0xcb67…cb63

Профи

Эдж

+3.8pp

ROI

+18%

Доля побед

30% @ 26.7¢

Brier

0.123

Сделок

3498

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	47% (37/79)	+29%	79
Политика	58% (38/65)	+39%	65
Наука	23% (7/30)	-28%	30
Геополитика	73% (11/15)	-31%	15
Культура	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other79 ставки
Попадания
47% (37/79)
ROI
+29%
Политика65 ставки
Попадания
58% (38/65)
ROI
+39%
Наука30 ставки
Попадания
23% (7/30)
ROI
-28%
Геополитика15 ставки
Попадания
73% (11/15)
ROI
-31%
Культура1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

История результатов

49% попаданий · 94/190

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?	No	$91	3.6¢	Поражение
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	$15	13.9¢	Победа
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	No	$3	82.5¢	Победа
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$3	46.2¢	Победа
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$1	78.9¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?	No	$2	75.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	Yes	$2	11.9¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	$2	5.9¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	Yes	$1	88.0¢	Победа
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 1?	No	$3	1.0¢	Поражение
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$1	87.0¢	Поражение
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$1	16.0¢	Победа
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$7	40.2¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$65	76.4¢	Победа
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$8	0.8¢	Поражение
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	No	$2	87.5¢	Победа
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$8	68.0¢	Победа
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$14	9.8¢	Поражение
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$1	85.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 31?	Yes	$50	4.3¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$3	88.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	No	$30	84.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	$14	4.8¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$6	76.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	No	$8	81.7¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	$5	14.2¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$1	33.1¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 2?	Yes	$3	6.5¢	Поражение
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$2	86.6¢	Победа
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$6	2.8¢	Поражение
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	Yes	$4	16.8¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$1	79.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	$5	5.8¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	$2	14.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	8.9¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	$3	5.4¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	$35	77.7¢	Победа
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	$4	81.8¢	Победа
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$4	77.1¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	$7	1.2¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	$3	79.2¢	Победа
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	No	$1	87.0¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$33	54.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$8	44.4¢	Победа
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$2	38.0¢	Поражение
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$8	44.3¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	$5	3.5¢	Поражение
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	Yes	$2	29.0¢	Поражение

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?Поражение
No$91 @ 3.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?Победа
Yes$15 @ 13.9¢
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Победа
No$3 @ 82.5¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Победа
No$3 @ 46.2¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Победа
Yes$1 @ 78.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?Победа
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?Победа
Yes$2 @ 11.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 5.9¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Победа
Yes$1 @ 88.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 1?Поражение
No$3 @ 1.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поражение
No$1 @ 87.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Победа
No$1 @ 16.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 40.2¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Победа
No$65 @ 76.4¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 0.8¢
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Победа
No$2 @ 87.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Победа
No$8 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 9.8¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Победа
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 31?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 4.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Победа
No$3 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?Победа
No$30 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 4.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Победа
No$6 @ 76.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?Победа
No$8 @ 81.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 14.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Победа
Yes$1 @ 33.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 2?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 6.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Победа
No$2 @ 86.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 2.8¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 16.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Победа
Yes$1 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 5.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 31?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 14.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 2?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 5.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?Победа
Yes$35 @ 77.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Победа
No$4 @ 81.8¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Победа
No$4 @ 77.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 1.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Победа
No$3 @ 79.2¢
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Победа
No$1 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Поражение
No$33 @ 54.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Победа
Yes$8 @ 44.4¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Поражение
No$2 @ 38.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Победа
Yes$8 @ 44.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 3.5¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 29.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$41	23.9¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Политика	Yes	$22	40.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$21	90.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Геополитика	Yes	$15	86.5¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Политика	Yes	$11	81.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$11	66.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$7	94.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$6	2.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$6	18.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$5	90.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Политика	Yes	$3	8.3¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Политика	No	$3	97.6¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$3	95.0¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$3	30.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$2	88.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Политика	No	$2	94.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Политика	No	$2	65.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Политика	Yes	$2	38.8¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$2	24.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$1	7.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$1	90.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Геополитика	No	$1	91.0¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$1	93.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Политика	No	$1	94.0¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Геополитика	No	$1	83.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Геополитика	No	$1	87.0¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?	Политика	No	$1	92.0¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$1	97.1¢
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?	Политика	No	$1	93.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Политика	No	$1	93.0¢

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Политика
Yes$41 @ 23.9¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Политика
Yes$22 @ 40.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Геополитика
No$21 @ 90.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Геополитика
Yes$15 @ 86.5¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Политика
Yes$11 @ 81.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Политика
Yes$11 @ 66.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Геополитика
No$7 @ 94.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Политика
Yes$6 @ 2.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Политика
Yes$6 @ 18.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Геополитика
No$5 @ 90.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Политика
Yes$3 @ 8.3¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Политика
No$3 @ 97.6¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$3 @ 95.0¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Политика
Yes$3 @ 30.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Политика
No$2 @ 88.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Политика
No$2 @ 94.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Политика
No$2 @ 65.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Политика
Yes$2 @ 38.8¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Политика
Yes$2 @ 24.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Политика
Yes$1 @ 7.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
No$1 @ 90.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Геополитика
No$1 @ 91.0¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?Геополитика
No$1 @ 93.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseПолитика
No$1 @ 94.0¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Геополитика
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Геополитика
No$1 @ 87.0¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Политика
No$1 @ 92.0¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Геополитика
No$1 @ 97.1¢
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Политика
No$1 @ 93.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Политика
No$1 @ 93.0¢