0xdbb4…afe9

Прибыльный

Эдж

+35.7pp

ROI

+74%

Доля побед

69% @ 33.3¢

Brier

0.229

Сделок

Ср. размер

$196

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	50% (5/10)	+71%	10
Политика	40% (2/5)	+96%	5

47% попаданий · 7/15

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$20	7.4¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$98	13.7¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$2.7k	78.1¢	Победа
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	Yes	$10	2.5¢	Поражение
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$10	1.6¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$970	69.3¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$355	29.6¢	Победа
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$20	3.4¢	Поражение
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	$219	13.5¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$251	38.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$24	0.4¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$2.6k	36.2¢	Победа
Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?	Yes	$12	4.6¢	Поражение
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$4.1k	74.5¢	Победа
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$24	7.3¢	Победа

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Загрузка недавних сделок…

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.7k	30.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.3k	46.5¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$1.1k	33.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$670	26.4¢