0xb0c3…a7b6

Прибыльный

Эдж

+23.6pp

ROI

+95%

Доля побед

68% @ 44.6¢

Brier

0.239

Сделок

208

Ср. размер

$68

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	63% (27/43)	+98%	43
Спорт	67% (2/3)	+59%	3
Политика	100% (1/1)	+26%	1

Other43 ставки
Попадания
63% (27/43)
ROI
+98%
Спорт3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+59%
Политика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+26%

История результатов

64% попаданий · 30/47

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	$1.7k	35.1¢	Победа
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$89	89.0¢	Победа
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	No	$83	83.0¢	Победа
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	$160	80.0¢	Победа
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	$144	57.6¢	Победа
Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?	No	$278	79.3¢	Победа
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?	No	$640	80.0¢	Победа
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$100	88.0¢	Победа
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?	No	$150	78.0¢	Поражение
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	$519	86.5¢	Победа
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?	Yes	$99	47.9¢	Поражение
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	$129	60.0¢	Поражение
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$2.1k	21.1¢	Победа
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	$196	42.0¢	Поражение
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?	Yes	$80	29.0¢	Победа
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$239	39.8¢	Победа
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	$111	74.0¢	Победа
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?	No	$32	64.0¢	Победа
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?	Yes	$100	74.0¢	Победа
Will Pascal Siakam score the most total points in the NBA Finals?	Yes	$7	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?	No	$15	82.0¢	Поражение
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco GP pole?	Yes	$10	15.0¢	Поражение
Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	$67	67.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?	No	$800	71.4¢	Поражение
Trump blowout victory?	No	$700	84.7¢	Победа
Will Jalen Williams score the most total points in the NBA Finals?	Yes	$7	2.3¢	Поражение
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?	Trump	$256	84.7¢	Победа
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$138	25.0¢	Победа
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?	No	$200	89.0¢	Победа
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	$25	27.0¢	Поражение
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	No	$587	18.6¢	Победа
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$618	7.7¢	Поражение
Will Biden finish his term?	Yes	$409	87.8¢	Победа
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?	Yes	$39	39.0¢	Победа
Will Tyrese Haliburton score the most total points in the NBA Finals?	Yes	$4	1.4¢	Поражение
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	$357	29.8¢	Победа
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	$804	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?	Yes	$525	73.8¢	Победа
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?	No	$31	80.0¢	Победа
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$89	88.8¢	Победа
Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep?	No	$100	80.8¢	Поражение
Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?	Yes	$200	84.0¢	Победа
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$50	27.4¢	Поражение
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	$64	17.7¢	Поражение
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House	No	$1.1k	87.9¢	Победа
Will Anthony Edwards score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	$20	3.7¢	Поражение
Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	$36	86.6¢	Победа

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Победа
Yes$1.7k @ 35.1¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Победа
Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Победа
No$83 @ 83.0¢
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Победа
Yes$160 @ 80.0¢
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Победа
No$144 @ 57.6¢
Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?Победа
No$278 @ 79.3¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Победа
No$640 @ 80.0¢
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Победа
Yes$100 @ 88.0¢
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?Поражение
No$150 @ 78.0¢
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Победа
Yes$519 @ 86.5¢
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? Поражение
Yes$99 @ 47.9¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Поражение
Yes$129 @ 60.0¢
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Победа
Yes$2.1k @ 21.1¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Поражение
Yes$196 @ 42.0¢
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Победа
Yes$80 @ 29.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Победа
Yes$239 @ 39.8¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Победа
No$111 @ 74.0¢
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?Победа
No$32 @ 64.0¢
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Победа
Yes$100 @ 74.0¢
Will Pascal Siakam score the most total points in the NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 2.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?Поражение
No$15 @ 82.0¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? Поражение
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
Spurs vs. ThunderПобеда
Thunder$67 @ 67.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Поражение
No$800 @ 71.4¢
Trump blowout victory?Победа
No$700 @ 84.7¢
Will Jalen Williams score the most total points in the NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 2.3¢
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Победа
Trump$256 @ 84.7¢
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Победа
Yes$138 @ 25.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Победа
No$200 @ 89.0¢
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 27.0¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Победа
No$587 @ 18.6¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Поражение
Yes$618 @ 7.7¢
Will Biden finish his term?Победа
Yes$409 @ 87.8¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Победа
Yes$39 @ 39.0¢
Will Tyrese Haliburton score the most total points in the NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 1.4¢
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Победа
Yes$357 @ 29.8¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Поражение
Yes$804 @ 13.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?Победа
Yes$525 @ 73.8¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?Победа
No$31 @ 80.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Победа
Yes$89 @ 88.8¢
Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep?Поражение
No$100 @ 80.8¢
Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?Победа
Yes$200 @ 84.0¢
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 27.4¢
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Поражение
Yes$64 @ 17.7¢
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseПобеда
No$1.1k @ 87.9¢
Will Anthony Edwards score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 3.7¢
Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?Победа
Yes$36 @ 86.6¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Политика	No	$5.4k	86.0¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$1.9k	84.9¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Крипто	No	$1.1k	92.3¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Политика	No	$755	94.3¢
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Спорт	No	$284	94.5¢
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$279	93.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Политика	No	$250	83.3¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Культура	No	$193	96.4¢
Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	No	$175	83.6¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Политика	No	$168	84.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Политика	No	$138	92.0¢
Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	No	$126	84.0¢
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	Yes	$105	75.1¢
Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Спорт	Yes	$99	98.6¢
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	No	$92	65.4¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Политика	No	$88	88.0¢
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	Yes	$86	84.1¢
New pandemic in 2026?	Геополитика	No	$84	84.0¢
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	Yes	$76	69.1¢
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	Политика	No	$60	69.6¢
Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	Yes	$57	82.1¢
Obama federally charged before 2027?	Политика	No	$47	79.8¢
Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	Yes	$43	85.0¢
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	No	$37	92.0¢
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	No	$33	66.0¢
Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft?	Спорт	No	$29	95.9¢
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Спорт	Yes	$24	61.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$24	24.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	Yes	$21	52.0¢
Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Спорт	No	$18	90.0¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Политика
No$5.4k @ 86.0¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$1.9k @ 84.9¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Крипто
No$1.1k @ 92.3¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Политика
No$755 @ 94.3¢
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?Спорт
No$284 @ 94.5¢
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$279 @ 93.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Политика
No$250 @ 83.3¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Культура
No$193 @ 96.4¢
Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
No$175 @ 83.6¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Политика
No$168 @ 84.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?Политика
No$138 @ 92.0¢
Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
No$126 @ 84.0¢
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
Yes$105 @ 75.1¢
Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Спорт
Yes$99 @ 98.6¢
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
No$92 @ 65.4¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Политика
No$88 @ 88.0¢
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
Yes$86 @ 84.1¢
New pandemic in 2026?Геополитика
No$84 @ 84.0¢
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
Yes$76 @ 69.1¢
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Политика
No$60 @ 69.6¢
Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
Yes$57 @ 82.1¢
Obama federally charged before 2027?Политика
No$47 @ 79.8¢
Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
Yes$43 @ 85.0¢
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
No$37 @ 92.0¢
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
No$33 @ 66.0¢
Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft?Спорт
No$29 @ 95.9¢
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?Спорт
Yes$24 @ 61.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
Yes$21 @ 52.0¢
Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Спорт
No$18 @ 90.0¢