0xe056…8120

Профи

Эдж

+14.0pp

ROI

+31%

Доля побед

71% @ 56.9¢

Brier

0.181

Сделок

403

Ср. размер

$314

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	58% (25/43)	+28%	43
Политика	60% (3/5)	+26%	5
Крипто	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other43 ставки
Попадания
58% (25/43)
ROI
+28%
Политика5 ставки
Попадания
60% (3/5)
ROI
+26%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

57% попаданий · 28/49

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$779	84.6¢	Победа
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?	Yes	$46	9.9¢	Поражение
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	$74	74.0¢	Победа
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?	No	$340	89.9¢	Победа
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$3	83.0¢	Победа
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$678	78.1¢	Победа
Will Lowe's Companies (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$72	13.1¢	Победа
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$220	79.0¢	Победа
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	No	$1.5k	49.7¢	Победа
Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$21	10.1¢	Поражение
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$405	31.7¢	Победа
Will Peloton Interactive (PTON) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$14	47.8¢	Поражение
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$588	41.0¢	Победа
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$840	27.7¢	Поражение
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$799	53.1¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Поражение
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?	Yes	$2.1k	49.8¢	Поражение
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$755	70.6¢	Поражение
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$33	86.0¢	Победа
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1	1.0¢	Поражение
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$485	79.7¢	Победа
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?	No	$171	19.3¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$31.6k	78.9¢	Победа
Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$74	11.7¢	Поражение
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$833	78.8¢	Победа
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be above 3%?	No	$99	7.2¢	Поражение
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$11	10.5¢	Поражение
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$48	12.4¢	Поражение
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	No	$530	49.4¢	Поражение
Maduro out in 2025?	No	$78	78.0¢	Победа
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$5.1k	69.9¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$291	58.1¢	Победа
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$165	25.4¢	Победа
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$38	33.0¢	Поражение
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$552	61.2¢	Поражение
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$2	10.0¢	Поражение
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$3	3.2¢	Победа
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$2.5k	74.8¢	Победа
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$83	74.5¢	Победа
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Поражение
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	$640	8.0¢	Поражение
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$2.2k	78.4¢	Победа
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$39	78.0¢	Поражение
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$2.1k	87.5¢	Победа
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$59	13.9¢	Победа
Will Celsius (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$9	28.0¢	Победа
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$539	29.4¢	Поражение
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$1.3k	80.3¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$31.5k	78.8¢	Победа

Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$779 @ 84.6¢
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?Поражение
Yes$46 @ 9.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseПобеда
Yes$74 @ 74.0¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Победа
No$340 @ 89.9¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
Yes$3 @ 83.0¢
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$678 @ 78.1¢
Will Lowe's Companies (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$72 @ 13.1¢
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
Yes$220 @ 79.0¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?Победа
No$1.5k @ 49.7¢
Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$21 @ 10.1¢
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$405 @ 31.7¢
Will Peloton Interactive (PTON) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$14 @ 47.8¢
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$588 @ 41.0¢
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
Yes$840 @ 27.7¢
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$799 @ 53.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Поражение
Yes$2.1k @ 49.8¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$755 @ 70.6¢
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
Yes$33 @ 86.0¢
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$485 @ 79.7¢
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?Поражение
No$171 @ 19.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$31.6k @ 78.9¢
Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$74 @ 11.7¢
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$833 @ 78.8¢
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be above 3%?Поражение
No$99 @ 7.2¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?Поражение
Yes$11 @ 10.5¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?Поражение
Yes$48 @ 12.4¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?Поражение
No$530 @ 49.4¢
Maduro out in 2025?Победа
No$78 @ 78.0¢
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$5.1k @ 69.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$291 @ 58.1¢
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$165 @ 25.4¢
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$38 @ 33.0¢
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$552 @ 61.2¢
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$2 @ 10.0¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?Победа
Yes$3 @ 3.2¢
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$2.5k @ 74.8¢
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$83 @ 74.5¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Поражение
No$640 @ 8.0¢
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$2.2k @ 78.4¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
Yes$39 @ 78.0¢
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$2.1k @ 87.5¢
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$59 @ 13.9¢
Will Celsius (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
Yes$9 @ 28.0¢
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$539 @ 29.4¢
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
Yes$1.3k @ 80.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$31.5k @ 78.8¢

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Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	No	$43.0k	50.0¢
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Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
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