0xc004…c095

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

• Other216 ставки

  Попадания

  48% (103/216)

  ROI

  +29%

• Технологии107 ставки

  Попадания

  64% (68/107)

  ROI

  +35%

• Политика40 ставки

  Попадания

  57% (23/40)

  ROI

  +7%

• Геополитика12 ставки

  Попадания

  58% (7/12)

  ROI

  +39%

• Культура6 ставки

  Попадания

  33% (2/6)

  ROI

  +9%

• Спорт4 ставки

  Попадания

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  +8%

• Крипто2 ставки

  Попадания

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -8%

• Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Поражение
  No$30 @ 3.3¢
• Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Поражение
  No$65 @ 5.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Победа
  Yes$503 @ 41.5¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Поражение
  Yes$133 @ 20.1¢
• US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?Поражение
  No$173 @ 30.2¢
• Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week?Поражение
  No$5 @ 13.0¢
• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 5, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 4, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 3, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Победа
  No$138 @ 62.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Победа
  No$282 @ 67.0¢
• Baidu matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Победа
  No$377 @ 82.3¢
• SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Победа
  No$139 @ 68.0¢
• Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Победа
  No$287 @ 67.3¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Победа
  No$256 @ 15.0¢
• Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Победа
  Yes$226 @ 57.7¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Победа
  No$500 @ 14.0¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Победа
  Yes$215 @ 13.6¢
• Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Победа
  Yes$220 @ 58.7¢
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Поражение
  No$38 @ 77.9¢
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Поражение
  No$71 @ 81.0¢
• Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?Победа
  Yes$204 @ 67.0¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionПобеда
  No$153 @ 89.0¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Поражение
  No$492 @ 23.4¢
• Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?Поражение
  Yes$0 @ 4.3¢
• Epstein client list released in 2025?Поражение
  Yes$8 @ 19.4¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Поражение
  No$95 @ 14.5¢
• Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Победа
  No$278 @ 84.1¢
• Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?Поражение
  Yes$6 @ 5.3¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поражение
  Yes$232 @ 23.0¢
• Paris curfew by October 24?Победа
  Yes$256 @ 32.0¢
• Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$836 @ 55.7¢
• Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Победа
  Yes$224 @ 69.7¢
• Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)Победа
  No$10 @ 23.9¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Победа
  Yes$100 @ 34.3¢
• LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO1)Поражение
  KT Rolster$11 @ 11.0¢
• Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Победа
  No$141 @ 51.4¢
• Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Поражение
  No$71 @ 29.0¢
• LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)Победа
  Cloud9$53 @ 88.3¢
• Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Победа
  Yes$15 @ 77.0¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Победа
  Yes$410 @ 32.5¢
• Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?Поражение
  Yes$12 @ 23.0¢
• Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Победа
  No$391 @ 68.9¢
• Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Поражение
  Yes$204 @ 16.8¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Поражение
  Yes$111 @ 15.0¢
• Will JD Vance clap fewer than 20 times during the State of the Union?Поражение
  Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
• Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?Победа
  No$72 @ 80.6¢
• Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Победа
  Yes$1.1k @ 67.7¢
• GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Победа
  No$50 @ 61.0¢
• OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Победа
  Yes$49 @ 69.0¢

Текущие позиции

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
  Yes$7.2k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
  No$7.2k @ 50.0¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?Технологии
  No$1.7k @ 78.3¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?Технологии
  Yes$1.3k @ 89.2¢
• Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?Технологии
  Yes$972 @ 73.7¢
• Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Геополитика
  No$932 @ 65.5¢
• Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Технологии
  No$748 @ 60.6¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?Технологии
  Yes$743 @ 35.4¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Геополитика
  Yes$652 @ 66.0¢
• Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$647 @ 60.1¢
• Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$542 @ 52.4¢
• Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?Технологии
  Yes$455 @ 92.0¢
• Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Технологии
  No$438 @ 52.8¢
• Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$335 @ 72.1¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Политика
  No$301 @ 32.0¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Технологии
  No$283 @ 6.0¢
• Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?Технологии
  Yes$267 @ 67.5¢
• Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?Технологии
  Yes$221 @ 75.3¢
• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$220 @ 26.8¢
• Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$220 @ 72.7¢
• Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?Технологии
  No$194 @ 72.6¢
• US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?Политика
  No$173 @ 30.2¢
• Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?Технологии
  No$171 @ 79.0¢
• Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$170 @ 26.0¢
• Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Технологии
  No$143 @ 46.3¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Спорт
  Yes$133 @ 20.1¢
• Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?—
  Yes$128 @ 76.0¢
• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$116 @ 20.0¢
• Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$87 @ 22.9¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?Технологии
  No$86 @ 59.7¢