0xe342…b692

Прибыльный

Эдж

+19.5pp

ROI

+77%

Доля побед

62% @ 42.7¢

Brier

0.204

Сделок

Ср. размер

$188

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	46% (13/28)	+83%	28
Спорт	60% (3/5)	-3%	5
Политика	100% (1/1)	+19%	1
Геополитика	100% (1/1)	+15%	1
Экономика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other28 ставки
Попадания
46% (13/28)
ROI
+83%
Спорт5 ставки
Попадания
60% (3/5)
ROI
-3%
Политика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%
Геополитика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

50% попаданий · 18/36

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$49	19.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	$52	52.2¢	Победа
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$61	60.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
Spread: France (-1.5)	Morocco	$67	66.0¢	Поражение
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$39	37.8¢	Поражение
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	No	$91	44.6¢	Победа
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	Yes	$380	54.3¢	Поражение
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$56	55.0¢	Победа
Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	$1.0k	42.0¢	Победа
Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	$2.0k	26.0¢	Победа
Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Поражение
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$4.1k	86.5¢	Победа
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$15	75.0¢	Победа
Spread: England (-1.5)	Mexico	$167	83.0¢	Победа
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$52	20.1¢	Победа
Will Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Поражение
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$385	77.0¢	Поражение
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	$10	9.7¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	$44	87.0¢	Победа
Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$280	28.0¢	Победа
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky	Seattle Storm	$252	43.0¢	Поражение
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$56	55.0¢	Победа
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	$82	82.0¢	Победа
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$273	37.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$168	84.0¢	Победа
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Поражение
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5	Under	$60	59.0¢	Победа
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	$16	16.0¢	Победа
Will Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Поражение
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5	Over	$117	58.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	Yes	$40	4.0¢	Поражение
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Under	$51	50.0¢	Победа
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Поражение

Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$49 @ 19.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Победа
No$52 @ 52.2¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Поражение
France$61 @ 60.0¢
Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Поражение
Morocco$67 @ 66.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Поражение
Yes$39 @ 37.8¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Победа
No$91 @ 44.6¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Поражение
Yes$380 @ 54.3¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Победа
Yes$56 @ 55.0¢
Heat vs. HawksПобеда
Heat$1.0k @ 42.0¢
Spurs vs. ThunderПобеда
Spurs$2.0k @ 26.0¢
Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Победа
Yes$4.1k @ 86.5¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Победа
No$15 @ 75.0¢
Spread: England (-1.5)Победа
Mexico$167 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$52 @ 20.1¢
Will Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Spurs vs. Trail BlazersПоражение
Trail Blazers$385 @ 77.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 9.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Победа
Yes$44 @ 87.0¢
Lakers vs. RocketsПобеда
Lakers$280 @ 28.0¢
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago SkyПоражение
Seattle Storm$252 @ 43.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Победа
Yes$56 @ 55.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Победа
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$273 @ 37.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Победа
No$168 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Победа
Under$60 @ 59.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Победа
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
Will Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Победа
Over$117 @ 58.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 4.0¢
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Победа
Under$51 @ 50.0¢
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Политика	No	$49	98.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$17	83.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$15	77.0¢

Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Политика
No$49 @ 98.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$17 @ 83.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$15 @ 77.0¢