0xd426…334a

Профи

Эдж

+7.0pp

ROI

+48%

Доля побед

40% @ 32.8¢

Brier

0.160

Сделок

4172

Ср. размер

$77

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	45% (46/103)	+72%	103
Политика	49% (49/101)	+20%	101
Геополитика	45% (15/33)	+14%	33
Спорт	16% (5/31)	+195%	31
Культура	33% (1/3)	-12%	3
Крипто	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other103 ставки
Попадания
45% (46/103)
ROI
+72%
Политика101 ставки
Попадания
49% (49/101)
ROI
+20%
Геополитика33 ставки
Попадания
45% (15/33)
ROI
+14%
Спорт31 ставки
Попадания
16% (5/31)
ROI
+195%
Культура3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
-12%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

43% попаданий · 116/272

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	$32	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$633	63.9¢	Победа
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$1.7k	31.6¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	$4.5k	57.6¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$837	8.0¢	Поражение
Spread: LSU (-5.5)	LSU	$13	39.0¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$509	84.8¢	Победа
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	No	$954	86.5¢	Победа
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Поражение
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	$560	64.8¢	Победа
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	No	$39	13.0¢	Поражение
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$7	4.2¢	Поражение
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?	Yes	$68	5.5¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$165	33.0¢	Поражение
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$3.7k	63.0¢	Поражение
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$314	12.0¢	Победа
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$338	3.2¢	Победа
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$10	0.5¢	Поражение
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?	No	$502	71.8¢	Победа
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?	Yes	$105	1.8¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$289	2.6¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$58	1.1¢	Поражение
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?	No	$1.2k	66.6¢	Победа
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?	Yes	$72	2.8¢	Поражение
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?	No	$279	63.0¢	Победа
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?	No	$166	15.0¢	Поражение
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?	Yes	$140	70.0¢	Победа
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	$261	17.4¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$167	5.0¢	Поражение
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?	No	$104	46.0¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$223	22.3¢	Победа
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?	No	$1.1k	83.1¢	Победа
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$67	7.5¢	Поражение
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	No	$1.1k	55.6¢	Победа
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$10	5.6¢	Поражение
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$1.1k	60.1¢	Победа
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$17	0.3¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	$430	14.2¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$430	86.0¢	Победа
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$9.2k	39.2¢	Победа
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$683	24.7¢	Поражение
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	No	$782	88.0¢	Победа
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$266	68.0¢	Поражение
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$21	0.3¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	No	$1.0k	38.3¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$8.0k	61.6¢	Победа
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	$2.3k	42.1¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	$449	56.1¢	Победа

Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?Поражение
Yes$32 @ 0.4¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Победа
No$633 @ 63.9¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Поражение
Yes$1.7k @ 31.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Победа
No$4.5k @ 57.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$837 @ 8.0¢
Spread: LSU (-5.5)Поражение
LSU$13 @ 39.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Победа
No$509 @ 84.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Победа
No$954 @ 86.5¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Победа
No$560 @ 64.8¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Поражение
No$39 @ 13.0¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 4.2¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Поражение
Yes$68 @ 5.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Поражение
Yes$165 @ 33.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поражение
No$3.7k @ 63.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Победа
Yes$314 @ 12.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Победа
No$338 @ 3.2¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Победа
No$502 @ 71.8¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Поражение
Yes$105 @ 1.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Поражение
Yes$289 @ 2.6¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$58 @ 1.1¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Победа
No$1.2k @ 66.6¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Поражение
Yes$72 @ 2.8¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Победа
No$279 @ 63.0¢
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Поражение
No$166 @ 15.0¢
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Победа
Yes$140 @ 70.0¢
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Поражение
Yes$261 @ 17.4¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$167 @ 5.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Победа
No$104 @ 46.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$223 @ 22.3¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?Победа
No$1.1k @ 83.1¢
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Поражение
Yes$67 @ 7.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Победа
No$1.1k @ 55.6¢
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 5.6¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Победа
Yes$1.1k @ 60.1¢
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 0.3¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Поражение
No$430 @ 14.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Победа
Yes$430 @ 86.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Победа
No$9.2k @ 39.2¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Поражение
Yes$683 @ 24.7¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Победа
No$782 @ 88.0¢
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$266 @ 68.0¢
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open?Поражение
Yes$21 @ 0.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Поражение
No$1.0k @ 38.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Победа
Yes$8.0k @ 61.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Поражение
No$2.3k @ 42.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Победа
Yes$449 @ 56.1¢

Недавние сделки

в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировки

Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	Политика	No	$8.6k	86.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Политика	No	$5.6k	56.0¢
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$5.1k	94.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$4.0k	16.4¢
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$3.2k	18.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$3.1k	33.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$3.0k	79.4¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$2.8k	18.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$2.4k	22.6¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$2.3k	17.8¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Политика	No	$2.2k	91.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$2.0k	38.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$2.0k	55.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$1.8k	33.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$1.8k	70.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	No	$1.7k	82.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$1.7k	34.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Политика	No	$1.6k	86.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$1.6k	94.3¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.6k	3.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Политика	Yes	$1.5k	34.5¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$1.3k	8.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$1.2k	56.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Геополитика	No	$1.2k	68.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.2k	8.7¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Политика	No	$1.2k	14.9¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.2k	4.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$1.1k	89.3¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.1k	21.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.1k	36.2¢

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Политика
No$8.6k @ 86.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Политика
No$5.6k @ 56.0¢
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Политика
No$5.1k @ 94.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Политика
Yes$4.0k @ 16.4¢
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$3.2k @ 18.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$3.1k @ 33.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Политика
No$3.0k @ 79.4¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Политика
Yes$2.8k @ 18.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$2.4k @ 22.6¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$2.3k @ 17.8¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Политика
No$2.2k @ 91.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$2.0k @ 38.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$2.0k @ 55.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Политика
Yes$1.8k @ 33.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Геополитика
Yes$1.8k @ 70.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
No$1.7k @ 82.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$1.7k @ 34.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Политика
No$1.6k @ 86.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Геополитика
No$1.6k @ 94.3¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Политика
Yes$1.6k @ 3.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Политика
Yes$1.5k @ 34.5¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Политика
Yes$1.3k @ 8.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$1.2k @ 56.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Геополитика
No$1.2k @ 68.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$1.2k @ 8.7¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Политика
No$1.2k @ 14.9¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Политика
Yes$1.2k @ 4.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Политика
No$1.1k @ 89.3¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Политика
Yes$1.1k @ 21.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$1.1k @ 36.2¢