0xd8d5…8935

Профи

Эдж

+16.4pp

ROI

+21%

Доля побед

89% @ 72.6¢

Brier

0.081

Сделок

136

Ср. размер

$92

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	82% (9/11)	+23%	11
Технологии	100% (1/1)	+16%	1
Спорт	100% (1/1)	+47%	1
Other	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Экономика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Крипто	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Политика11 ставки
Попадания
82% (9/11)
ROI
+23%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+16%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+47%
Other1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

69% попаданий · 11/16

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	$699	34.5¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$356	89.0¢	Победа
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	No	$4	86.0¢	Победа
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$206	68.0¢	Победа
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	No	$699	34.5¢	Поражение
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$1.1k	49.0¢	Победа
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	Yes	$32	10.7¢	Поражение
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	Yes	$232	77.4¢	Победа
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$447	27.9¢	Победа
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	$3.2k	81.0¢	Победа
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$63	8.6¢	Поражение
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	No	$1.8k	89.0¢	Победа
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	$3.3k	81.5¢	Победа
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	Yes	$120	29.9¢	Поражение
Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?	Yes	$122	81.1¢	Победа
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	$198	79.0¢	Победа

Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Поражение
Yes$699 @ 34.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Победа
No$356 @ 89.0¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Победа
No$4 @ 86.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Победа
Yes$206 @ 68.0¢
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Поражение
No$699 @ 34.5¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Победа
Yes$1.1k @ 49.0¢
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?Поражение
Yes$32 @ 10.7¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Победа
Yes$232 @ 77.4¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$447 @ 27.9¢
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Победа
Yes$3.2k @ 81.0¢
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?Поражение
No$63 @ 8.6¢
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Победа
No$1.8k @ 89.0¢
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Победа
No$3.3k @ 81.5¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Поражение
Yes$120 @ 29.9¢
Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?Победа
Yes$122 @ 81.1¢
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Победа
Yes$198 @ 79.0¢

Недавние сделки

в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировки

Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$8.0k	87.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Политика	No	$7.5k	94.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?	Other	No	$6.0k	96.6¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Политика	No	$5.8k	83.3¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Политика	No	$4.9k	82.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$4.8k	83.8¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$4.5k	96.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Политика	No	$4.4k	93.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?	Политика	No	$4.2k	99.5¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?	Технологии	No	$4.2k	98.2¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?	Технологии	No	$3.8k	95.2¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Политика	No	$3.2k	95.8¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?	—	No	$3.1k	92.5¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$2.9k	99.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$2.7k	68.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Политика	No	$2.7k	90.1¢
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Политика	Yes	$2.7k	96.1¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Политика	No	$2.7k	90.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Политика	Yes	$2.7k	56.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Other	No	$2.6k	99.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Политика	No	$2.6k	95.3¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?	Политика	No	$2.4k	89.3¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Политика	No	$2.4k	98.5¢
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Политика	No	$2.3k	95.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Политика	No	$2.2k	92.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$2.2k	97.7¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Политика	No	$2.1k	85.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$2.1k	96.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Other	No	$2.1k	99.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$2.1k	93.7¢

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Политика
Yes$8.0k @ 87.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Политика
No$7.5k @ 94.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?Other
No$6.0k @ 96.6¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Политика
No$5.8k @ 83.3¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseПолитика
No$4.9k @ 82.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$4.8k @ 83.8¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Геополитика
No$4.5k @ 96.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Политика
No$4.4k @ 93.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?Политика
No$4.2k @ 99.5¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?Технологии
No$4.2k @ 98.2¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?Технологии
No$3.8k @ 95.2¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Политика
No$3.2k @ 95.8¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?—
No$3.1k @ 92.5¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Политика
Yes$2.9k @ 99.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$2.7k @ 68.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Политика
No$2.7k @ 90.1¢
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Политика
Yes$2.7k @ 96.1¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Политика
No$2.7k @ 90.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Политика
Yes$2.7k @ 56.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Other
No$2.6k @ 99.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Политика
No$2.6k @ 95.3¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Политика
No$2.4k @ 89.3¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Политика
No$2.4k @ 98.5¢
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Политика
No$2.3k @ 95.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Политика
No$2.2k @ 92.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?Политика
No$2.2k @ 97.7¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Политика
No$2.1k @ 85.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Политика
No$2.1k @ 96.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Other
No$2.1k @ 99.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Политика
No$2.1k @ 93.7¢