0xe2f8…0ef8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe2f818be88170b399070d32308909093fab70ef8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Профи

Эдж

+10.3pp

ROI

+18%

Доля побед

60% @ 49.7¢

Brier

0.161

Сделок

295

Ср. размер

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	67% (18/27)	+46%	27
Политика	40% (8/20)	-33%	20
Крипто	43% (3/7)	+31%	7
Геополитика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other27 ставки
Попадания
67% (18/27)
ROI
+46%
Политика20 ставки
Попадания
40% (8/20)
ROI
-33%
Крипто7 ставки
Попадания
43% (3/7)
ROI
+31%
Геополитика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

53% попаданий · 29/55

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Поражение
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$1	75.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$26	17.4¢	Поражение
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$2	79.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$2	74.2¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$2	16.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$1	83.4¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$5	20.9¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$6	59.6¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$10	17.9¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$26	46.2¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$25	16.9¢	Поражение
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$2	38.4¢	Победа
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$4	1.2¢	Поражение
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	No	$2	58.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$3	35.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$7	22.9¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$17	76.6¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$5	76.3¢	Победа
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$2	83.0¢	Победа
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$4	8.1¢	Поражение
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$1	80.0¢	Победа
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	$5	34.6¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1	23.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$3	71.3¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$2	23.5¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	5.9¢	Поражение
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	$4	73.0¢	Победа
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	$2	34.5¢	Поражение
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$9	54.3¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	$2	32.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	80.5¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$12	35.2¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	31.9¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	26.7¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$35	56.1¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$7	71.9¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Поражение
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	$2	27.5¢	Поражение
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$10	78.1¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	$2	50.5¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	38.2¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	$3	78.7¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Поражение
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$2	66.4¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	45.9¢	Победа
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$2	88.0¢	Победа

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Победа
Yes$1 @ 75.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$26 @ 17.4¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Победа
Yes$2 @ 79.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Победа
No$2 @ 74.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 16.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 83.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 20.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Победа
No$6 @ 59.6¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$10 @ 17.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$26 @ 46.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 16.9¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Победа
No$2 @ 38.4¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 1.2¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Поражение
No$2 @ 58.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 35.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Поражение
No$7 @ 22.9¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Победа
Yes$17 @ 76.6¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Победа
Yes$5 @ 76.3¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Победа
No$2 @ 83.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 8.1¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Победа
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 34.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 23.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 71.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$2 @ 23.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Победа
No$4 @ 73.0¢
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Поражение
No$2 @ 34.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Победа
Yes$9 @ 54.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$2 @ 32.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$2 @ 80.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$12 @ 35.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 31.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$1 @ 26.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$35 @ 56.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Победа
No$7 @ 71.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 27.5¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Победа
Yes$10 @ 78.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Поражение
No$2 @ 50.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$2 @ 38.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Победа
No$3 @ 78.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Победа
Yes$2 @ 66.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$2 @ 45.9¢
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Победа
Yes$2 @ 88.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$28	69.4¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$26	97.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$15	94.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Геополитика	Yes	$7	17.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Политика	No	$7	62.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Политика	No	$6	59.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Политика	No	$5	95.3¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Наука	No	$4	91.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$3	90.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Политика	No	$2	97.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$2	31.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Политика	Yes	$2	23.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Геополитика	No	$1	84.9¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Политика	Yes	$1	56.0¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$1	1.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$1	52.0¢
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Политика	No	$1	65.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Политика	No	$1	98.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Политика	No	$1	96.3¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Политика	No	$1	97.0¢
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Политика	No	$1	82.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$1	97.7¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$1	89.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$1	28.0¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1	5.9¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$28 @ 69.4¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Геополитика
No$26 @ 97.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Геополитика
No$15 @ 94.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Геополитика
Yes$7 @ 17.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Политика
No$7 @ 62.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Политика
No$6 @ 59.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Политика
No$5 @ 95.3¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Наука
No$4 @ 91.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Геополитика
No$3 @ 90.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Политика
No$2 @ 97.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
Yes$2 @ 31.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Политика
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Геополитика
No$1 @ 84.9¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Политика
Yes$1 @ 56.0¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Политика
No$1 @ 65.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Политика
No$1 @ 98.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Политика
No$1 @ 96.3¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Политика
No$1 @ 97.0¢
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Политика
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Геополитика
No$1 @ 97.7¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Геополитика
No$1 @ 89.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$1 @ 28.0¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Политика
Yes$1 @ 5.9¢