0xe3f6…32a4

Профи

Эдж

+25.0pp

ROI

+90%

Доля побед

76% @ 51.5¢

Brier

0.181

Сделок

174

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	54% (13/24)	+107%	24
Other	48% (10/21)	+51%	21
Геополитика	67% (6/9)	-11%	9
Крипто	100% (1/1)	+156%	1

Политика24 ставки
Попадания
54% (13/24)
ROI
+107%
Other21 ставки
Попадания
48% (10/21)
ROI
+51%
Геополитика9 ставки
Попадания
67% (6/9)
ROI
-11%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+156%

История результатов

55% попаданий · 30/55

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$5	91.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	$1	70.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	34.6¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	$2	33.1¢	Поражение
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	98.4¢	Победа
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$1	86.0¢	Победа
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$8	57.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	16.4¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$6	77.3¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$7	17.0¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$11	39.1¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$1	46.0¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$1	63.0¢	Победа
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$1	12.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$6	78.3¢	Победа
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	7.4¢	Поражение
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	$4	34.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1	23.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	70.0¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$2	37.0¢	Поражение
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	Yes	$1	82.0¢	Победа
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$3	0.8¢	Поражение
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	$1	36.0¢	Поражение
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Поражение
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Carlos Ulberg	$3	50.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$2	69.5¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	28.0¢	Поражение
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$48	59.6¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	$2	31.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	69.7¢	Победа
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	$4	22.0¢	Поражение
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$10	78.1¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	$1	74.0¢	Победа
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	$1	23.0¢	Поражение
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$7	57.7¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$6	6.7¢	Победа
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	$1	60.8¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	82.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	$1	73.0¢	Победа
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	$1	89.0¢	Победа
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$9	96.7¢	Победа
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	91.5¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	91.9¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$5	81.5¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$4	16.4¢	Поражение
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	$1	62.0¢	Поражение
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	$7	90.4¢	Победа

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Поражение
No$5 @ 91.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Поражение
No$1 @ 70.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 34.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Поражение
No$2 @ 33.1¢
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$2 @ 98.4¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Победа
No$1 @ 86.0¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Победа
Yes$8 @ 57.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 16.4¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Победа
No$6 @ 77.3¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$7 @ 17.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$11 @ 39.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 46.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Победа
Yes$1 @ 63.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Поражение
No$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Победа
Yes$6 @ 78.3¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 7.4¢
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 34.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 23.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Поражение
No$2 @ 37.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Победа
Yes$1 @ 82.0¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Поражение
No$1 @ 36.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Победа
Carlos Ulberg$3 @ 50.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$2 @ 69.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Победа
No$48 @ 59.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$2 @ 31.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$3 @ 69.7¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Поражение
No$4 @ 22.0¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Победа
Yes$10 @ 78.1¢
Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?Победа
Yes$1 @ 74.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Поражение
No$1 @ 23.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Победа
Yes$7 @ 57.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Победа
Yes$6 @ 6.7¢
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 60.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Победа
No$1 @ 73.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 89.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$9 @ 96.7¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 91.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$1 @ 91.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Победа
No$5 @ 81.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 16.4¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Поражение
No$1 @ 62.0¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Победа
Yes$7 @ 90.4¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$13	70.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$6	82.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$6	90.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$4	93.0¢
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Политика	Yes	$3	49.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$2	84.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?	Политика	No	$2	93.4¢
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$2	92.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Политика	No	$2	70.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Политика	No	$2	75.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$2	93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?	Политика	No	$2	94.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1	25.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	91.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	97.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	66.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?	Политика	No	$1	92.0¢
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?	Политика	Yes	$1	98.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	94.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-20 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	94.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Политика	No	$1	94.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Политика	No	$1	83.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Политика	No	$1	82.6¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	93.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-01 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	93.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the CO-06 House seat?	Политика	No	$1	93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	93.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$13 @ 70.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Политика
Yes$6 @ 82.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Политика
Yes$6 @ 90.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?Политика
Yes$4 @ 93.0¢
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Политика
Yes$3 @ 49.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Политика
Yes$2 @ 84.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?Политика
No$2 @ 93.4¢
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?Политика
Yes$2 @ 92.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Политика
No$2 @ 70.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Политика
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?Политика
Yes$2 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?Политика
No$2 @ 94.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Политика
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 91.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 97.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 66.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?Политика
No$1 @ 92.0¢
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?Политика
Yes$1 @ 98.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-20 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?Политика
No$1 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Политика
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Политика
No$1 @ 82.6¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 93.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-01 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 93.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the CO-06 House seat?Политика
No$1 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 93.0¢