43	85.0¢	Победа
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Поражение
Will David Lammy be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Поражение
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	$13	68.0¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$85	0.6¢	Поражение
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$289	11.8¢	Поражение
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	$18	0.6¢	Поражение
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?	No	$1.8k	60.3¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$168	84.0¢	Победа
Spread: UCLA (-7.5)	Purdue	$29	53.0¢	Поражение
Colts vs. Chiefs	Colts	$15	29.0¢	Поражение
Houston vs. Texas Tech	Texas Tech	$76	76.0¢	Победа
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$9	18.0¢	Поражение
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$22	11.2¢	Поражение
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$28	2.5¢	Поражение
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$702	87.8¢	Победа
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$127	7.4¢	Поражение
1H Spread: Lions (-6.5)	Saints	$48	9.6¢	Поражение
Lions vs. Bills: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	$14	35.0¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$939	55.9¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$162	81.0¢	Победа
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$13	4.2¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$93	23.1¢	Поражение
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?	Yes	$51	25.5¢	Поражение
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Победа
Will New York City FC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	$59	58.0¢	Поражение
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$5	2.4¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$49	12.2¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?	No	$52	52.2¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026?	Yes	$64	87.6¢	Победа
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	$0	1.0¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$298	74.5¢	Победа
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$646	80.7¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Поражение
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$28	7.5¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$526	25.5¢	Поражение
Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$4	7.3¢	Победа
Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$28	84.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Поражение
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$1.2k	42.4¢	Победа
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$154	4.4¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026?	Yes	$78	88.3¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?	No	$0	6.0¢	Поражение
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	$114	28.6¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 17, 2026?	Yes	$81	87.8¢	Победа
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$1	1.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	$56	34.6¢	Поражение

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Победа
No$43 @ 85.0¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will David Lammy be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Победа
Yes$13 @ 68.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$85 @ 0.6¢
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Поражение
No$289 @ 11.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 0.6¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?Победа
No$1.8k @ 60.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$168 @ 84.0¢
Spread: UCLA (-7.5)Поражение
Purdue$29 @ 53.0¢
Colts vs. ChiefsПоражение
Colts$15 @ 29.0¢
Houston vs. Texas TechПобеда
Texas Tech$76 @ 76.0¢
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 18.0¢
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 11.2¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Поражение
No$28 @ 2.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Победа
No$702 @ 87.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Поражение
Yes$127 @ 7.4¢
1H Spread: Lions (-6.5)Поражение
Saints$48 @ 9.6¢
Lions vs. Bills: 1H O/U 28.5Поражение
Under$14 @ 35.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Поражение
Yes$939 @ 55.9¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Победа
Yes$162 @ 81.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 4.2¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$93 @ 23.1¢
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Поражение
Yes$51 @ 25.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will New York City FC win on 2026-09-26?Поражение
Yes$59 @ 58.0¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$49 @ 12.2¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?Победа
No$52 @ 52.2¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026?Победа
Yes$64 @ 87.6¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$298 @ 74.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Победа
No$646 @ 80.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$28 @ 7.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Поражение
Yes$526 @ 25.5¢
Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$4 @ 7.3¢
Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
Yes$28 @ 84.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Победа
No$1.2k @ 42.4¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Поражение
Yes$154 @ 4.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026?Победа
Yes$78 @ 88.3¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?Поражение
No$0 @ 6.0¢
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Поражение
Yes$114 @ 28.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 17, 2026?Победа
Yes$81 @ 87.8¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Поражение
Yes$56 @ 34.6¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$26.3k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	No	$26.3k	50.0¢
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Наука	No	$283	92.1¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$254	82.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?	Технологии	No	$219	70.9¢
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?	Политика	Yes	$195	63.2¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Технологии	No	$175	78.3¢
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Наука	No	$158	88.8¢
Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?	Спорт	No	$153	91.6¢
Canada's population Up or Down this year?	Политика	Down	$147	76.4¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?	Технологии	No	$131	68.2¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Политика	No	$127	94.2¢
Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 37.5	Спорт	Under	$116	40.0¢
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$106	53.0¢
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Политика	Yes	$104	37.8¢
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$96	48.0¢
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?	Спорт	Yes	$88	27.2¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$84	21.0¢
UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)	Спорт	Roman Kopylov	$83	33.9¢
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?	Спорт	Yes	$77	85.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$69	45.1¢
US recession by end of 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$62	31.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Спорт	Erick Visconde	$54	45.3¢
UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)	Спорт	Johnny Walker	$54	54.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$50	25.0¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$47	42.6¢
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Наука	No	$45	89.5¢
UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Спорт	Imanol Rodriguez	$44	57.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Геополитика	Yes	$43	43.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$43	35.6¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$26.3k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
No$26.3k @ 50.0¢
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Наука
No$283 @ 92.1¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Политика
Yes$254 @ 82.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?Технологии
No$219 @ 70.9¢
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?Политика
Yes$195 @ 63.2¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Технологии
No$175 @ 78.3¢
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Наука
No$158 @ 88.8¢
Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?Спорт
No$153 @ 91.6¢
Canada's population Up or Down this year?Политика
Down$147 @ 76.4¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Технологии
No$131 @ 68.2¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Политика
No$127 @ 94.2¢
Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 37.5Спорт
Under$116 @ 40.0¢
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Политика
Yes$106 @ 53.0¢
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Политика
Yes$104 @ 37.8¢
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Политика
Yes$96 @ 48.0¢
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?Спорт
Yes$88 @ 27.2¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Политика
Yes$84 @ 21.0¢
UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)Спорт
Roman Kopylov$83 @ 33.9¢
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?Спорт
Yes$77 @ 85.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
Yes$69 @ 45.1¢
US recession by end of 2026?Экономика
Yes$62 @ 31.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)Спорт
Erick Visconde$54 @ 45.3¢
UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)Спорт
Johnny Walker$54 @ 54.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Политика
Yes$50 @ 25.0¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$47 @ 42.6¢
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Наука
No$45 @ 89.5¢
UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)Спорт
Imanol Rodriguez$44 @ 57.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Геополитика
Yes$43 @ 43.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Политика
Yes$43 @ 35.6¢