0xbb65…1407

Прибыльный

Эдж

+13.7pp

ROI

+56%

Доля побед

55% @ 41.5¢

Brier

0.272

Сделок

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	62% (23/37)	-3%	37
Спорт	54% (7/13)	+11%	13
Геополитика	27% (3/11)	-62%	11
Крипто	25% (2/8)	+95%	8
Other	50% (2/4)	-46%	4
Технологии	67% (2/3)	+20%	3

Политика37 ставки
Попадания
62% (23/37)
ROI
-3%
Спорт13 ставки
Попадания
54% (7/13)
ROI
+11%
Геополитика11 ставки
Попадания
27% (3/11)
ROI
-62%
Крипто8 ставки
Попадания
25% (2/8)
ROI
+95%
Other4 ставки
Попадания
50% (2/4)
ROI
-46%
Технологии3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+20%

История результатов

51% попаданий · 39/76

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	4.5¢	Поражение
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$6	82.0¢	Победа
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?	No	$10	99.9¢	Победа
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Поражение
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)	Belgium	$6	21.0¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$30	98.8¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$2	1.7¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$13	13.9¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$10	80.1¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$5	71.0¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$7	35.6¢	Поражение
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$10	68.0¢	Победа
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$10	57.0¢	Победа
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$10	40.0¢	Победа
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$4	23.0¢	Поражение
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	$4	52.2¢	Победа
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$10	95.0¢	Победа
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$14	65.6¢	Поражение
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	$10	15.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$24	75.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	37.2¢	Победа
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	$10	67.0¢	Победа
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	Belgium	$10	43.0¢	Поражение
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	$5	26.0¢	Поражение
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$15	2.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?	No	$10	38.6¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?	Yes	$20	71.9¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$6	20.0¢	Победа
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	$6	21.0¢	Поражение
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	No	$9	24.2¢	Победа
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Поражение
Spread: Germany (-2.5)	Germany	$6	21.0¢	Поражение
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?	No	$21	99.5¢	Победа
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5	Over	$10	67.0¢	Победа
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?	No	$9	84.0¢	Победа
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?	No	$16	96.9¢	Победа
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	73.0¢	Победа
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?	No	$2	92.9¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?	Yes	$2	1.4¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	Yes	$4	6.7¢	Поражение
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	$1	9.8¢	Поражение
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	$10	63.0¢	Победа
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	$11	98.7¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	8.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	31.1¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$10	66.8¢	Победа
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)	Ecuador	$3	15.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	$7	9.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$12	14.5¢	Поражение

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 4.5¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Победа
No$6 @ 82.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?Победа
No$10 @ 99.9¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Поражение
Belgium$6 @ 21.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Победа
No$30 @ 98.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Поражение
No$13 @ 13.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Победа
Yes$10 @ 80.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Победа
No$5 @ 71.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 35.6¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Победа
Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Победа
Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Победа
No$10 @ 40.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 23.0¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Победа
Yes$4 @ 52.2¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Победа
Yes$10 @ 95.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 65.6¢
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$24 @ 75.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$4 @ 37.2¢
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Победа
Over$10 @ 67.0¢
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Поражение
Belgium$10 @ 43.0¢
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 2.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Победа
No$10 @ 38.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 71.9¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Победа
Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 21.0¢
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Победа
No$9 @ 24.2¢
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Поражение
Germany$6 @ 21.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Победа
No$21 @ 99.5¢
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Победа
Over$10 @ 67.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?Победа
No$9 @ 84.0¢
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Победа
No$16 @ 96.9¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Победа
Yes$1 @ 73.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Победа
No$2 @ 92.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 6.7¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Поражение
No$1 @ 9.8¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Победа
Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Победа
No$11 @ 98.7¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 8.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$1 @ 31.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Победа
Yes$10 @ 66.8¢
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Поражение
Ecuador$3 @ 15.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 9.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$12 @ 14.5¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$10	24.9¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Политика	No	$1	77.0¢

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Крипто
Yes$10 @ 24.9¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Политика
No$1 @ 77.0¢