0xbbe7…ffc9

Прибыльный

Эдж

+33.8pp

ROI

+50%

Доля побед

67% @ 33.5¢

Brier

0.288

Сделок

156

Ср. размер

$39

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Спорт	33% (4/12)	-33%	12
Other	40% (4/10)	+27%	10
Политика	40% (2/5)	+210%	5
Геополитика	20% (1/5)	+24%	5
Технологии	67% (2/3)	-5%	3

Спорт12 ставки
Попадания
33% (4/12)
ROI
-33%
Other10 ставки
Попадания
40% (4/10)
ROI
+27%
Политика5 ставки
Попадания
40% (2/5)
ROI
+210%
Геополитика5 ставки
Попадания
20% (1/5)
ROI
+24%
Технологии3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
-5%

История результатов

37% попаданий · 13/35

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	$20	5.4¢	Поражение
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$474	67.0¢	Поражение
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$16	1.4¢	Поражение
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$80	19.4¢	Поражение
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	$245	61.6¢	Победа
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Поражение
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$17	7.4¢	Поражение
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	$453	17.3¢	Победа
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	$6	25.0¢	Победа
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	Yes	$50	12.5¢	Поражение
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$32	10.0¢	Поражение
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$22	3.2¢	Поражение
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	$171	32.1¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	$1.2k	71.0¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	$111	7.7¢	Поражение
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$57	30.0¢	Поражение
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?	Down	$180	27.8¢	Поражение
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?	Up	$11	67.0¢	Победа
Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 2 Iraq?	Yes	$34	1.7¢	Поражение
Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	$137	12.1¢	Поражение
Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	$39	16.5¢	Поражение
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$19	9.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	No	$312	78.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Yes	$15	7.6¢	Поражение
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	$90	22.1¢	Поражение
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$84	42.0¢	Победа
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$129	28.1¢	Поражение
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	No	$729	77.0¢	Победа
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?	No	$110	55.0¢	Поражение
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	$665	34.8¢	Победа
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$3	58.0¢	Победа
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $176 in August?	Yes	$314	85.1¢	Победа
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	$95	47.0¢	Победа
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	$41	19.0¢	Поражение
Spain leading at halftime?	Yes	$112	43.0¢	Победа

Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 5.4¢
Spurs vs. KnicksПоражение
Knicks$474 @ 67.0¢
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 1.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$80 @ 19.4¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Победа
Yes$245 @ 61.6¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Поражение
No$17 @ 7.4¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionПобеда
No$453 @ 17.3¢
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Победа
No$6 @ 25.0¢
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 12.5¢
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Поражение
No$32 @ 10.0¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$22 @ 3.2¢
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$171 @ 32.1¢
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Победа
Yes$1.2k @ 71.0¢
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?Поражение
Yes$111 @ 7.7¢
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$57 @ 30.0¢
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Поражение
Down$180 @ 27.8¢
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Победа
Up$11 @ 67.0¢
Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 2 Iraq?Поражение
Yes$34 @ 1.7¢
Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 0 Iraq?Поражение
Yes$137 @ 12.1¢
Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 0 Iraq?Поражение
Yes$39 @ 16.5¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$19 @ 9.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$312 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 7.6¢
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Поражение
Yes$90 @ 22.1¢
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Победа
No$84 @ 42.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$129 @ 28.1¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Победа
No$729 @ 77.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Поражение
No$110 @ 55.0¢
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionПобеда
Yes$665 @ 34.8¢
Knicks vs. SpursПобеда
Knicks$3 @ 58.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $176 in August?Победа
Yes$314 @ 85.1¢
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Победа
No$95 @ 47.0¢
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Поражение
Yes$41 @ 19.0¢
Spain leading at halftime?Победа
Yes$112 @ 43.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Бизнес	Yes	$82	41.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Культура	No	$69	42.0¢
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Политика	No	$5	1.0¢

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Бизнес
Yes$82 @ 41.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Культура
No$69 @ 42.0¢
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Политика
No$5 @ 1.0¢