0xc004…c095

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

• Other49 ставки

  Попадания

  47% (23/49)

  ROI

  +50%

• Технологии25 ставки

  Попадания

  60% (15/25)

  ROI

  -7%

• Политика20 ставки

  Попадания

  55% (11/20)

  ROI

  +8%

• Геополитика10 ставки

  Попадания

  50% (5/10)

  ROI

  +38%

• Культура3 ставки

  Попадания

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  -9%

• Спорт2 ставки

  Попадания

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +103%

• Крипто1 ставки

  Попадания

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Победа
  Yes$556 @ 66.7¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$25 @ 12.5¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поражение
  Yes$232 @ 23.0¢
• Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$836 @ 55.7¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Победа
  Yes$100 @ 34.3¢
• Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Победа
  No$141 @ 51.4¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Победа
  Yes$410 @ 32.5¢
• Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Поражение
  Yes$204 @ 16.8¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Поражение
  Yes$111 @ 15.0¢
• Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Поражение
  Yes$3 @ 1.4¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$301 @ 38.0¢
• Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Победа
  Yes$859 @ 72.6¢
• Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Поражение
  No$164 @ 9.8¢
• Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?Поражение
  Yes$25 @ 55.3¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Поражение
  Yes$46 @ 33.0¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Поражение
  Yes$206 @ 29.0¢
• Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Победа
  No$141 @ 61.0¢
• Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?Победа
  No$304 @ 64.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
• Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Победа
  Yes$57 @ 82.9¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$10 @ 31.0¢
• DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?Поражение
  No$212 @ 11.1¢
• Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Поражение
  Yes$23 @ 5.0¢
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Победа
  No$53 @ 74.3¢
• Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Поражение
  Yes$80 @ 50.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Победа
  No$87 @ 87.0¢
• AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Победа
  Yes$1.1k @ 82.8¢
• Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Победа
  Yes$5 @ 85.0¢
• Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
  No$15 @ 23.0¢
• Will Trump visit China by April 30?Победа
  No$300 @ 59.8¢
• Will Trump visit China by April 30?Поражение
  Yes$224 @ 48.0¢
• Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Победа
  No$40 @ 51.9¢
• Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
  No$17 @ 34.9¢
• US strikes Iraq by February 28?Победа
  Yes$152 @ 70.2¢
• Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$130 @ 76.0¢
• Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$595 @ 52.1¢
• DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Победа
  No$513 @ 36.7¢
• DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?Поражение
  No$182 @ 45.6¢
• Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Поражение
  No$103 @ 49.0¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Поражение
  No$1.0k @ 44.2¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Поражение
  No$748 @ 74.0¢
• Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Победа
  No$1.3k @ 42.9¢
• Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Победа
  Yes$1.3k @ 19.9¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Поражение
  No$19 @ 17.4¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$173 @ 57.5¢
• Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Победа
  Yes$100 @ 89.9¢
• Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Победа
  Yes$26 @ 80.0¢
• Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Поражение
  No$143 @ 32.1¢
• Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Поражение
  Yes$212 @ 52.2¢
• GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Победа
  No$102 @ 33.0¢

Текущие позиции

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
  Yes$4.3k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
  No$4.3k @ 50.0¢
• Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Геополитика
  No$932 @ 65.5¢
• Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Технологии
  No$627 @ 69.0¢
• Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Технологии
  No$521 @ 59.0¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Технологии
  Yes$405 @ 76.4¢
• Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Технологии
  Yes$354 @ 87.1¢
• Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Технологии
  No$349 @ 27.7¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Технологии
  Yes$337 @ 90.3¢
• Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Технологии
  Yes$321 @ 41.8¢
• Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 25, 2026?Технологии
  No$308 @ 85.2¢
• Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Технологии
  No$287 @ 67.3¢
• Trump renames AI by September 30?Политика
  No$240 @ 60.0¢
• Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$220 @ 72.7¢
• Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Технологии
  No$216 @ 51.0¢
• Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 23, 2026?Технологии
  No$206 @ 86.9¢
• Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$191 @ 74.7¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Технологии
  Yes$189 @ 87.0¢
• SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Технологии
  No$139 @ 68.0¢
• Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$117 @ 79.8¢
• Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$87 @ 22.9¢
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Технологии
  No$71 @ 81.0¢
• Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?—
  No$64 @ 88.0¢
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Технологии
  No$38 @ 77.9¢
• Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Технологии
  Yes$31 @ 20.7¢
• Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Технологии
  No$5 @ 50.0¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Культура
  No$2 @ 98.3¢