0xacc6…6ba5

Профи

Эдж

+14.6pp

ROI

+27%

Доля побед

62% @ 47.4¢

Brier

0.158

Сделок

859

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	57% (29/51)	+25%	51
Политика	45% (14/31)	-9%	31
Геополитика	33% (2/6)	-30%	6
Крипто	50% (3/6)	+45%	6
Спорт	40% (2/5)	+62%	5

Other51 ставки
Попадания
57% (29/51)
ROI
+25%
Политика31 ставки
Попадания
45% (14/31)
ROI
-9%
Геополитика6 ставки
Попадания
33% (2/6)
ROI
-30%
Крипто6 ставки
Попадания
50% (3/6)
ROI
+45%
Спорт5 ставки
Попадания
40% (2/5)
ROI
+62%

История результатов

51% попаданий · 50/99

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$1	46.0¢	Поражение
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$9	42.0¢	Поражение
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	$3	91.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	37.1¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	$6	34.2¢	Поражение
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$33	89.1¢	Победа
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	$7	67.9¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$3	10.7¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$5	57.2¢	Победа
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$7	34.3¢	Поражение
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	$1	18.0¢	Поражение
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	$22	74.4¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	40.0¢	Победа
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	$3	20.3¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Yes	$2	61.0¢	Победа
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$9	58.6¢	Победа
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	No	$3	88.3¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	59.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$26	17.8¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	$1	74.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$2	74.2¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$49	12.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$1	83.4¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$7	22.1¢	Поражение
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	$52	4.7¢	Поражение
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner	KT Rolster	$19	67.0¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$7	73.9¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$3	16.0¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$62	76.2¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$25	1.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$37	18.4¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$46	55.8¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$24	20.6¢	Поражение
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner	BNK FearX Youth	$2	46.0¢	Поражение
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G Global Academy	$144	49.6¢	Победа
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$2	24.7¢	Победа
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$7	0.8¢	Поражение
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	No	$2	57.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$19	35.3¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$37	16.6¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$9	34.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$12	19.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$31	76.4¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$5	64.7¢	Победа
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$1	84.7¢	Победа
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$5	7.6¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$10	86.4¢	Победа
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	$6	34.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1	23.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$4	71.2¢	Поражение

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Поражение
No$1 @ 46.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Поражение
No$9 @ 42.0¢
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Победа
Yes$3 @ 91.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 37.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Поражение
No$6 @ 34.2¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Победа
No$33 @ 89.1¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 67.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 10.7¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Победа
No$5 @ 57.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 34.3¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Поражение
No$1 @ 18.0¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Победа
Yes$22 @ 74.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$1 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Поражение
No$3 @ 20.3¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Победа
Yes$2 @ 61.0¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Победа
Yes$9 @ 58.6¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Победа
No$3 @ 88.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$26 @ 17.8¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Поражение
No$1 @ 74.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Победа
No$2 @ 74.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$49 @ 12.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 83.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 22.1¢
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerПоражение
Dplus KIA$52 @ 4.7¢
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerПобеда
KT Rolster$19 @ 67.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Победа
No$7 @ 73.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 16.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Победа
No$62 @ 76.2¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 1.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$37 @ 18.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$46 @ 55.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$24 @ 20.6¢
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 WinnerПоражение
BNK FearX Youth$2 @ 46.0¢
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 WinnerПобеда
Gen.G Global Academy$144 @ 49.6¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Победа
No$2 @ 24.7¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 0.8¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Поражение
No$2 @ 57.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Поражение
No$19 @ 35.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Победа
Yes$37 @ 16.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 34.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Поражение
No$12 @ 19.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Победа
Yes$31 @ 76.4¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Победа
Yes$5 @ 64.7¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Победа
No$1 @ 84.7¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 7.6¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Победа
No$10 @ 86.4¢
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 34.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 23.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 71.2¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Наука	No	$4	91.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$2	78.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$1	33.0¢

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Наука
No$4 @ 91.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$2 @ 78.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢