0xc327…31f5

Специализация по сферам

• Other194 ставки

  Попадания

  31% (60/194)

  ROI

  -13%

• Политика92 ставки

  Попадания

  34% (31/92)

  ROI

  +89%

• Технологии28 ставки

  Попадания

  11% (3/28)

  ROI

  -68%

• Геополитика22 ставки

  Попадания

  41% (9/22)

  ROI

  -1%

• Спорт9 ставки

  Попадания

  44% (4/9)

  ROI

  -7%

• Наука1 ставки

  Попадания

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Экономика1 ставки

  Попадания

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Культура1 ставки

  Попадания

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +335%

• Крипто1 ставки

  Попадания

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +109%

• US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Победа
  No$44 @ 55.0¢
• Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?Поражение
  No$8 @ 7.0¢
• Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Победа
  Yes$53 @ 32.5¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Поражение
  No$76 @ 33.8¢
• NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Поражение
  No$72 @ 31.9¢
• U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Поражение
  No$52 @ 70.5¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$177 @ 45.4¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Поражение
  No$83 @ 8.9¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Поражение
  No$132 @ 35.1¢
• Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Поражение
  No$15 @ 15.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?Поражение
  Yes$25 @ 12.0¢
• Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Поражение
  Yes$14 @ 71.0¢
• Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $18B by June 30?Поражение
  No$12 @ 8.6¢
• Ebola case in the US by June 30?Поражение
  Yes$39 @ 43.0¢
• North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Победа
  No$59 @ 44.8¢
• Will GameStop Q1 net sales be above $750M?Поражение
  No$30 @ 23.0¢
• Weed rescheduled by June 30?Победа
  No$96 @ 47.8¢
• Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Поражение
  No$120 @ 24.2¢
• OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?Поражение
  No$32 @ 34.6¢
• Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Поражение
  Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Поражение
  No$234 @ 19.4¢
• Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Поражение
  Yes$48 @ 8.6¢
• Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Победа
  No$147 @ 45.7¢
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Поражение
  No$131 @ 32.4¢
• Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Поражение
  Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
• Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Поражение
  Yes$30 @ 8.1¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?Поражение
  Yes$25 @ 6.5¢
• Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Поражение
  No$42 @ 52.0¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Победа
  No$34 @ 31.0¢
• Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Поражение
  No$2 @ 0.1¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Поражение
  No$94 @ 10.5¢
• Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?Поражение
  No$45 @ 7.5¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Победа
  Yes$136 @ 85.0¢
• Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026?Поражение
  No$12 @ 5.0¢
• US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Поражение
  No$142 @ 74.9¢
• Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Поражение
  Yes$6 @ 1.5¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Поражение
  No$184 @ 42.4¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Поражение
  No$106 @ 19.9¢
• Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$26 @ 4.2¢
• Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Победа
  No$43 @ 20.4¢
• Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?Победа
  Yes$8 @ 54.0¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$21 @ 9.0¢
• Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionПоражение
  Yes$71 @ 71.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Победа
  Yes$71 @ 0.8¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Победа
  No$65 @ 59.0¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
  Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
• Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Победа
  No$63 @ 35.0¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Поражение
  No$51 @ 28.3¢
• Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Поражение
  Yes$10 @ 0.6¢
• Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Победа
  Yes$14 @ 25.0¢

Текущие позиции

• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Геополитика
  Yes$250 @ 20.1¢
• Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Политика
  Yes$160 @ 80.0¢
• Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?Технологии
  Yes$141 @ 55.3¢
• Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Технологии
  No$136 @ 20.7¢
• Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$133 @ 54.5¢
• Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by September 30?Other
  No$129 @ 75.9¢
• Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Политика
  Yes$111 @ 58.6¢
• Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Технологии
  No$105 @ 49.9¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Технологии
  Yes$100 @ 66.5¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Технологии
  Yes$98 @ 44.6¢
• Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Технологии
  No$98 @ 42.5¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$96 @ 70.0¢
• Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Технологии
  No$94 @ 59.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Политика
  Yes$85 @ 18.0¢
• Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Политика
  Yes$75 @ 32.8¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$62 @ 54.7¢
• Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Политика
  Yes$60 @ 43.0¢
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Политика
  Yes$60 @ 50.0¢
• Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$53 @ 35.3¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Политика
  No$52 @ 46.1¢
• Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?Технологии
  Yes$52 @ 16.1¢
• Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?Политика
  No$47 @ 77.7¢
• Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Технологии
  No$44 @ 73.0¢
• Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$41 @ 10.8¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Политика
  No$35 @ 59.0¢
• Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Технологии
  No$32 @ 16.0¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Технологии
  Yes$32 @ 21.8¢
• Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Технологии
  Yes$29 @ 19.6¢
• Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Технологии
  Yes$29 @ 22.1¢
• Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Политика
  Yes$20 @ 2.2¢