0xca52…0cdf

Специализация по сферам

• Other411 ставки

  Попадания

  52% (215/411)

  ROI

  +11%

• Технологии28 ставки

  Попадания

  39% (11/28)

  ROI

  +46%

• Политика19 ставки

  Попадания

  47% (9/19)

  ROI

  +54%

• Спорт6 ставки

  Попадания

  0% (0/6)

  ROI

  -100%

• Геополитика6 ставки

  Попадания

  33% (2/6)

  ROI

  -63%

• Экономика2 ставки

  Попадания

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +43%

• Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Поражение
  No$50 @ 68.0¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionПобеда
  Yes$2 @ 61.0¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Победа
  No$106 @ 78.3¢
• Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?Поражение
  No$25 @ 75.7¢
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Поражение
  No$4 @ 79.0¢
• Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?Победа
  No$25 @ 57.0¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Поражение
  Yes$11 @ 13.0¢
• Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Победа
  Yes$363 @ 71.9¢
• Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Победа
  Yes$188 @ 85.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Поражение
  Yes$59 @ 26.2¢
• Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?Поражение
  No$20 @ 55.0¢
• Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Победа
  No$130 @ 81.2¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Поражение
  No$1.2k @ 77.8¢
• Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?Поражение
  No$40 @ 70.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Поражение
  No$18 @ 77.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Поражение
  Yes$55 @ 2.3¢
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?Поражение
  Yes$5 @ 3.1¢
• Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?Победа
  Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
• US government shutdown by October 1?Победа
  Yes$30 @ 65.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Победа
  Yes$35 @ 42.6¢
• Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Поражение
  No$45 @ 75.0¢
• Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Победа
  No$46 @ 37.0¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Победа
  No$240 @ 85.0¢
• Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Поражение
  No$40 @ 79.4¢
• Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?Победа
  Yes$30 @ 29.7¢
• Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Поражение
  No$20 @ 70.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Поражение
  Yes$126 @ 41.3¢
• Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Победа
  No$300 @ 83.0¢
• Will Alibaba have the top AI model on October 31?Поражение
  Yes$9 @ 2.5¢
• SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?Поражение
  No$1 @ 0.4¢
• U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?Победа
  No$50 @ 66.1¢
• Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Победа
  Yes$212 @ 89.8¢
• Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Победа
  No$56 @ 88.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Победа
  Yes$480 @ 77.2¢
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Поражение
  Yes$9 @ 2.4¢
• Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Победа
  Yes$6 @ 58.0¢
• US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Поражение
  Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
• Will Ding Liren win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?Поражение
  Yes$9 @ 4.2¢
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?Поражение
  Yes$68 @ 3.2¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Победа
  Yes$30 @ 71.0¢
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Победа
  Yes$106 @ 79.8¢
• GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?Победа
  Yes$25 @ 61.0¢
• Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Поражение
  Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
• Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
  Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
• US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Поражение
  No$200 @ 85.0¢
• US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Победа
  Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Победа
  No$170 @ 84.9¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Победа
  Yes$18 @ 70.3¢
• Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Поражение
  No$238 @ 70.4¢
• Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Поражение
  Yes$6 @ 26.0¢

Текущие позиции

• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Технологии
  Yes$1.5k @ 76.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Технологии
  Yes$1.0k @ 86.8¢
• Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Технологии
  Yes$508 @ 52.9¢
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$464 @ 47.4¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Технологии
  No$400 @ 94.7¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Технологии
  Yes$400 @ 74.7¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$351 @ 37.2¢
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Технологии
  No$350 @ 73.5¢
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$345 @ 70.3¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технологии
  Yes$233 @ 74.6¢
• U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Политика
  Yes$231 @ 12.1¢
• Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$220 @ 93.5¢
• AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Технологии
  Yes$214 @ 67.4¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Технологии
  No$150 @ 85.1¢
• Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?Технологии
  No$150 @ 92.8¢
• Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Крипто
  Yes$145 @ 82.0¢
• Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.40 and $0.45 on September 30, 2026?Технологии
  No$133 @ 94.1¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технологии
  Yes$100 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Политика
  Yes$96 @ 25.9¢
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$80 @ 39.9¢
• Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?Технологии
  No$71 @ 72.0¢
• Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?Технологии
  No$53 @ 70.0¢
• OpenAI IPO before 2027?Бизнес
  No$49 @ 49.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
  Yes$46 @ 50.4¢
• SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Технологии
  No$44 @ 65.8¢
• Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Экономика
  No$42 @ 24.0¢
• Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$38 @ 22.0¢
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Политика
  Yes$37 @ 15.0¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Технологии
  Yes$36 @ 58.7¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Политика
  Yes$29 @ 27.0¢