← Умные деньги
0xc6dd…4b9f
ПрибыльныйСнайперЭдж
+17.5pp
ROI
+22%
Доля побед
98% @ 80.1¢
Brier
0.038
Сделок
255
Ср. размер
$642
Динамика ROI
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Политика | 75% (3/4) | +19% | 4 |
| Технологии | 67% (2/3) | +6% | 3 |
| Крипто | 50% (1/2) | +94% | 2 |
| Other | 100% (1/1) | +33% | 1 |
- Политика4 ставки
- Попадания
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +19%
- Технологии3 ставки
- Попадания
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +6%
- Крипто2 ставки
- Попадания
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +94%
- Other1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +33%
История результатов
70% попаданий · 7/10| Рынок | Исход | Размер | Вход | Итог |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? | Yes | $3.0k | 75.0¢ | Победа |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | $52.9k | 84.4¢ | Победа |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $7.0k | 45.0¢ | Победа |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $1.0k | 0.7¢ | Поражение |
| Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | No | $13.0k | 75.4¢ | Победа |
| Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? | Yes | $5.3k | 88.5¢ | Победа |
| Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $2.5k | 88.0¢ | Победа |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | $1.0k | 2.0¢ | Поражение |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | $77.5k | 84.0¢ | Победа |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | No | $522 | 11.0¢ | Поражение |
- Yes$3.0k @ 75.0¢
- No$52.9k @ 84.4¢
- No$7.0k @ 45.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 0.7¢
- No$13.0k @ 75.4¢
- Yes$5.3k @ 88.5¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 88.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 2.0¢
- Yes$77.5k @ 84.0¢
- No$522 @ 11.0¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
- No$321.2k @ 81.8¢
- Yes$47.7k @ 89.8¢
- No$37.5k @ 87.1¢
- No$16.8k @ 65.4¢
- No$12.0k @ 98.1¢
- No$6.5k @ 47.9¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 87.9¢
- Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?ТехнологииNo$3.3k @ 89.3¢
- Anduril IPO before 2027?ТехнологииNo$3.2k @ 87.7¢
- No$2.8k @ 80.8¢
- No$2.3k @ 13.9¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?ПолитикаNo$1.1k @ 87.0¢
- No$716 @ 74.4¢
- Yes$487 @ 35.0¢
- No$441 @ 97.2¢
- No$256 @ 94.9¢
- Yes$207 @ 57.2¢
- No$124 @ 67.7¢
- Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027?ТехнологииNo$104 @ 88.9¢
- No$51 @ 98.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 52.0¢