0xe7f4…bc90

Профи

Эдж

+9.8pp

ROI

+19%

Доля побед

30% @ 19.9¢

Brier

0.101

Сделок

Ср. размер

$340

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	38% (9/24)	+18%	24
Other	21% (5/24)	-17%	24
Спорт	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Геополитика	100% (1/1)	+45%	1
Крипто	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Политика24 ставки
Попадания
38% (9/24)
ROI
+18%
Other24 ставки
Попадания
21% (5/24)
ROI
-17%
Спорт8 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Геополитика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+45%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

26% попаданий · 15/58

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$96	8.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$940	47.0¢	Поражение
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$100	2.5¢	Поражение
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$95	1.6¢	Поражение
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$200	10.0¢	Поражение
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$72	5.4¢	Поражение
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$141	4.9¢	Поражение
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$579	8.3¢	Поражение
Trump out as President by July 31?	Yes	$210	1.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.5k	35.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	64.7¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$11	0.4¢	Поражение
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	$100	3.2¢	Поражение
Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	$168	1.5¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	$1.1k	5.3¢	Поражение
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?	Yes	$647	5.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$1.0k	18.7¢	Поражение
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	$100	3.9¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?	No	$16	0.2¢	Поражение
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	$599	4.2¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	$500	17.0¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$489	17.3¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$202	14.0¢	Поражение
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	$500	16.4¢	Поражение
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines	Tennessee Volunteers	$20	25.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$1.1k	64.8¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$2.0k	76.0¢	Победа
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	$144	1.5¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$30	0.2¢	Поражение
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans	North Dakota State Bison	$10	8.0¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$141	10.0¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$26	0.3¢	Поражение
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$100	38.3¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$1000	69.0¢	Победа
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$102	10.9¢	Поражение
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	$84	0.1¢	Поражение
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	$454	16.7¢	Поражение
Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	$200	38.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1.3k	33.1¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$57	13.0¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$431	57.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	No	$2.2k	49.9¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	$500	79.0¢	Победа
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$221	66.0¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$1.1k	48.9¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$1.3k	13.9¢	Поражение
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	$491	9.9¢	Поражение
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$31	8.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	$680	26.2¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 18?	Yes	$30	27.7¢	Поражение

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$96 @ 8.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Поражение
No$940 @ 47.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 2.5¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$95 @ 1.6¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$200 @ 10.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$72 @ 5.4¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$141 @ 4.9¢
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$579 @ 8.3¢
Trump out as President by July 31?Поражение
Yes$210 @ 1.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$1.5k @ 35.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.3k @ 64.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$11 @ 0.4¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 3.2¢
Trump out as President by June 30?Поражение
Yes$168 @ 1.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$1.1k @ 5.3¢
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Поражение
Yes$647 @ 5.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Поражение
No$1.0k @ 18.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 3.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Поражение
No$16 @ 0.2¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Поражение
No$599 @ 4.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Поражение
Yes$500 @ 17.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Поражение
Yes$489 @ 17.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$202 @ 14.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Поражение
Yes$500 @ 16.4¢
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan WolverinesПоражение
Tennessee Volunteers$20 @ 25.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Победа
No$1.1k @ 64.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Победа
No$2.0k @ 76.0¢
Trump out as President by April 30?Поражение
Yes$144 @ 1.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$30 @ 0.2¢
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State SpartansПоражение
North Dakota State Bison$10 @ 8.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$141 @ 10.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$26 @ 0.3¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Победа
No$100 @ 38.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Победа
No$1000 @ 69.0¢
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Поражение
Yes$102 @ 10.9¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Поражение
No$84 @ 0.1¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Поражение
Yes$454 @ 16.7¢
Warriors vs. SunsПоражение
Warriors$200 @ 38.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Победа
No$1.3k @ 33.1¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Поражение
No$57 @ 13.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Победа
Yes$431 @ 57.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Победа
No$2.2k @ 49.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Победа
No$500 @ 79.0¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Победа
No$221 @ 66.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Победа
No$1.1k @ 48.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Поражение
Yes$1.3k @ 13.9¢
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?Поражение
Yes$491 @ 9.9¢
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Поражение
Yes$31 @ 8.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Победа
No$680 @ 26.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 18?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 27.7¢

Недавние сделки

в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировки

Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	Спорт	Yes	$714	19.2¢

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?Спорт
Yes$714 @ 19.2¢