0xb8fe…ce76

Профи

Эдж

-4.4pp

ROI

+69%

Доля побед

17% @ 21.3¢

Brier

0.077

Сделок

645

Ср. размер

$113

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	39% (15/38)	+141%	38
Политика	14% (5/36)	-80%	36
Геополитика	33% (3/9)	+43%	9
Крипто	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other38 ставки
Попадания
39% (15/38)
ROI
+141%
Политика36 ставки
Попадания
14% (5/36)
ROI
-80%
Геополитика9 ставки
Попадания
33% (3/9)
ROI
+43%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

27% попаданий · 23/84

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	No	$951	88.7¢	Победа
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	18.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	$100	0.3¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$500	9.4¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?	Yes	$567	4.0¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$1.5k	12.7¢	Поражение
Iran leadership change by July 31?	Yes	$98	4.9¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$2.0k	28.0¢	Поражение
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$250	25.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	$514	1.5¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$6.7k	40.6¢	Победа
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	$304	89.4¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$279	13.4¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	$515	18.3¢	Поражение
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$250	5.9¢	Поражение
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?	Yes	$275	7.2¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$20.4k	41.3¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$252	7.2¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 7?	Yes	$6	1.2¢	Поражение
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	$526	56.1¢	Поражение
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$749	25.7¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	$515	24.0¢	Поражение
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	$1	55.0¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$2.5k	25.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$250	2.4¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	$152	1.7¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$250	7.2¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$125	14.5¢	Победа
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	$7.5k	87.8¢	Победа
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	Yes	$750	17.6¢	Поражение
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$500	43.6¢	Поражение
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$750	13.1¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$125	7.4¢	Поражение
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?	No	$1.0k	83.7¢	Победа
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	78.8¢	Поражение
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	$397	81.8¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$125	11.6¢	Поражение
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	Yes	$173	60.7¢	Поражение
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$100	9.0¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?	Yes	$150	54.5¢	Поражение
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$125	1.5¢	Поражение
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$166	8.3¢	Поражение
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	$250	33.8¢	Поражение
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	$500	81.6¢	Победа
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	$129	12.0¢	Поражение
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$50	3.5¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	$4.3k	71.5¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$119	22.2¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on September 6?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Поражение

Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Победа
No$951 @ 88.7¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 0.3¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Победа
Yes$500 @ 9.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Поражение
Yes$567 @ 4.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Поражение
Yes$1.5k @ 12.7¢
Iran leadership change by July 31?Поражение
Yes$98 @ 4.9¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Поражение
Yes$2.0k @ 28.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Победа
Yes$250 @ 25.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Поражение
Yes$514 @ 1.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Победа
Yes$6.7k @ 40.6¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Победа
Yes$304 @ 89.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$279 @ 13.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?Поражение
Yes$515 @ 18.3¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Поражение
Yes$250 @ 5.9¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Поражение
Yes$275 @ 7.2¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$20.4k @ 41.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$252 @ 7.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 7?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 1.2¢
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Поражение
Yes$526 @ 56.1¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$749 @ 25.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Поражение
Yes$515 @ 24.0¢
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 55.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Поражение
Yes$2.5k @ 25.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Победа
Yes$250 @ 2.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Поражение
Yes$152 @ 1.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
Yes$250 @ 7.2¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Победа
Yes$125 @ 14.5¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Победа
No$7.5k @ 87.8¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Поражение
Yes$750 @ 17.6¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Поражение
Yes$500 @ 43.6¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Поражение
Yes$750 @ 13.1¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Поражение
Yes$125 @ 7.4¢
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Победа
No$1.0k @ 83.7¢
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.4k @ 78.8¢
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Победа
No$397 @ 81.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$125 @ 11.6¢
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Поражение
Yes$173 @ 60.7¢
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?Поражение
Yes$150 @ 54.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Поражение
Yes$125 @ 1.5¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$166 @ 8.3¢
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Поражение
No$250 @ 33.8¢
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Победа
Yes$500 @ 81.6¢
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?Победа
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Поражение
Yes$129 @ 12.0¢
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 3.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Победа
No$4.3k @ 71.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$119 @ 22.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on September 6?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢

Недавние сделки

в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировки

Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Политика	No	$25.0k	50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Политика	Yes	$25.0k	50.0¢
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Наука	No	$632	45.0¢
Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week?	Технологии	Yes	$34	48.4¢

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseПолитика
No$25.0k @ 50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseПолитика
Yes$25.0k @ 50.0¢
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Наука
No$632 @ 45.0¢
Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week?Технологии
Yes$34 @ 48.4¢