0xb980…73b0

Профи

Эдж

+6.9pp

ROI

+19%

Доля побед

47% @ 40.2¢

Brier

0.165

Сделок

1243

Ср. размер

$25

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	48% (138/288)	+20%	288
Политика	51% (44/86)	+15%	86
Технологии	25% (15/61)	-0%	61
Спорт	44% (16/36)	+57%	36
Крипто	41% (13/32)	+101%	32
Геополитика	50% (14/28)	+17%	28
Культура	45% (5/11)	-28%	11
Экономика	33% (2/6)	+22%	6

Other288 ставки
Попадания
48% (138/288)
ROI
+20%
Политика86 ставки
Попадания
51% (44/86)
ROI
+15%
Технологии61 ставки
Попадания
25% (15/61)
ROI
-0%
Спорт36 ставки
Попадания
44% (16/36)
ROI
+57%
Крипто32 ставки
Попадания
41% (13/32)
ROI
+101%
Геополитика28 ставки
Попадания
50% (14/28)
ROI
+17%
Культура11 ставки
Попадания
45% (5/11)
ROI
-28%
Экономика6 ставки
Попадания
33% (2/6)
ROI
+22%

История результатов

45% попаданий · 247/548

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	9.9¢	Победа
Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Поражение
Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Поражение
Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поражение
Will the median home value in the US be between $440,000 and $447,000 on September 30?	Yes	$0	14.3¢	Поражение
Will the median home value in the US be at least $454,000 on September 30?	Yes	$1	14.3¢	Поражение
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by June 30?	No	$33	85.3¢	Победа
Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?	No	$24	49.4¢	Победа
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	Yes	$6	23.0¢	Поражение
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by June 30?	Yes	$7	5.1¢	Поражение
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	$2	29.0¢	Поражение
Spread: Australia (-2.5)	Australia	$2	3.0¢	Поражение
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?	Yes	$6	19.0¢	Поражение
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	No	$5	25.0¢	Поражение
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?	No	$17	18.0¢	Поражение
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $205?	No	$2	10.4¢	Поражение
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$407	42.6¢	Победа
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$522	26.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$743	75.3¢	Победа
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	$34	33.8¢	Поражение
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	No	$43	29.0¢	Победа
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	$0	60.0¢	Поражение
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of April 13 2026?	Yes	$11	54.0¢	Победа
Spread: CD Concepción (-1.5)	CD Concepción	$5	14.5¢	Поражение
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of June?	No	$8	59.0¢	Победа
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	Yes	$62	7.0¢	Поражение

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$0 @ 9.9¢
Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will the median home value in the US be between $440,000 and $447,000 on September 30?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 14.3¢
Will the median home value in the US be at least $454,000 on September 30?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 14.3¢
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by June 30?Победа
No$33 @ 85.3¢
Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?Победа
No$24 @ 49.4¢
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launchПоражение
Yes$6 @ 23.0¢
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by June 30?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 5.1¢
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Поражение
No$2 @ 29.0¢
Spread: Australia (-2.5)Поражение
Australia$2 @ 3.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 19.0¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?Поражение
No$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?Поражение
No$17 @ 18.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $205?Поражение
No$2 @ 10.4¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Победа
Yes$407 @ 42.6¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Поражение
No$522 @ 26.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Победа
Yes$743 @ 75.3¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Поражение
No$34 @ 33.8¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Победа
No$43 @ 29.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Поражение
No$0 @ 60.0¢
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of April 13 2026?Победа
Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
Spread: CD Concepción (-1.5)Поражение
CD Concepción$5 @ 14.5¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of June?Победа
No$8 @ 59.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?Поражение
Yes$62 @ 7.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	Политика	No	$706	95.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$686	97.8¢
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$390	94.8¢
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$294	95.1¢
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$275	94.4¢
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$250	95.1¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in September?	Крипто	Yes	$206	83.0¢
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$180	96.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$152	97.2¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $84 in September?	Крипто	Yes	$137	61.7¢
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Крипто	Yes	$125	44.5¢
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Крипто	No	$124	44.0¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $12.75B by September 30?	Other	Yes	$120	22.8¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31?	Other	No	$117	90.0¢
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$111	96.6¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in September?	Крипто	Yes	$109	86.0¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$87	91.6¢
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	Other	No	$77	96.8¢
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$75	92.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	Технологии	No	$70	88.8¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?	Крипто	No	$68	80.7¢
Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$63	93.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$56	89.0¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $115B by September 30?	Other	Yes	$55	22.9¢
GMGN FDV above $400M one day after launch	Крипто	No	$49	60.6¢
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$48	92.6¢
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$46	95.0¢
GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launch	Крипто	No	$43	82.3¢
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$39	96.0¢
Printr FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$38	93.3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?Политика
No$706 @ 95.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$686 @ 97.8¢
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$390 @ 94.8¢
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?Крипто
No$294 @ 95.1¢
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?Крипто
No$275 @ 94.4¢
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?Крипто
No$250 @ 95.1¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in September?Крипто
Yes$206 @ 83.0¢
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?Крипто
No$180 @ 96.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$152 @ 97.2¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $84 in September?Крипто
Yes$137 @ 61.7¢
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2027?Крипто
Yes$125 @ 44.5¢
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027?Крипто
No$124 @ 44.0¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $12.75B by September 30?Other
Yes$120 @ 22.8¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31?Other
No$117 @ 90.0¢
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?Крипто
No$111 @ 96.6¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in September?Крипто
Yes$109 @ 86.0¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Крипто
No$87 @ 91.6¢
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?Other
No$77 @ 96.8¢
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?Крипто
No$75 @ 92.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Технологии
No$70 @ 88.8¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?Крипто
No$68 @ 80.7¢
Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$63 @ 93.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$56 @ 89.0¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $115B by September 30?Other
Yes$55 @ 22.9¢
GMGN FDV above $400M one day after launchКрипто
No$49 @ 60.6¢
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch?Крипто
No$48 @ 92.6¢
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$46 @ 95.0¢
GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launchКрипто
No$43 @ 82.3¢
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$39 @ 96.0¢
Printr FDV above $800M one day after launch?Крипто
No$38 @ 93.3¢