0xa196…14b0

Прибыльный

Эдж

+21.0pp

ROI

+82%

Доля побед

57% @ 35.7¢

Brier

0.294

Сделок

Ср. размер

$83

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	52% (14/27)	+82%	27
Политика	33% (1/3)	+84%	3

Other27 ставки
Попадания
52% (14/27)
ROI
+82%
Политика3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
+84%

История результатов

50% попаданий · 15/30

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	$25	45.0¢	Поражение
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$20	31.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	$250	46.0¢	Победа
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$50	18.0¢	Поражение
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$20	38.0¢	Победа
Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?	Yes	$20	81.8¢	Победа
Nothing Ever Happens: May	No	$5	10.0¢	Поражение
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$5	4.0¢	Поражение
Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	$5	72.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	Yes	$250	31.0¢	Поражение
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?	Yes	$10	13.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?	Yes	$20	10.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	Yes	$10	2.0¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	Yes	$5	20.0¢	Поражение
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	$100	49.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	Yes	$139	22.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	$250	18.0¢	Победа
US military action against Iran by Saturday?	Yes	$20	6.7¢	Победа
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?	Yes	$800	86.9¢	Поражение
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)	Nuggets	$3	26.0¢	Поражение
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?	No	$50	64.3¢	Победа
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?	Yes	$50	19.0¢	Победа
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?	No	$10	56.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	$250	44.0¢	Победа
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?	No	$50	67.0¢	Поражение
Karen Read guilty in officer's death?	No	$1	77.0¢	Победа
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?	No	$100	61.0¢	Победа
Israel military action against Iran before July?	Yes	$227	24.3¢	Победа
Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?	Yes	$5	4.2¢	Поражение
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?	No	$50	77.0¢	Победа

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseПоражение
Yes$25 @ 45.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 31.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Победа
No$250 @ 46.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 18.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Победа
No$20 @ 38.0¢
Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?Победа
Yes$20 @ 81.8¢
Nothing Ever Happens: MayПоражение
No$5 @ 10.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 4.0¢
Pacers vs. ThunderПобеда
Thunder$5 @ 72.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$250 @ 31.0¢
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Победа
Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Победа
No$100 @ 49.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Поражение
Yes$139 @ 22.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Победа
Yes$250 @ 18.0¢
US military action against Iran by Saturday?Победа
Yes$20 @ 6.7¢
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?Поражение
Yes$800 @ 86.9¢
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)Поражение
Nuggets$3 @ 26.0¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?Победа
No$50 @ 64.3¢
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Победа
Yes$50 @ 19.0¢
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?Поражение
No$10 @ 56.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Победа
Yes$250 @ 44.0¢
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Поражение
No$50 @ 67.0¢
Karen Read guilty in officer's death?Победа
No$1 @ 77.0¢
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Победа
No$100 @ 61.0¢
Israel military action against Iran before July?Победа
Yes$227 @ 24.3¢
Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 4.2¢
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?Победа
No$50 @ 77.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Политика	No	$250	46.0¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$50	79.8¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	No	$50	77.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Политика	Yes	$25	45.0¢
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$25	17.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$20	31.5¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Политика	Yes	$5	8.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Политика	Yes	$5	23.0¢

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Политика
No$250 @ 46.0¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Геополитика
No$50 @ 79.8¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
No$50 @ 77.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseПолитика
Yes$25 @ 45.0¢
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$25 @ 17.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$20 @ 31.5¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Политика
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Политика
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢