0xb410…57eb

Прибыльный

Эдж

+19.5pp

ROI

+13%

Доля побед

61% @ 41.8¢

Brier

0.244

Сделок

Ср. размер

$117

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Спорт	41% (7/17)	+12%	17
Технологии	57% (8/14)	+35%	14
Other	67% (6/9)	+31%	9
Политика	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Экономика	100% (1/1)	+56%	1
Бизнес	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Спорт17 ставки
Попадания
41% (7/17)
ROI
+12%
Технологии14 ставки
Попадания
57% (8/14)
ROI
+35%
Other9 ставки
Попадания
67% (6/9)
ROI
+31%
Политика2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+56%
Бизнес1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

История результатов

52% попаданий · 23/44

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	$300	31.4¢	Победа
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	$101	73.4¢	Победа
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$82	32.6¢	Поражение
Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	$102	53.0¢	Победа
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Yes	$20	40.0¢	Победа
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	$102	65.0¢	Победа
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?	No	$394	61.3¢	Поражение
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	$308	34.0¢	Победа
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olise	Dembele	$10	39.8¢	Победа
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$265	38.3¢	Победа
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	1.3¢	Поражение
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$10	21.0¢	Поражение
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	$347	42.3¢	Победа
Will Erling Haaland score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	30.0¢	Победа
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	$52	30.0¢	Поражение
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$10	48.0¢	Победа
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	$102	42.2¢	Поражение
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$310	18.4¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$102	41.0¢	Поражение
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	$204	50.0¢	Победа
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	$304	67.6¢	Победа
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$204	26.2¢	Поражение
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	19.7¢	Поражение
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Belgium	$102	48.0¢	Победа
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31	36.0¢	Поражение
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	$20	18.0¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$104	21.0¢	Поражение
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$504	70.4¢	Победа
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$507	66.6¢	Поражение
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	$109	36.0¢	Победа
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	$905	84.9¢	Победа
Will Hull City win on 2026-07-28?	Yes	$104	26.0¢	Победа
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	57.0¢	Победа
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	$206	44.6¢	Поражение
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	$257	33.5¢	Поражение
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?	Yes	$204	64.0¢	Победа
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	$101	67.0¢	Поражение
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$103	16.8¢	Победа
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo	Ronaldo	$10	41.0¢	Поражение
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	$102	32.0¢	Победа
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	$203	59.0¢	Победа
Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5	Over	$42	19.5¢	Поражение
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	$517	37.9¢	Поражение
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	$20	22.0¢	Поражение

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Победа
No$300 @ 31.4¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?Победа
No$101 @ 73.4¢
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$82 @ 32.6¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?Победа
Yes$102 @ 53.0¢
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Победа
Yes$20 @ 40.0¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?Победа
Yes$102 @ 65.0¢
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?Поражение
No$394 @ 61.3¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Победа
No$308 @ 34.0¢
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. OliseПобеда
Dembele$10 @ 39.8¢
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$265 @ 38.3¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 1.3¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Победа
No$347 @ 42.3¢
Will Erling Haaland score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?Поражение
Yes$52 @ 30.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Победа
Yes$10 @ 48.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?Поражение
No$102 @ 42.2¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Поражение
Yes$310 @ 18.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Поражение
Yes$102 @ 41.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Победа
No$204 @ 50.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?Победа
No$304 @ 67.6¢
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$204 @ 26.2¢
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 19.7¢
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceПобеда
Belgium$102 @ 48.0¢
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$31 @ 36.0¢
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 18.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$104 @ 21.0¢
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
No$504 @ 70.4¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Поражение
Yes$507 @ 66.6¢
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Победа
Yes$109 @ 36.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Победа
No$905 @ 84.9¢
Will Hull City win on 2026-07-28?Победа
Yes$104 @ 26.0¢
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Поражение
No$206 @ 44.6¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Поражение
No$257 @ 33.5¢
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Победа
Yes$204 @ 64.0¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Поражение
No$101 @ 67.0¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Победа
Yes$103 @ 16.8¢
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoПоражение
Ronaldo$10 @ 41.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Победа
Yes$102 @ 32.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?Победа
No$203 @ 59.0¢
Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Поражение
Over$42 @ 19.5¢
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Поражение
No$517 @ 37.9¢
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 22.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$1.3k	53.1¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Бизнес	No	$500	69.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Бизнес	Yes	$500	67.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Культура	Yes	$500	45.0¢
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Технологии	No	$462	56.9¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Технологии	No	$400	47.9¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$300	23.3¢
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Технологии	Yes	$200	39.5¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Спорт	No	$200	41.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$200	20.4¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Технологии	Yes	$100	18.9¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Технологии	Yes	$100	34.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Технологии	Yes	$100	12.0¢
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$100	6.9¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Спорт	No	$50	32.9¢
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Спорт	No	$50	31.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Технологии	Yes	$20	6.9¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$11	5.6¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$9	9.6¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$1	1.4¢

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Технологии
Yes$1.3k @ 53.1¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Бизнес
No$500 @ 69.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Бизнес
Yes$500 @ 67.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Культура
Yes$500 @ 45.0¢
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Технологии
No$462 @ 56.9¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Технологии
No$400 @ 47.9¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технологии
Yes$300 @ 23.3¢
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Технологии
Yes$200 @ 39.5¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Спорт
No$200 @ 41.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Спорт
Yes$200 @ 20.4¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?Технологии
Yes$100 @ 18.9¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Технологии
Yes$100 @ 34.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Технологии
Yes$100 @ 12.0¢
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Спорт
Yes$100 @ 6.9¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Спорт
No$50 @ 32.9¢
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Спорт
No$50 @ 31.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Технологии
Yes$20 @ 6.9¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?Технологии
Yes$11 @ 5.6¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Технологии
Yes$9 @ 9.6¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?Технологии
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢