0x9be5…985e

Профи

Эдж

+5.1pp

ROI

+9%

Доля побед

80% @ 74.4¢

Brier

0.115

Сделок

718

Ср. размер

$20

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	77% (114/148)	+7%	148
Политика	77% (24/31)	+12%	31
Бизнес	100% (18/18)	+15%	18
Экономика	59% (10/17)	+12%	17
Геополитика	85% (11/13)	+12%	13
Технологии	100% (2/2)	+20%	2
Наука	100% (1/1)	+28%	1

Other148 ставки
Попадания
77% (114/148)
ROI
+7%
Политика31 ставки
Попадания
77% (24/31)
ROI
+12%
Бизнес18 ставки
Попадания
100% (18/18)
ROI
+15%
Экономика17 ставки
Попадания
59% (10/17)
ROI
+12%
Геополитика13 ставки
Попадания
85% (11/13)
ROI
+12%
Технологии2 ставки
Попадания
100% (2/2)
ROI
+20%
Наука1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+28%

История результатов

78% попаданий · 180/230

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	90.0¢	Победа
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	89.0¢	Победа
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	91.0¢	Победа
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	90.0¢	Победа
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$4	84.7¢	Победа
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	93.0¢	Победа
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$4	74.0¢	Победа
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	90.0¢	Победа
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$10	96.0¢	Победа
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	85.0¢	Победа
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	90.0¢	Победа
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $690 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$7	73.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	No	$9	91.7¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	$36	90.5¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	No	$8	84.0¢	Победа
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in September?	No	$21	86.0¢	Победа
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?	No	$52	86.7¢	Победа
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $162 in September?	No	$18	88.5¢	Победа
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in September?	No	$18	90.8¢	Победа
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $216 in September?	No	$19	94.0¢	Победа
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	$15	74.0¢	Победа
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?	Yes	$13	63.0¢	Поражение
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	No	$32	87.5¢	Поражение
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	$37	37.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	$57	81.9¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$10	67.0¢	Поражение
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	$7	72.0¢	Победа
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?	No	$6	64.0¢	Победа
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	No	$16	80.0¢	Победа
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$40	89.7¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$132	87.9¢	Победа
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	$39	78.2¢	Победа
Will Tesla reach $548 in January?	No	$8	89.0¢	Победа
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?	Yes	$1	78.0¢	Победа
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	No	$7	65.0¢	Поражение
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	$2	71.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$38	75.6¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$37	61.7¢	Поражение
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	$0	7.0¢	Поражение
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$8	83.0¢	Победа
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?	No	$45	89.0¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$41	82.7¢	Победа
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	$44	88.0¢	Победа
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$16	46.0¢	Поражение
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	$7	37.0¢	Поражение
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $160 before 2026??	No	$8	81.0¢	Победа
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	$81	81.0¢	Победа
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$18	60.3¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	$4	81.0¢	Победа
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	Yes	$17	41.5¢	Поражение

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$9 @ 89.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$4 @ 84.7¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$9 @ 93.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$4 @ 74.0¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$10 @ 96.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $690 Week of September 28 2026?Победа
No$7 @ 73.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?Победа
No$9 @ 91.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Победа
No$36 @ 90.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?Победа
No$8 @ 84.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in September?Победа
No$21 @ 86.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?Победа
No$52 @ 86.7¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $162 in September?Победа
No$18 @ 88.5¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in September?Победа
No$18 @ 90.8¢
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $216 in September?Победа
No$19 @ 94.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?Победа
No$15 @ 74.0¢
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Поражение
No$32 @ 87.5¢
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?Поражение
Yes$37 @ 37.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Победа
Yes$57 @ 81.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Поражение
No$10 @ 67.0¢
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Победа
No$7 @ 72.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?Победа
No$6 @ 64.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?Победа
No$16 @ 80.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Победа
No$40 @ 89.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Победа
No$132 @ 87.9¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Победа
No$39 @ 78.2¢
Will Tesla reach $548 in January?Победа
No$8 @ 89.0¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Победа
Yes$1 @ 78.0¢
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Поражение
No$7 @ 65.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Поражение
No$2 @ 71.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$38 @ 75.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$37 @ 61.7¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Поражение
No$0 @ 7.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Победа
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Победа
Yes$41 @ 82.7¢
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Победа
Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Поражение
No$16 @ 46.0¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 37.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $160 before 2026??Победа
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Победа
No$81 @ 81.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Поражение
No$18 @ 60.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?Победа
Yes$4 @ 81.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 41.5¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$900	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	No	$900	50.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Экономика	Yes	$285	88.9¢
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Политика	Yes	$172	67.5¢
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Политика	No	$143	66.9¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	Экономика	Yes	$92	92.0¢
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Геополитика	Yes	$86	71.7¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in October?	Бизнес	No	$51	91.9¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $384 in October?	Бизнес	No	$46	91.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $900 in October?	Бизнес	No	$45	90.0¢
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	Other	No	$39	77.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$34	84.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Other	No	$34	84.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$23	76.0¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	Политика	No	$18	89.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	Other	No	$18	89.0¢
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Политика	No	$16	45.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Технологии	No	$15	73.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $376 in October?	Бизнес	No	$13	87.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	Экономика	No	$13	74.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$10	52.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 28 2026?	Бизнес	No	$10	96.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 28 2026?	Бизнес	No	$9	93.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 28 2026?	Бизнес	No	$9	91.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Other	No	$9	91.0¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 28 2026?	Бизнес	No	$9	90.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?	Бизнес	No	$9	90.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026?	Бизнес	No	$9	90.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 28 2026?	Бизнес	No	$9	90.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?	Бизнес	No	$9	90.0¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$900 @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
No$900 @ 50.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Экономика
Yes$285 @ 88.9¢
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Политика
Yes$172 @ 67.5¢
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Политика
No$143 @ 66.9¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?Экономика
Yes$92 @ 92.0¢
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Геополитика
Yes$86 @ 71.7¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in October?Бизнес
No$51 @ 91.9¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $384 in October?Бизнес
No$46 @ 91.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $900 in October?Бизнес
No$45 @ 90.0¢
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?Other
No$39 @ 77.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$34 @ 84.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Other
No$34 @ 84.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Политика
No$23 @ 76.0¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Политика
No$18 @ 89.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Other
No$18 @ 89.0¢
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Политика
No$16 @ 45.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Технологии
No$15 @ 73.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $376 in October?Бизнес
No$13 @ 87.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Экономика
No$13 @ 74.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 28 2026?Бизнес
No$10 @ 96.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 28 2026?Бизнес
No$9 @ 93.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 28 2026?Бизнес
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Other
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 28 2026?Бизнес
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?Бизнес
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026?Бизнес
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 28 2026?Бизнес
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?Бизнес
No$9 @ 90.0¢