0x9dfe…b3dd

Профи

Эдж

+7.7pp

ROI

+17%

Доля побед

63% @ 55.1¢

Brier

0.195

Сделок

5298

Ср. размер

$176

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	58% (299/515)	+13%	515
Политика	72% (47/65)	+9%	65
Геополитика	86% (19/22)	+47%	22
Крипто	56% (9/16)	+114%	16
Технологии	64% (9/14)	+25%	14
Спорт	50% (3/6)	+23%	6

Other515 ставки
Попадания
58% (299/515)
ROI
+13%
Политика65 ставки
Попадания
72% (47/65)
ROI
+9%
Геополитика22 ставки
Попадания
86% (19/22)
ROI
+47%
Крипто16 ставки
Попадания
56% (9/16)
ROI
+114%
Технологии14 ставки
Попадания
64% (9/14)
ROI
+25%
Спорт6 ставки
Попадания
50% (3/6)
ROI
+23%

История результатов

61% попаданий · 386/638

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?	No	$451	61.4¢	Победа
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	No	$1.0k	79.0¢	Победа
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	Yes	$58	23.2¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	$3.5k	50.0¢	Победа
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	$857	75.6¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?	No	$77	43.0¢	Поражение
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$41	14.0¢	Поражение
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$3	23.0¢	Победа
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$1.3k	62.4¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?	Yes	$2.0k	41.9¢	Победа
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	$1.2k	84.9¢	Победа
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	$409	23.0¢	Поражение
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	No	$234	76.0¢	Победа
US government shutdown by October 1?	Yes	$2.1k	80.6¢	Победа
Over $3M committed to the Bitway public sale?	Yes	$231	26.0¢	Поражение
Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?	Yes	$9	50.0¢	Поражение
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?	No	$480	48.1¢	Победа
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?	No	$181	63.0¢	Победа
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$8.3k	50.4¢	Победа
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$2.3k	45.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5.7k	29.3¢	Поражение
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?	No	$186	20.4¢	Поражение
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?	Yes	$557	52.1¢	Победа
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$456	88.8¢	Победа
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1	No	$8.6k	49.4¢	Победа
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1	Yes	$4.5k	73.9¢	Поражение
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$365	73.0¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$1.1k	56.0¢	Победа
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	37.0¢	Победа
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$1.2k	73.1¢	Победа
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$4.9k	47.3¢	Поражение
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$4.1k	35.2¢	Победа
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?	No	$890	89.0¢	Победа
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$440	67.1¢	Победа
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?	No	$160	16.0¢	Поражение
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$2.1k	38.0¢	Победа
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$13	86.0¢	Победа
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	Yes	$201	23.8¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	No	$850	85.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	$800	80.0¢	Поражение
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$6.0k	48.8¢	Победа
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 50%?	No	$169	50.6¢	Победа
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$1.7k	36.9¢	Поражение
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$3.9k	51.9¢	Победа
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$852	85.2¢	Победа
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	$749	38.8¢	Поражение
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	$160	37.0¢	Победа
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$317	21.1¢	Поражение
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$550	11.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during announcement today?	Yes	$30	30.0¢	Победа

Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?Победа
No$451 @ 61.4¢
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Победа
No$1.0k @ 79.0¢
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Поражение
Yes$58 @ 23.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Победа
No$3.5k @ 50.0¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Победа
No$857 @ 75.6¢
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?Поражение
No$77 @ 43.0¢
No airdrop in 2025?Поражение
Yes$41 @ 14.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Победа
No$3 @ 23.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Поражение
Yes$1.3k @ 62.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?Победа
Yes$2.0k @ 41.9¢
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?Победа
No$1.2k @ 84.9¢
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?Поражение
Yes$409 @ 23.0¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Победа
No$234 @ 76.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Победа
Yes$2.1k @ 80.6¢
Over $3M committed to the Bitway public sale?Поражение
Yes$231 @ 26.0¢
Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 50.0¢
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?Победа
No$480 @ 48.1¢
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?Победа
No$181 @ 63.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Победа
No$8.3k @ 50.4¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$2.3k @ 45.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$5.7k @ 29.3¢
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Поражение
No$186 @ 20.4¢
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Победа
Yes$557 @ 52.1¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Победа
No$456 @ 88.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Победа
No$8.6k @ 49.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Поражение
Yes$4.5k @ 73.9¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Поражение
Yes$365 @ 73.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Победа
No$1.1k @ 56.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Победа
Yes$1.3k @ 37.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Победа
Yes$1.2k @ 73.1¢
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Поражение
No$4.9k @ 47.3¢
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Победа
Yes$4.1k @ 35.2¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Победа
No$890 @ 89.0¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Победа
Yes$440 @ 67.1¢
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?Поражение
No$160 @ 16.0¢
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Победа
Yes$2.1k @ 38.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Победа
No$13 @ 86.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Поражение
Yes$201 @ 23.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?Победа
No$850 @ 85.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Поражение
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Победа
Yes$6.0k @ 48.8¢
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 50%?Победа
No$169 @ 50.6¢
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Поражение
No$1.7k @ 36.9¢
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Победа
Yes$3.9k @ 51.9¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Победа
Yes$852 @ 85.2¢
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Поражение
Yes$749 @ 38.8¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Победа
No$160 @ 37.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Поражение
Yes$317 @ 21.1¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Поражение
No$550 @ 11.0¢
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during announcement today?Победа
Yes$30 @ 30.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Наука	No	$12.0k	91.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Политика	No	$6.8k	84.9¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Политика	No	$6.1k	73.5¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$5.9k	68.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Политика	No	$3.7k	74.0¢
Tusk out by December 31?	Политика	No	$2.3k	92.0¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$2.3k	75.4¢
Nawrocki out by December 31?	Политика	No	$1.4k	94.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$1.2k	67.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$32	46.0¢

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Наука
No$12.0k @ 91.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Политика
No$6.8k @ 84.9¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Политика
No$6.1k @ 73.5¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Политика
Yes$5.9k @ 68.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Политика
No$3.7k @ 74.0¢
Tusk out by December 31?Политика
No$2.3k @ 92.0¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$2.3k @ 75.4¢
Nawrocki out by December 31?Политика
No$1.4k @ 94.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Крипто
No$1.2k @ 67.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Крипто
No$32 @ 46.0¢