0xd555…e28a

Профи

Эдж

+4.4pp

ROI

+13%

Доля побед

47% @ 42.6¢

Brier

0.137

Сделок

2003

Ср. размер

$57

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	51% (177/349)	+9%	349
Технологии	42% (10/24)	+25%	24
Политика	45% (5/11)	+16%	11
Спорт	100% (8/8)	+89%	8
Экономика	67% (2/3)	-38%	3
Бизнес	100% (1/1)	+19%	1

Other349 ставки
Попадания
51% (177/349)
ROI
+9%
Технологии24 ставки
Попадания
42% (10/24)
ROI
+25%
Политика11 ставки
Попадания
45% (5/11)
ROI
+16%
Спорт8 ставки
Попадания
100% (8/8)
ROI
+89%
Экономика3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
-38%
Бизнес1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%

История результатов

51% попаданий · 203/396

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1	5.0¢	Поражение
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $420,000 by February 1?	No	$48	24.0¢	Победа
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$210	21.0¢	Поражение
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.75 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$162	86.7¢	Победа
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$75	25.0¢	Поражение
Will the announcers say "Transition" during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$11	48.0¢	Победа
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	$887	56.1¢	Победа
Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$58	82.0¢	Победа
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$17	62.0¢	Победа
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$390	86.7¢	Победа
Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $13.0B and $13.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	$894	79.2¢	Победа
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$29	41.0¢	Победа
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$9	46.0¢	Поражение
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$14	14.0¢	Поражение
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	$41	12.6¢	Поражение
Will Union Pacific (UNP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$52	26.0¢	Поражение
Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Total HDBs O/U 704.8	Over	$12	61.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	Yes	$412	3.3¢	Поражение
Will the announcers say "VAR" or "Video Assisted Referee" during Brazil vs Japan?	Yes	$44	88.0¢	Победа
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	No	$50	65.0¢	Поражение
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	$32	32.0¢	Победа
Will DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1	2.0¢	Поражение
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$232	75.0¢	Поражение
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1	4.1¢	Победа
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$262	75.0¢	Победа
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$20	26.0¢	Победа
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$30	67.0¢	Поражение
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$118	51.4¢	Победа
Will Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$128	14.0¢	Поражение
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$4	0.5¢	Поражение
Will the announcers say "Equalize" or "Equalizer" during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$17	32.0¢	Поражение
Will Allbirds (BIRD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1	32.0¢	Победа
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$56	39.9¢	Победа
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$12	58.0¢	Поражение
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$14	37.0¢	Поражение
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30?	No	$1.9k	89.6¢	Победа
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$15	1.7¢	Поражение
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	No	$58	29.5¢	Победа
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,130,000 and $1,230,000 by February 1?	No	$38	76.0¢	Победа
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,130,000 and $1,230,000 by February 1?	Yes	$23	23.0¢	Поражение
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	$1.0k	89.0¢	Победа
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by June 30?	No	$49	88.0¢	Победа
Will the announcers say "Sub" or "Substitution" 10+ times during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$6	30.0¢	Поражение
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by June 30?	No	$4	87.0¢	Победа
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$11	21.0¢	Поражение
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$104	81.0¢	Победа
Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$5	47.0¢	Победа
Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$20	18.2¢	Поражение
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$88	22.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	Yes	$27	16.0¢	Поражение

Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $420,000 by February 1?Победа
No$48 @ 24.0¢
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$210 @ 21.0¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.75 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$162 @ 86.7¢
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$75 @ 25.0¢
Will the announcers say "Transition" during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?Победа
Yes$11 @ 48.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Победа
Yes$887 @ 56.1¢
Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
Yes$58 @ 82.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Победа
Yes$17 @ 62.0¢
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
Yes$390 @ 86.7¢
Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $13.0B and $13.5B at market close on IPO day?Победа
No$894 @ 79.2¢
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Победа
No$29 @ 41.0¢
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 46.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$41 @ 12.6¢
Will Union Pacific (UNP) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$52 @ 26.0¢
Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Total HDBs O/U 704.8Поражение
Over$12 @ 61.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Поражение
Yes$412 @ 3.3¢
Will the announcers say "VAR" or "Video Assisted Referee" during Brazil vs Japan?Победа
Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?Поражение
No$50 @ 65.0¢
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?Победа
Yes$32 @ 32.0¢
Will DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$1 @ 2.0¢
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
Yes$232 @ 75.0¢
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$1 @ 4.1¢
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?Победа
Yes$262 @ 75.0¢
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$20 @ 26.0¢
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 67.0¢
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Победа
No$118 @ 51.4¢
Will Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$128 @ 14.0¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 0.5¢
Will the announcers say "Equalize" or "Equalizer" during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?Поражение
No$17 @ 32.0¢
Will Allbirds (BIRD) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$1 @ 32.0¢
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?Победа
No$56 @ 39.9¢
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?Поражение
Yes$12 @ 58.0¢
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$14 @ 37.0¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30?Победа
No$1.9k @ 89.6¢
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026Поражение
Yes$15 @ 1.7¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?Победа
No$58 @ 29.5¢
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,130,000 and $1,230,000 by February 1?Победа
No$38 @ 76.0¢
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,130,000 and $1,230,000 by February 1?Поражение
Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Победа
Yes$1.0k @ 89.0¢
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by June 30?Победа
No$49 @ 88.0¢
Will the announcers say "Sub" or "Substitution" 10+ times during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?Поражение
No$6 @ 30.0¢
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by June 30?Победа
No$4 @ 87.0¢
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$11 @ 21.0¢
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
Yes$104 @ 81.0¢
Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$5 @ 47.0¢
Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 18.2¢
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$88 @ 22.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Поражение
Yes$27 @ 16.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31?	Технологии	No	$1.8k	85.9¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?	Технологии	No	$451	89.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?	Технологии	No	$244	77.2¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Экономика	Yes	$210	30.0¢
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026?	Экономика	No	$81	80.8¢
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	Технологии	No	$59	82.0¢
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?	Бизнес	No	$43	86.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	Технологии	No	$39	81.0¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?	Other	No	$29	88.0¢
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Технологии	Yes	$28	13.5¢
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?	Технологии	No	$28	88.3¢
Celonis IPO before 2027?	Бизнес	Yes	$19	37.0¢
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$18	55.0¢
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Бизнес	Yes	$16	36.9¢
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Бизнес	No	$16	83.0¢
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?	Культура	Yes	$1	5.0¢

Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31?Технологии
No$1.8k @ 85.9¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?Технологии
No$451 @ 89.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?Технологии
No$244 @ 77.2¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Экономика
Yes$210 @ 30.0¢
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026?Экономика
No$81 @ 80.8¢
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Технологии
No$59 @ 82.0¢
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Бизнес
No$43 @ 86.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Технологии
No$39 @ 81.0¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?Other
No$29 @ 88.0¢
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Технологии
Yes$28 @ 13.5¢
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Технологии
No$28 @ 88.3¢
Celonis IPO before 2027?Бизнес
Yes$19 @ 37.0¢
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Технологии
Yes$18 @ 55.0¢
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Бизнес
Yes$16 @ 36.9¢
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Бизнес
No$16 @ 83.0¢
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?Культура
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢