0xdad7…005a

Профи

Эдж

+7.1pp

ROI

+46%

Доля побед

22% @ 15.0¢

Brier

0.116

Сделок

554

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	0% (0/18)	-100%	18
Other	0% (0/14)	-100%	14
Геополитика	8% (1/13)	+73%	13
Технологии	8% (1/12)	+4%	12
Наука	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Экономика	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Культура	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Политика18 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/18)
ROI
-100%
Other14 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/14)
ROI
-100%
Геополитика13 ставки
Попадания
8% (1/13)
ROI
+73%
Технологии12 ставки
Попадания
8% (1/12)
ROI
+4%
Наука8 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Экономика4 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Культура4 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

3% попаданий · 2/73

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$0	4.6¢	Поражение
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?	Yes	$104	58.5¢	Поражение
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$4	2.2¢	Поражение
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$3	1.9¢	Поражение
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$10	5.4¢	Поражение
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$3	1.8¢	Поражение
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поражение
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поражение
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	$214	48.6¢	Победа
Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поражение
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Поражение
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Поражение
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$1	6.5¢	Поражение
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поражение
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$23	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$27	14.8¢	Победа
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поражение
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	$1	6.5¢	Поражение
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$13	6.8¢	Поражение
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$7	3.7¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$42 in June?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поражение
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$0	1.4¢	Поражение
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$9	4.8¢	Поражение
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Поражение
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	22.0¢	Поражение
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Поражение
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Поражение
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	$5	9.5¢	Поражение
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Поражение
Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Поражение
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Поражение
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поражение
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	$1	3.5¢	Поражение
Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Поражение
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?	Yes	$0	1.8¢	Поражение
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	$3	7.9¢	Поражение
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	$8	9.1¢	Поражение
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Поражение
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Поражение
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$7	7.8¢	Поражение
Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Поражение

Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026Поражение
Yes$0 @ 4.6¢
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?Поражение
Yes$104 @ 58.5¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 2.2¢
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 1.9¢
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 5.4¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Победа
Yes$214 @ 48.6¢
Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 6.5¢
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Поражение
Yes$23 @ 13.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Победа
Yes$27 @ 14.8¢
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 6.5¢
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 6.8¢
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 3.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$42 in June?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 4.8¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 9.5¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 1.8¢
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 7.9¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 9.1¢
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 7.8¢
Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$467	60.6¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Экономика	Yes	$256	59.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$201	26.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$195	59.0¢
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	—	Yes	$150	32.3¢
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Экономика	Yes	$141	32.9¢
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Политика	Yes	$110	23.6¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$98	51.5¢
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Политика	Yes	$85	18.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$67	20.2¢
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Политика	Yes	$59	12.8¢
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$56	37.3¢
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?	Экономика	Yes	$51	63.9¢
Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	—	Yes	$42	9.0¢
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$40	26.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$36	11.0¢
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Политика	Yes	$36	34.4¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$34	48.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$32	4.2¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Политика	Yes	$30	29.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$29	3.8¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$28	29.9¢
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$26	58.6¢
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$26	17.6¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Технологии	Yes	$25	13.1¢
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$24	69.5¢
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	Наука	Yes	$23	35.0¢
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Геополитика	Yes	$21	32.3¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Политика	Yes	$20	37.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$20	21.3¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$467 @ 60.6¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Экономика
Yes$256 @ 59.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$201 @ 26.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$195 @ 59.0¢
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?—
Yes$150 @ 32.3¢
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Экономика
Yes$141 @ 32.9¢
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Политика
Yes$110 @ 23.6¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Технологии
Yes$98 @ 51.5¢
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Политика
Yes$85 @ 18.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$67 @ 20.2¢
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Политика
Yes$59 @ 12.8¢
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Наука
Yes$56 @ 37.3¢
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Экономика
Yes$51 @ 63.9¢
Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?—
Yes$42 @ 9.0¢
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Наука
Yes$40 @ 26.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$36 @ 11.0¢
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Политика
Yes$36 @ 34.4¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Крипто
Yes$34 @ 48.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$32 @ 4.2¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Политика
Yes$30 @ 29.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$29 @ 3.8¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Политика
Yes$28 @ 29.9¢
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Наука
Yes$26 @ 58.6¢
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Наука
Yes$26 @ 17.6¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Технологии
Yes$25 @ 13.1¢
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Политика
Yes$24 @ 69.5¢
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Наука
Yes$23 @ 35.0¢
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Геополитика
Yes$21 @ 32.3¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Политика
Yes$20 @ 37.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Политика
Yes$20 @ 21.3¢