0xde03…e629

Профи

Эдж

+7.6pp

ROI

+7%

Доля побед

47% @ 39.5¢

Brier

0.157

Сделок

1978

Ср. размер

$59

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	42% (124/293)	+9%	293
Спорт	18% (5/28)	-87%	28
Политика	39% (7/18)	-16%	18
Крипто	40% (2/5)	+93%	5
Геополитика	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other293 ставки
Попадания
42% (124/293)
ROI
+9%
Спорт28 ставки
Попадания
18% (5/28)
ROI
-87%
Политика18 ставки
Попадания
39% (7/18)
ROI
-16%
Крипто5 ставки
Попадания
40% (2/5)
ROI
+93%
Геополитика3 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

40% попаданий · 138/347

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	$50	50.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	$12	2.9¢	Поражение
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?	Yes	$62	41.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?	Yes	$372	56.4¢	Победа
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$15	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 21 2025?	Yes	$14	7.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	No	$2.6k	76.9¢	Победа
Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 30?	Positive	$13	85.5¢	Поражение
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$92	15.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Поражение
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$126	63.0¢	Поражение
Will another runner win the 2025 Men's New York City Marathon?	Yes	$17	2.3¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$301	28.6¢	Поражение
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	$10	10.0¢	Поражение
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?	Yes	$1.5k	50.8¢	Поражение
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$31	44.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	$12	29.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	Yes	$10	8.0¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1	Yes	$54	0.9¢	Поражение
Over $25M committed to the VOOI public sale?	No	$114	63.0¢	Победа
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$19	48.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	$55	55.0¢	Победа
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?	No	$85	71.0¢	Победа
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	$62	20.7¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?	Yes	$41	9.1¢	Поражение
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$10	16.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	$31	27.0¢	Поражение
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?	No	$117	56.7¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	Yes	$425	81.4¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	Yes	$10	16.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	Yes	$615	56.7¢	Победа
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$152	18.5¢	Поражение
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$211	45.4¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	$4	8.3¢	Поражение
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$297	12.6¢	Поражение
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$190	51.9¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	$47	18.1¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	$10	20.0¢	Поражение
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals	Kolkata Knight Riders	$244	40.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	$9	21.5¢	Победа
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$78	78.0¢	Победа
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$10	2.5¢	Поражение
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	$183	83.4¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Поражение
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	$22	73.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?	Yes	$250	25.0¢	Победа

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Победа
No$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Поражение
Yes$12 @ 2.9¢
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?Победа
Yes$62 @ 41.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?Победа
Yes$372 @ 56.4¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 21 2025?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Победа
No$2.6k @ 76.9¢
Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 30?Поражение
Positive$13 @ 85.5¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$92 @ 15.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$126 @ 63.0¢
Will another runner win the 2025 Men's New York City Marathon?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 2.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$301 @ 28.6¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?Поражение
No$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?Поражение
Yes$1.5k @ 50.8¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Победа
Yes$31 @ 44.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?Поражение
No$12 @ 29.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Поражение
Yes$54 @ 0.9¢
Over $25M committed to the VOOI public sale?Победа
No$114 @ 63.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Победа
No$19 @ 48.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Победа
No$55 @ 55.0¢
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?Победа
No$85 @ 71.0¢
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super KingsПоражение
Chennai Super Kings$62 @ 20.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Поражение
Yes$41 @ 9.1¢
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Поражение
Yes$31 @ 27.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?Поражение
No$117 @ 56.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Победа
Yes$425 @ 81.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Победа
Yes$615 @ 56.7¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$152 @ 18.5¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Победа
Yes$211 @ 45.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 8.3¢
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
No$297 @ 12.6¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Поражение
Yes$190 @ 51.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$47 @ 18.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Поражение
No$10 @ 20.0¢
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan RoyalsПобеда
Kolkata Knight Riders$244 @ 40.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Победа
No$9 @ 21.5¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$78 @ 78.0¢
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 2.5¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Победа
No$183 @ 83.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan RoyalsПобеда
Delhi Capitals$22 @ 73.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Победа
Yes$250 @ 25.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$68	34.0¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$23	23.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$20	60.0¢
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$15	15.1¢
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$13	66.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$13	13.0¢
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	Спорт	West Indies	$11	23.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$11	27.0¢
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$10	2.5¢
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$10	5.0¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$10	5.0¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$8	4.2¢
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$7	7.0¢
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$6	2.2¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$4	21.0¢
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$4	19.0¢

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Крипто
No$68 @ 34.0¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Крипто
No$23 @ 23.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$20 @ 60.0¢
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$15 @ 15.1¢
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$13 @ 66.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Спорт
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesСпорт
West Indies$11 @ 23.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Политика
Yes$11 @ 27.0¢
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Спорт
Yes$10 @ 2.5¢
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Спорт
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Спорт
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Спорт
Yes$8 @ 4.2¢
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Спорт
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Спорт
Yes$6 @ 2.2¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$4 @ 19.0¢