0xc3da…41fe

Профи

Эдж

+15.8pp

ROI

+76%

Доля побед

35% @ 19.0¢

Brier

0.128

Сделок

1155

Ср. размер

$222

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	38% (3/8)	+72%	8
Other	25% (1/4)	-81%	4
Геополитика	67% (2/3)	+125%	3
Экономика	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Технологии	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Политика8 ставки
Попадания
38% (3/8)
ROI
+72%
Other4 ставки
Попадания
25% (1/4)
ROI
-81%
Геополитика3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+125%
Экономика2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

33% попаданий · 6/18

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	$6.0k	57.3¢	Поражение
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	$43.0k	70.9¢	Победа
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	$290	19.7¢	Победа
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$849	60.0¢	Победа
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$6.4k	28.8¢	Поражение
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	No	$720	49.9¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.7k	8.0¢	Поражение
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	$1.4k	31.7¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	$3.1k	41.1¢	Поражение
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	$144	2.2¢	Поражение
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$975	80.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.5k	0.6¢	Поражение
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$27	3.2¢	Поражение
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$743	6.3¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$188.7k	41.7¢	Победа
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$58.8k	15.9¢	Поражение
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$441	22.8¢	Поражение
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	No	$4.3k	8.8¢	Поражение

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Поражение
No$6.0k @ 57.3¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$43.0k @ 70.9¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$290 @ 19.7¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$849 @ 60.0¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$6.4k @ 28.8¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$720 @ 49.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$2.7k @ 8.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Победа
Yes$1.4k @ 31.7¢
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Поражение
Yes$3.1k @ 41.1¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$144 @ 2.2¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$975 @ 80.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$2.5k @ 0.6¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$27 @ 3.2¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$743 @ 6.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$188.7k @ 41.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$58.8k @ 15.9¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$441 @ 22.8¢
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$4.3k @ 8.8¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$21.0k	85.5¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Политика	Yes	$8.8k	37.4¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Технологии	No	$6.0k	57.3¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$4.0k	41.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$2.5k	9.3¢
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Экономика	Yes	$910	16.6¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Экономика	Yes	$450	85.8¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$21.0k @ 85.5¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Политика
Yes$8.8k @ 37.4¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Технологии
No$6.0k @ 57.3¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$4.0k @ 41.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$2.5k @ 9.3¢
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Экономика
Yes$910 @ 16.6¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Экономика
Yes$450 @ 85.8¢