0xcb59…0a22

Профи

Эдж

+3.6pp

ROI

+10%

Доля побед

54% @ 50.6¢

Brier

0.175

Сделок

4005

Ср. размер

$231

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	64% (171/266)	+5%	266
Политика	59% (71/121)	+12%	121
Спорт	49% (20/41)	-19%	41
Технологии	63% (12/19)	+7%	19
Геополитика	53% (10/19)	-35%	19
Крипто	100% (2/2)	+166%	2
Экономика	100% (1/1)	+54%	1
Культура	100% (1/1)	+13%	1

Other266 ставки
Попадания
64% (171/266)
ROI
+5%
Политика121 ставки
Попадания
59% (71/121)
ROI
+12%
Спорт41 ставки
Попадания
49% (20/41)
ROI
-19%
Технологии19 ставки
Попадания
63% (12/19)
ROI
+7%
Геополитика19 ставки
Попадания
53% (10/19)
ROI
-35%
Крипто2 ставки
Попадания
100% (2/2)
ROI
+166%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+54%
Культура1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+13%

История результатов

61% попаданий · 288/470

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$2	44.0¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$359	38.1¢	Победа
Bengals vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	$78	25.0¢	Поражение
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	No	$310	37.9¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$265	88.2¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$132	6.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$61	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Bernie Sanders say "Authoritarian" or "Authoritarianism" in Michigan?	Yes	$40	89.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$170	89.0¢	Победа
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	$1.4k	62.3¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Elizabeth Warren" or "Pocahontas" during the State of the Union address?	No	$14	82.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$380	76.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$830	35.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$26.0k	29.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	No	$3	32.0¢	Поражение
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?	Yes	$755	75.5¢	Победа
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$884	62.6¢	Победа
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$38	83.9¢	Победа
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$4.5k	73.0¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$1.4k	85.3¢	Победа
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$586	73.3¢	Победа
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	$366	34.1¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$252	84.0¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	$0	89.0¢	Победа
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?	Yes	$4	43.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$400	80.0¢	Победа
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$2.0k	56.1¢	Победа
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$125	78.5¢	Победа
Will Brett M. Kavanaugh attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$67	87.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$246	82.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$2.8k	15.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$2.5k	15.5¢	Поражение
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	No	$380	22.7¢	Поражение
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	$3.9k	87.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$5.0k	62.0¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$5.8k	82.6¢	Победа
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?	No	$198	66.0¢	Поражение
Pacers vs. Pelicans	Pacers	$87	58.0¢	Победа
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?	No	$50	23.3¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	$480	16.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	$425	89.6¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation?	No	$65	65.0¢	Победа
Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?	No	$357	51.0¢	Победа
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	No	$5	72.0¢	Поражение
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$3.8k	76.7¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Susie Wiles" during the State of the Union address?	No	$310	70.0¢	Победа
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	Yes	$126	6.3¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	$820	41.0¢	Поражение
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$10.7k	85.2¢	Победа
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$6.7k	41.7¢	Поражение

Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?Победа
Yes$2 @ 44.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Победа
Yes$359 @ 38.1¢
Bengals vs. DolphinsПоражение
Dolphins$78 @ 25.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Победа
No$310 @ 37.9¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Победа
Yes$265 @ 88.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Поражение
Yes$132 @ 6.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Поражение
Yes$61 @ 2.9¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Authoritarian" or "Authoritarianism" in Michigan?Победа
Yes$40 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Победа
Yes$170 @ 89.0¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Победа
No$1.4k @ 62.3¢
Will Trump say "Elizabeth Warren" or "Pocahontas" during the State of the Union address?Победа
No$14 @ 82.0¢
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?Победа
Yes$380 @ 76.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$830 @ 35.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$26.0k @ 29.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Поражение
No$3 @ 32.0¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?Победа
Yes$755 @ 75.5¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Победа
No$884 @ 62.6¢
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?Победа
No$38 @ 83.9¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Победа
Yes$4.5k @ 73.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Победа
Yes$1.4k @ 85.3¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Победа
Yes$586 @ 73.3¢
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Победа
Yes$366 @ 34.1¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Победа
Yes$252 @ 84.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?Победа
No$0 @ 89.0¢
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?Победа
Yes$4 @ 43.0¢
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Победа
Yes$400 @ 80.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Победа
Yes$2.0k @ 56.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Победа
No$125 @ 78.5¢
Will Brett M. Kavanaugh attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Победа
Yes$67 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Победа
No$246 @ 82.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2.8k @ 15.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2.5k @ 15.5¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Поражение
No$380 @ 22.7¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Победа
No$3.9k @ 87.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$5.0k @ 62.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Победа
No$5.8k @ 82.6¢
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?Поражение
No$198 @ 66.0¢
Pacers vs. PelicansПобеда
Pacers$87 @ 58.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?Поражение
No$50 @ 23.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Поражение
Yes$480 @ 16.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Победа
No$425 @ 89.6¢
Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation?Победа
No$65 @ 65.0¢
Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?Победа
No$357 @ 51.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Поражение
No$5 @ 72.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
No$3.8k @ 76.7¢
Will Trump say "Susie Wiles" during the State of the Union address?Победа
No$310 @ 70.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Поражение
Yes$126 @ 6.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Поражение
Yes$820 @ 41.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Победа
No$10.7k @ 85.2¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$6.7k @ 41.7¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$3.8k	45.2¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Политика	No	$1.5k	76.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.3k	20.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Политика	No	$562	55.2¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$500	50.0¢
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Спорт	Yes	$381	2.6¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$152	29.0¢
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Политика	Yes	$150	15.0¢
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$15	1.5¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$11	80.0¢
Blue wave in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$10	84.0¢
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$4	0.8¢
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$4	0.8¢
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$4	0.8¢
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$4	0.8¢
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$4	0.8¢
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$4	0.8¢

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Технологии
Yes$3.8k @ 45.2¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Политика
No$1.5k @ 76.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Политика
Yes$1.3k @ 20.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Политика
No$562 @ 55.2¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Политика
Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Спорт
Yes$381 @ 2.6¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$152 @ 29.0¢
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Политика
Yes$150 @ 15.0¢
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Экономика
Yes$15 @ 1.5¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$11 @ 80.0¢
Blue wave in 2026?Политика
Yes$10 @ 84.0¢
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Технологии
Yes$4 @ 0.8¢
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Технологии
Yes$4 @ 0.8¢
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Технологии
Yes$4 @ 0.8¢
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Технологии
Yes$4 @ 0.8¢
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Технологии
Yes$4 @ 0.8¢
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Технологии
Yes$4 @ 0.8¢