0xa0bc…de46

Прибыльный

Эдж

-14.2pp

ROI

+4%

Доля побед

33% @ 47.2¢

Brier

0.173

Сделок

115

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	50% (20/40)	-7%	40
Спорт	29% (2/7)	+154%	7
Технологии	17% (1/6)	-35%	6
Политика	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other40 ставки
Попадания
50% (20/40)
ROI
-7%
Спорт7 ставки
Попадания
29% (2/7)
ROI
+154%
Технологии6 ставки
Попадания
17% (1/6)
ROI
-35%
Политика2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

42% попаданий · 23/55

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	$3	34.0¢	Поражение
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Vitality	$7	76.0¢	Победа
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?	No	$5	87.0¢	Победа
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Dignitas	$5	12.0¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$11	76.5¢	Победа
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$4	26.0¢	Поражение
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	$5	67.0¢	Победа
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	$2	52.0¢	Поражение
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2	47.0¢	Поражение
Lightning vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	$2	58.0¢	Победа
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	$2	42.0¢	Поражение
Tigre 2: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Facundo Acosta	Acosta	$3	77.0¢	Победа
Jets vs. Canucks	Canucks	$36	45.6¢	Поражение
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5	Over	$2	54.0¢	Поражение
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	$5	84.0¢	Победа
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$6	2.9¢	Поражение
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	$5	56.0¢	Поражение
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$2	88.0¢	Победа
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$4	61.4¢	Победа
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$2	43.0¢	Победа
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Vitality	$5	74.0¢	Победа
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Поражение
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$13	47.0¢	Победа
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)	Gen.G	$2	52.0¢	Поражение
FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$2	50.0¢	Поражение
Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	$5	53.0¢	Победа
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$2	1.7¢	Поражение
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2	4.5¢	Поражение
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	18.0¢	Поражение
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$2	78.0¢	Победа
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2	3.8¢	Победа
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?	No	$18	39.0¢	Победа
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$5	40.0¢	Поражение
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$14	68.5¢	Победа
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$2	28.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$4	75.0¢	Победа
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Invictus Gaming	$2	41.0¢	Поражение
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$5	61.0¢	Победа
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$2	54.0¢	Поражение
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)	Dignitas	$5	42.0¢	Победа
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	Yes	$5	4.0¢	Поражение
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$5	14.9¢	Поражение
Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	$5	60.0¢	Победа
Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Nerman Fatic	Nerman Fatic	$2	48.0¢	Поражение
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	No	$5	4.8¢	Поражение
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$9	60.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	39.0¢	Поражение
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$5	49.0¢	Победа
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Invictus Gaming	$2	39.0¢	Поражение

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Поражение
No$3 @ 34.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio PlayoffsПобеда
Vitality$7 @ 76.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?Победа
No$5 @ 87.0¢
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerПоражение
Dignitas$5 @ 12.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Победа
No$11 @ 76.5¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 26.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerПобеда
Vitality$5 @ 67.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Поражение
Knicks$2 @ 52.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
Lightning vs. HurricanesПобеда
Hurricanes$2 @ 58.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?Поражение
No$2 @ 42.0¢
Tigre 2: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Facundo AcostaПобеда
Acosta$3 @ 77.0¢
Jets vs. CanucksПоражение
Canucks$36 @ 45.6¢
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Поражение
Over$2 @ 54.0¢
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Победа
KT Rolster$5 @ 84.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 2.9¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$5 @ 56.0¢
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Победа
Yes$2 @ 88.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Победа
Yes$4 @ 61.4¢
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Победа
Under$2 @ 43.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsПобеда
Vitality$5 @ 74.0¢
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$13 @ 47.0¢
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Поражение
Gen.G$2 @ 52.0¢
FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Поражение
Over$2 @ 50.0¢
Rockets vs. LakersПобеда
Lakers$5 @ 53.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 4.5¢
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 18.0¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Победа
Yes$2 @ 78.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Победа
Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?Победа
No$18 @ 39.0¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Победа
No$14 @ 68.5¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 28.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Победа
No$4 @ 75.0¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendПоражение
Invictus Gaming$2 @ 41.0¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Победа
Yes$5 @ 61.0¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Поражение
Paris Saint-Germain FC$2 @ 54.0¢
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Победа
Dignitas$5 @ 42.0¢
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 4.0¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 14.9¢
Canadiens vs. LightningПобеда
Canadiens$5 @ 60.0¢
Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Nerman FaticПоражение
Nerman Fatic$2 @ 48.0¢
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Поражение
No$5 @ 4.8¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Победа
Yes$9 @ 60.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 39.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Победа
Over$5 @ 49.0¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendПоражение
Invictus Gaming$2 @ 39.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$7	39.3¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$5	79.0¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$5	22.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$5	69.0¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$5	60.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Спорт	Yes	$5	16.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$5	14.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Спорт	Yes	$5	11.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Спорт	Yes	$5	8.8¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$4	60.6¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Политика	No	$2	64.0¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$2	28.1¢
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$2	18.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Спорт	Yes	$2	8.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Политика	No	$2	91.5¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Политика	Yes	$2	65.5¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$7 @ 39.3¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$5 @ 79.0¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Политика
Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$5 @ 69.0¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$5 @ 60.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Спорт
Yes$5 @ 16.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Спорт
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Спорт
Yes$5 @ 8.8¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Политика
Yes$4 @ 60.6¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Политика
No$2 @ 64.0¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$2 @ 28.1¢
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Спорт
Yes$2 @ 8.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Политика
No$2 @ 91.5¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Политика
Yes$2 @ 65.5¢