0xe3d1…d312

Профи

Эдж

+13.6pp

ROI

+5%

Доля побед

52% @ 38.2¢

Brier

0.153

Сделок

415

Ср. размер

$92

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	37% (24/65)	+24%	65
Политика	55% (12/22)	-6%	22
Спорт	33% (3/9)	-2%	9
Геополитика	83% (5/6)	+23%	6
Крипто	67% (2/3)	+32%	3

Other65 ставки
Попадания
37% (24/65)
ROI
+24%
Политика22 ставки
Попадания
55% (12/22)
ROI
-6%
Спорт9 ставки
Попадания
33% (3/9)
ROI
-2%
Геополитика6 ставки
Попадания
83% (5/6)
ROI
+23%
Крипто3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+32%

История результатов

44% попаданий · 46/105

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$30	9.9¢	Поражение
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$17	1.4¢	Поражение
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev	Alcaraz	$120	30.0¢	Победа
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev	Zverev	$3	10.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	$78	20.8¢	Победа
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$808	26.1¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$3.5k	53.6¢	Победа
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$37	57.5¢	Победа
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	$13	2.6¢	Поражение
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Yannick Hanfmann	Hanfmann	$1	3.3¢	Поражение
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$8	18.6¢	Поражение
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	$7	1.5¢	Поражение
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	$42	4.2¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	$204	73.0¢	Победа
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	$69	20.4¢	Поражение
Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaur	Medjedovic	$5	27.0¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$1.0k	80.8¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$1.8k	76.9¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$522	85.0¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.2k	72.9¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$48	0.2¢	Поражение
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	No	$54	13.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$22	6.5¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	$20	12.0¢	Поражение
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$51	0.4¢	Поражение
Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko	$10	45.0¢	Поражение
Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	$33	3.1¢	Поражение
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$75	26.0¢	Поражение
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?	Yes	$229	74.1¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	$14	3.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$119	85.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	$1.2k	85.0¢	Победа
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$36	37.8¢	Поражение
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	$956	85.3¢	Победа
Brisbane International: Olivia Gadecki vs Ann Li	Li	$35	35.0¢	Поражение
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Ben Shelton	Shelton	$280	7.0¢	Поражение
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	No	$2.1k	83.2¢	Победа
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?	No	$815	80.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	$98	66.5¢	Победа
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Поражение
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	$67	38.7¢	Поражение
Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norrie	Nava	$7	15.0¢	Поражение
Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norrie	Norrie	$17	89.0¢	Победа
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$130	81.3¢	Победа
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	$8	26.0¢	Победа
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	$8	66.0¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$4	8.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$100	38.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	No	$655	65.5¢	Победа

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 9.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 1.4¢
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevПобеда
Alcaraz$120 @ 30.0¢
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevПоражение
Zverev$3 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Победа
Yes$78 @ 20.8¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$808 @ 26.1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Победа
Yes$3.5k @ 53.6¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$37 @ 57.5¢
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 2.6¢
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Yannick HanfmannПоражение
Hanfmann$1 @ 3.3¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 18.6¢
Trump out as President by April 30?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 1.5¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Поражение
Yes$42 @ 4.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Победа
No$204 @ 73.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Поражение
Yes$69 @ 20.4¢
Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de MinaurПоражение
Medjedovic$5 @ 27.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Победа
No$1.0k @ 80.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Победа
No$1.8k @ 76.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Победа
No$522 @ 85.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$1.2k @ 72.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$48 @ 0.2¢
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Поражение
No$54 @ 13.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 6.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 12.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Поражение
No$51 @ 0.4¢
Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Jelena OstapenkoПоражение
Ostapenko$10 @ 45.0¢
Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Поражение
Yes$33 @ 3.1¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Поражение
Yes$75 @ 26.0¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Победа
Yes$229 @ 74.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 3.4¢
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$119 @ 85.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Победа
No$1.2k @ 85.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Поражение
Yes$36 @ 37.8¢
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Победа
No$956 @ 85.3¢
Brisbane International: Olivia Gadecki vs Ann LiПоражение
Li$35 @ 35.0¢
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Ben SheltonПоражение
Shelton$280 @ 7.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Победа
No$2.1k @ 83.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?Победа
No$815 @ 80.0¢
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Победа
Yes$98 @ 66.5¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Поражение
No$67 @ 38.7¢
Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron NorrieПоражение
Nava$7 @ 15.0¢
Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron NorrieПобеда
Norrie$17 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Победа
Yes$130 @ 81.3¢
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicПобеда
Joao Fonseca$8 @ 26.0¢
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicПоражение
Novak Djokovic$8 @ 66.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$4 @ 8.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Победа
No$100 @ 38.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Победа
No$655 @ 65.5¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$764	12.5¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$601	6.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Политика	Yes	$494	15.9¢

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$764 @ 12.5¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$601 @ 6.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Политика
Yes$494 @ 15.9¢