0xba38…f74d

Профи

Эдж

-2.9pp

ROI

+17%

Доля побед

23% @ 26.0¢

Brier

0.130

Сделок

1747

Ср. размер

$29

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	31% (134/437)	-3%	437
Политика	34% (33/97)	-10%	97
Крипто	39% (11/28)	+5%	28
Технологии	50% (10/20)	+11%	20
Спорт	16% (3/19)	+632%	19
Геополитика	33% (6/18)	-28%	18
Культура	14% (1/7)	-0%	7
Экономика	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Бизнес	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other437 ставки
Попадания
31% (134/437)
ROI
-3%
Политика97 ставки
Попадания
34% (33/97)
ROI
-10%
Крипто28 ставки
Попадания
39% (11/28)
ROI
+5%
Технологии20 ставки
Попадания
50% (10/20)
ROI
+11%
Спорт19 ставки
Попадания
16% (3/19)
ROI
+632%
Геополитика18 ставки
Попадания
33% (6/18)
ROI
-28%
Культура7 ставки
Попадания
14% (1/7)
ROI
-0%
Экономика6 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Бизнес1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

31% попаданий · 198/633

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	$27	37.0¢	Поражение
AZ vs. FC Twente: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$24	68.0¢	Поражение
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	$50	32.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	$53	66.0¢	Поражение
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	$51	72.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$25	0.7¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	$52	4.3¢	Поражение
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	$211	67.4¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 30?	Yes	$44	37.0¢	Поражение
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$22	6.5¢	Поражение
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.75 million and $3.0 million by December 16?	Yes	$4	2.0¢	Поражение
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$190	1.9¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on October 23?	Yes	$24	34.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 28?	Yes	$272	69.7¢	Победа
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$67	38.1¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Поражение
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	$286	31.6¢	Поражение
Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 28?	Yes	$14	20.0¢	Поражение
Epstein client list released in 2025?	Yes	$20	4.5¢	Поражение
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?	Yes	$49	16.7¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$52	75.0¢	Поражение
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$151	14.0¢	Поражение
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 23?	No	$3	3.0¢	Поражение
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	$26	87.0¢	Поражение
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$9	1.3¢	Поражение
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$100	8.6¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$105	70.0¢	Победа
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$27	15.7¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$221	86.0¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$23	8.9¢	Поражение
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?	No	$130	86.6¢	Победа
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?	Yes	$6	4.0¢	Поражение
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?	Yes	$4	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$159	10.5¢	Поражение
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 13, 2026?	Yes	$4	2.7¢	Поражение
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	$114	67.0¢	Победа
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$67	32.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Поражение
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	$94	32.5¢	Победа
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	$75	58.0¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$14	35.1¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on January 5?	No	$23	82.0¢	Победа
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$59	23.3¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on December 31?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Поражение
Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	Yes	$7	0.1¢	Поражение
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$204	68.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?	Yes	$106	35.0¢	Поражение
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$54	2.7¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?	No	$87	38.0¢	Поражение

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Поражение
Yes$27 @ 37.0¢
AZ vs. FC Twente: Both Teams to ScoreПоражение
Yes$24 @ 68.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 32.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Поражение
No$53 @ 66.0¢
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?Поражение
No$51 @ 72.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 0.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?Поражение
Yes$52 @ 4.3¢
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Поражение
Yes$211 @ 67.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 30?Поражение
Yes$44 @ 37.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Поражение
No$22 @ 6.5¢
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.75 million and $3.0 million by December 16?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$190 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on October 23?Поражение
Yes$24 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 28?Победа
Yes$272 @ 69.7¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Победа
Yes$67 @ 38.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Поражение
No$286 @ 31.6¢
Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 28?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 20.0¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 4.5¢
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?Поражение
Yes$49 @ 16.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Поражение
No$52 @ 75.0¢
No airdrop in 2025?Поражение
Yes$151 @ 14.0¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 23?Поражение
No$3 @ 3.0¢
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?Поражение
No$26 @ 87.0¢
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 1.3¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Победа
No$100 @ 8.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Победа
No$105 @ 70.0¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$27 @ 15.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Победа
No$221 @ 86.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Поражение
Yes$23 @ 8.9¢
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?Победа
No$130 @ 86.6¢
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 4.0¢
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 13.0¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Поражение
Yes$159 @ 10.5¢
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 13, 2026?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 2.7¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Победа
No$114 @ 67.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поражение
Yes$67 @ 32.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$94 @ 32.5¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Победа
No$75 @ 58.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$14 @ 35.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on January 5?Победа
No$23 @ 82.0¢
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Поражение
No$59 @ 23.3¢
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on December 31?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Победа
Yes$204 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?Поражение
Yes$106 @ 35.0¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Поражение
Yes$54 @ 2.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Поражение
No$87 @ 38.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Политика	No	$129	17.0¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$126	68.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$83	26.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$68	17.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Политика	No	$52	4.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$50	19.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$49	5.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$44	33.0¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$39	23.0¢
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$24	8.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$24	31.9¢
Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$24	83.0¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Политика	No	$23	2.4¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$21	26.7¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$1	6.0¢

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Политика
No$129 @ 17.0¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Крипто
Yes$126 @ 68.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$83 @ 26.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$68 @ 17.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Политика
No$52 @ 4.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$50 @ 19.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Политика
Yes$49 @ 5.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$44 @ 33.0¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$39 @ 23.0¢
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$24 @ 8.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$24 @ 31.9¢
Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$24 @ 83.0¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Политика
No$23 @ 2.4¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Политика
Yes$21 @ 26.7¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Крипто
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢