0xc427…6f4d

Прибыльный

Эдж

+3.5pp

ROI

+4%

Доля побед

34% @ 30.1¢

Brier

0.169

Сделок

1316

Ср. размер

$57

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	36% (88/246)	+22%	246
Спорт	17% (4/23)	-48%	23
Геополитика	29% (4/14)	-47%	14
Политика	22% (2/9)	-50%	9
Крипто	0% (0/9)	-100%	9
Технологии	50% (1/2)	-40%	2

Other246 ставки
Попадания
36% (88/246)
ROI
+22%
Спорт23 ставки
Попадания
17% (4/23)
ROI
-48%
Геополитика14 ставки
Попадания
29% (4/14)
ROI
-47%
Политика9 ставки
Попадания
22% (2/9)
ROI
-50%
Крипто9 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/9)
ROI
-100%
Технологии2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-40%

История результатов

33% попаданий · 99/303

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	No	$91	26.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	No	$3	4.2¢	Поражение
Spread: Russia (-1.5)	Russia	$150	40.6¢	Поражение
Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?	No	$150	15.0¢	Поражение
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?	No	$2.1k	48.2¢	Поражение
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?	Yes	$838	75.7¢	Победа
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	$400	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$218	10.4¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	Yes	$445	14.3¢	Поражение
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	$40	20.0¢	Победа
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	Yes	$506	65.8¢	Поражение
Will gas hit (High) $4.15 by April 30?	No	$79	6.8¢	Поражение
Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)	Getafe CF	$8	13.0¢	Поражение
Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)	EC Bahia	$52	17.1¢	Поражение
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$171	38.5¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$104	26.0¢	Поражение
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$525	30.0¢	Поражение
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	$10	86.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $72 by end of February?	Yes	$24	8.8¢	Поражение
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$40	29.8¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $68 by end of February?	Yes	$7	10.0¢	Поражение
Spread: England (-3.5)	France	$140	54.4¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?	No	$82	7.3¢	Поражение
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$136	22.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	No	$103	56.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$228	14.4¢	Победа
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?	No	$280	18.7¢	Поражение
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?	Yes	$388	72.7¢	Победа
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 7?	No	$26	2.1¢	Поражение
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?	No	$260	46.6¢	Победа
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	Yes	$729	36.0¢	Поражение
Will gas hit (High) $4.40 by May 31?	Yes	$548	88.0¢	Победа
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$153	1.9¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Поражение
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	$22	22.0¢	Поражение
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	$40	38.2¢	Победа
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$57	28.5¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of April 6 2026?	No	$31	58.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?	No	$540	54.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	$156	52.0¢	Победа
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	$6	24.4¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 7?	No	$19	1.7¢	Поражение
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?	Yes	$53	44.0¢	Победа
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	$168	14.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$973	22.7¢	Поражение
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	$101	5.0¢	Поражение
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$276	25.4¢	Поражение
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$198	66.0¢	Победа
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	No	$212	53.1¢	Победа
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$457	42.8¢	Поражение

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Поражение
No$91 @ 26.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Поражение
No$3 @ 4.2¢
Spread: Russia (-1.5)Поражение
Russia$150 @ 40.6¢
Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?Поражение
No$150 @ 15.0¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?Поражение
No$2.1k @ 48.2¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?Победа
Yes$838 @ 75.7¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Поражение
Yes$400 @ 13.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Поражение
No$218 @ 10.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Поражение
Yes$445 @ 14.3¢
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)Победа
SC Freiburg$40 @ 20.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Поражение
Yes$506 @ 65.8¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.15 by April 30?Поражение
No$79 @ 6.8¢
Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Поражение
Getafe CF$8 @ 13.0¢
Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)Поражение
EC Bahia$52 @ 17.1¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$171 @ 38.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Поражение
Yes$104 @ 26.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Поражение
Yes$525 @ 30.0¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 86.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $72 by end of February?Поражение
Yes$24 @ 8.8¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 29.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $68 by end of February?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 10.0¢
Spread: England (-3.5)Победа
France$140 @ 54.4¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Поражение
No$82 @ 7.3¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$136 @ 22.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Поражение
No$103 @ 56.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Победа
Yes$228 @ 14.4¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?Поражение
No$280 @ 18.7¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?Победа
Yes$388 @ 72.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 7?Поражение
No$26 @ 2.1¢
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?Победа
No$260 @ 46.6¢
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Поражение
Yes$729 @ 36.0¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.40 by May 31?Победа
Yes$548 @ 88.0¢
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Поражение
No$153 @ 1.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?Победа
Yes$40 @ 38.2¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Победа
France$57 @ 28.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of April 6 2026?Победа
No$31 @ 58.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Победа
No$540 @ 54.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Победа
No$156 @ 52.0¢
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 24.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 7?Поражение
No$19 @ 1.7¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?Победа
Yes$53 @ 44.0¢
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Поражение
Yes$168 @ 14.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Поражение
Yes$973 @ 22.7¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Поражение
No$101 @ 5.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Поражение
No$276 @ 25.4¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Победа
Yes$198 @ 66.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Победа
No$212 @ 53.1¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Поражение
Yes$457 @ 42.8¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	Other	Yes	$341	30.0¢
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Other	No	$109	67.6¢
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Геополитика	Yes	$46	2.6¢
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?	Other	Yes	$15	9.3¢
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?	Экономика	No	$3	58.0¢

Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?Other
Yes$341 @ 30.0¢
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?Other
No$109 @ 67.6¢
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Геополитика
Yes$46 @ 2.6¢
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?Other
Yes$15 @ 9.3¢
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?Экономика
No$3 @ 58.0¢