0xc34a…6007

Профи

Эдж

+5.4pp

ROI

+12%

Доля побед

65% @ 59.8¢

Brier

0.191

Сделок

4548

Ср. размер

$36

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	63% (239/379)	+12%	379
Политика	59% (58/98)	-1%	98
Геополитика	76% (26/34)	+23%	34
Спорт	40% (2/5)	-55%	5
Культура	67% (2/3)	+31%	3
Технологии	50% (1/2)	-5%	2

Other379 ставки
Попадания
63% (239/379)
ROI
+12%
Политика98 ставки
Попадания
59% (58/98)
ROI
-1%
Геополитика34 ставки
Попадания
76% (26/34)
ROI
+23%
Спорт5 ставки
Попадания
40% (2/5)
ROI
-55%
Культура3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+31%
Технологии2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-5%

История результатов

63% попаданий · 328/521

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	No	$73	32.7¢	Поражение
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	No	$3	63.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	$283	80.7¢	Победа
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$61	50.1¢	Победа
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	$14	14.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$231	53.9¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$1.0k	46.6¢	Победа
TikTok sale announced by March 31?	Yes	$8	83.0¢	Победа
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	$90	44.8¢	Поражение
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$80	49.5¢	Поражение
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	$18	27.9¢	Поражение
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	Yes	$724	74.2¢	Победа
Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?	Yes	$27	67.0¢	Победа
Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?	No	$236	80.1¢	Победа
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$18	1.8¢	Поражение
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?	Yes	$174	15.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$135	89.9¢	Победа
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$79	88.0¢	Победа
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?	No	$49	54.8¢	Победа
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$2.2k	77.6¢	Победа
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in another country?	No	$52	84.4¢	Победа
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?	No	$247	89.0¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$16	31.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$6	63.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$802	61.7¢	Поражение
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?	No	$5	75.0¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$70	35.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?	Yes	$752	75.2¢	Победа
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	No	$36	20.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	Yes	$76	76.0¢	Победа
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	Yes	$4	1.6¢	Поражение
Weed rescheduled by March 31?	No	$183	63.2¢	Победа
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$48	76.0¢	Победа
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?	No	$128	42.8¢	Поражение
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?	Yes	$772	50.3¢	Победа
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$69	55.2¢	Поражение
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?	No	$653	87.1¢	Победа
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$608	84.3¢	Победа
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$152	76.1¢	Победа
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	$116	31.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	Yes	$509	72.3¢	Победа
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$96	30.9¢	Поражение
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	No	$9	17.2¢	Поражение
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	Yes	$308	74.7¢	Победа
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?	No	$80	80.0¢	Победа
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	No	$31	29.2¢	Поражение
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$225	82.0¢	Победа
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?	No	$9	89.0¢	Победа
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?	No	$59	59.1¢	Победа
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$105	70.0¢	Победа

Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Поражение
No$73 @ 32.7¢
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Победа
No$3 @ 63.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Победа
No$283 @ 80.7¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Победа
No$61 @ 50.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Поражение
No$231 @ 53.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.0k @ 46.6¢
TikTok sale announced by March 31?Победа
Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Поражение
No$90 @ 44.8¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Поражение
No$80 @ 49.5¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Поражение
No$18 @ 27.9¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Победа
Yes$724 @ 74.2¢
Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?Победа
Yes$27 @ 67.0¢
Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?Победа
No$236 @ 80.1¢
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 1.8¢
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Поражение
Yes$174 @ 15.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Победа
No$135 @ 89.9¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$79 @ 88.0¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?Победа
No$49 @ 54.8¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Победа
No$2.2k @ 77.6¢
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in another country?Победа
No$52 @ 84.4¢
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?Победа
No$247 @ 89.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$16 @ 31.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$6 @ 63.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$802 @ 61.7¢
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?Победа
No$5 @ 75.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поражение
Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Победа
Yes$752 @ 75.2¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Поражение
No$36 @ 20.2¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Победа
Yes$76 @ 76.0¢
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 1.6¢
Weed rescheduled by March 31?Победа
No$183 @ 63.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Победа
No$48 @ 76.0¢
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Поражение
No$128 @ 42.8¢
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Победа
Yes$772 @ 50.3¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поражение
No$69 @ 55.2¢
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Победа
No$653 @ 87.1¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$608 @ 84.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Победа
No$152 @ 76.1¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Поражение
No$116 @ 31.9¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Победа
Yes$509 @ 72.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Поражение
Yes$96 @ 30.9¢
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Поражение
No$9 @ 17.2¢
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Победа
Yes$308 @ 74.7¢
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?Победа
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Поражение
No$31 @ 29.2¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Победа
Yes$225 @ 82.0¢
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?Победа
No$9 @ 89.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Победа
No$59 @ 59.1¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Победа
No$105 @ 70.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Политика	No	$6.9k	99.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$2.9k	97.9¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Крипто	No	$2.9k	95.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$1.8k	83.9¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	Политика	No	$992	99.2¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$989	83.3¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Политика	No	$919	91.9¢
GTA VI released by November 30?	Культура	Yes	$914	91.4¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	Политика	No	$618	95.0¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Геополитика	No	$514	85.6¢
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$510	0.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Политика	Yes	$448	89.7¢
Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$433	96.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$425	85.0¢
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?	Политика	No	$347	86.6¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$337	84.2¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$329	4.3¢
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$267	91.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$263	65.7¢
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Политика	No	$234	89.8¢
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$128	0.3¢
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Политика	No	$92	92.0¢
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$40	61.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Политика	Yes	$38	14.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Геополитика	Yes	$9	11.7¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$7	65.0¢

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Политика
No$6.9k @ 99.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Геополитика
No$2.9k @ 97.9¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Крипто
No$2.9k @ 95.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$1.8k @ 83.9¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Политика
No$992 @ 99.2¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
No$989 @ 83.3¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Политика
No$919 @ 91.9¢
GTA VI released by November 30?Культура
Yes$914 @ 91.4¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Политика
No$618 @ 95.0¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Геополитика
No$514 @ 85.6¢
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
Yes$510 @ 0.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Политика
Yes$448 @ 89.7¢
Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Геополитика
No$433 @ 96.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Геополитика
Yes$425 @ 85.0¢
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Политика
No$347 @ 86.6¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Геополитика
No$337 @ 84.2¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
Yes$329 @ 4.3¢
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?Геополитика
No$267 @ 91.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Политика
No$263 @ 65.7¢
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Политика
No$234 @ 89.8¢
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
Yes$128 @ 0.3¢
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Политика
No$92 @ 92.0¢
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Геополитика
Yes$40 @ 61.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Политика
Yes$38 @ 14.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Геополитика
Yes$9 @ 11.7¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Политика
Yes$7 @ 65.0¢