0xcfbb…9e7c

Профи

Эдж

+6.6pp

ROI

+12%

Доля побед

27% @ 20.5¢

Brier

0.129

Сделок

680

Ср. размер

$15

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	27% (31/114)	+29%	114
Политика	65% (17/26)	-17%	26
Спорт	18% (3/17)	-24%	17
Технологии	57% (4/7)	+40%	7
Геополитика	25% (1/4)	-45%	4
Крипто	67% (2/3)	+191%	3

Other114 ставки
Попадания
27% (31/114)
ROI
+29%
Политика26 ставки
Попадания
65% (17/26)
ROI
-17%
Спорт17 ставки
Попадания
18% (3/17)
ROI
-24%
Технологии7 ставки
Попадания
57% (4/7)
ROI
+40%
Геополитика4 ставки
Попадания
25% (1/4)
ROI
-45%
Крипто3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+191%

История результатов

34% попаданий · 58/171

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$124	28.9¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	$18	12.3¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Поражение
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	9.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$16	78.0¢	Победа
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$1	4.6¢	Поражение
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	No	$104	86.8¢	Победа
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?	No	$2	15.0¢	Поражение
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	5.4¢	Поражение
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	$51	4.1¢	Поражение
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	No	$2	59.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	Yes	$2	2.2¢	Поражение
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	Yes	$75	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	Yes	$104	10.4¢	Победа
Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$115	58.3¢	Победа
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$5	1.8¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$26	13.0¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$285	76.8¢	Победа
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	8.6¢	Поражение
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	1.8¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	Yes	$76	11.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$140	20.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$18	22.0¢	Поражение
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$35	35.0¢	Поражение
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$13	12.8¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?	Yes	$9	11.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	Yes	$352	13.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$13	86.0¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$207	69.0¢	Поражение
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$25	27.8¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$57	27.9¢	Победа
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	$5	63.0¢	Победа
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Поражение
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7	6.8¢	Поражение
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	$28	3.0¢	Поражение
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	$28	6.9¢	Поражение
Will "Nobody 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	$10	4.9¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	$187	10.1¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	$101	13.0¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$272	65.6¢	Победа
Will "War Machine" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Поражение
AI Bubble Boom Parlay November	No	$18	9.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	$42	84.0¢	Победа
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	$1	2.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$168	70.4¢	Победа
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7	2.3¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?	Yes	$48	15.3¢	Победа

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$124 @ 28.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 12.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 9.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$16 @ 78.0¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 4.6¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Победа
No$104 @ 86.8¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?Поражение
No$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 5.4¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$51 @ 4.1¢
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Победа
No$2 @ 59.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Поражение
Yes$75 @ 2.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Победа
Yes$104 @ 10.4¢
Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Победа
Yes$115 @ 58.3¢
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Победа
No$26 @ 13.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Победа
No$285 @ 76.8¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 8.6¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 1.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Поражение
Yes$76 @ 11.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поражение
Yes$140 @ 20.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 22.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Поражение
No$35 @ 35.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 12.8¢
Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 11.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Поражение
Yes$352 @ 13.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Победа
No$13 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Поражение
No$207 @ 69.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Поражение
No$25 @ 27.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Победа
No$57 @ 27.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?Победа
Yes$5 @ 63.0¢
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 6.8¢
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Поражение
Yes$28 @ 3.0¢
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Поражение
Yes$28 @ 6.9¢
Will "Nobody 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 4.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Победа
Yes$187 @ 10.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Поражение
Yes$101 @ 13.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Победа
No$272 @ 65.6¢
Will "War Machine" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
AI Bubble Boom Parlay NovemberПоражение
No$18 @ 9.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Победа
No$42 @ 84.0¢
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$168 @ 70.4¢
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 2.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Победа
Yes$48 @ 15.3¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$195	27.9¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$195 @ 27.9¢