0x92d0…269e

Профи

Эдж

+6.9pp

ROI

+17%

Доля побед

45% @ 38.1¢

Brier

0.199

Сделок

5085

Ср. размер

$85

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	42% (422/1005)	+16%	1005
Политика	41% (79/192)	+18%	192
Геополитика	35% (20/57)	+3%	57
Спорт	29% (2/7)	+160%	7
Технологии	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Культура	100% (1/1)	+52%	1

Other1005 ставки
Попадания
42% (422/1005)
ROI
+16%
Политика192 ставки
Попадания
41% (79/192)
ROI
+18%
Геополитика57 ставки
Попадания
35% (20/57)
ROI
+3%
Спорт7 ставки
Попадания
29% (2/7)
ROI
+160%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Культура1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+52%

История результатов

41% попаданий · 524/1263

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	$143	58.7¢	Поражение
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	$894	60.9¢	Победа
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?	Yes	$358	74.2¢	Победа
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	$205	35.5¢	Победа
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	$200	50.0¢	Поражение
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	No	$23	57.0¢	Победа
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	$276	48.9¢	Поражение
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	$98	36.7¢	Поражение
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	Yes	$46	37.8¢	Поражение
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	$555	79.1¢	Победа
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$148	37.0¢	Поражение
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$344	68.8¢	Победа
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	$594	67.5¢	Победа
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	$228	54.7¢	Победа
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?	No	$56	35.6¢	Поражение
Houthi military action against Mecca by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Поражение
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	Yes	$45	11.5¢	Поражение
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	$114	22.4¢	Поражение
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	No	$90	73.6¢	Победа
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	Yes	$75	24.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	$260	26.0¢	Поражение
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	$26	2.8¢	Поражение
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	No	$33	11.0¢	Поражение
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	Yes	$109	29.0¢	Поражение
India air/missile strike on Pakistan soil by Friday?	No	$38	38.0¢	Победа
India air/missile strike on Pakistan soil by Friday?	Yes	$104	79.5¢	Поражение
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?	No	$25	33.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?	No	$72	40.0¢	Поражение
Will the Australian hero donation campaign reach $1.7 million by Dec 15?	No	$61	3.0¢	Поражение
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$283	27.6¢	Поражение
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$1.5k	59.2¢	Победа
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$985	48.3¢	Победа
Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?	Yes	$47	33.6¢	Победа
North Korea missile test by September 15?	No	$173	55.8¢	Победа
North Korea missile test by September 15?	Yes	$117	23.4¢	Поражение
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025?	No	$62	65.4¢	Победа
Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?	Yes	$53	35.0¢	Поражение
Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in April?	Yes	$5	3.8¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$934	26.7¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	40.1¢	Победа
Israel military action against Iran in April?	Yes	$22	11.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in October?	Yes	$172	57.3¢	Победа
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	$502	64.2¢	Победа
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	$105	42.0¢	Победа
Trump x Xi talk before July?	No	$125	24.3¢	Поражение
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	Yes	$611	23.4¢	Поражение
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	$548	13.7¢	Поражение
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	Yes	$686	71.9¢	Победа
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	$194	49.5¢	Поражение
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?	Yes	$118	2.8¢	Поражение

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Поражение
No$143 @ 58.7¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Победа
Yes$894 @ 60.9¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?Победа
Yes$358 @ 74.2¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Победа
No$205 @ 35.5¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Поражение
Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Победа
No$23 @ 57.0¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Поражение
Yes$276 @ 48.9¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Поражение
Yes$98 @ 36.7¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Поражение
Yes$46 @ 37.8¢
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?Победа
No$555 @ 79.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$148 @ 37.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$344 @ 68.8¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Победа
Yes$594 @ 67.5¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Победа
Yes$228 @ 54.7¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?Поражение
No$56 @ 35.6¢
Houthi military action against Mecca by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Поражение
Yes$45 @ 11.5¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Поражение
Yes$114 @ 22.4¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?Победа
No$90 @ 73.6¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$75 @ 24.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Поражение
No$260 @ 26.0¢
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?Поражение
Yes$26 @ 2.8¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?Поражение
No$33 @ 11.0¢
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Поражение
Yes$109 @ 29.0¢
India air/missile strike on Pakistan soil by Friday?Победа
No$38 @ 38.0¢
India air/missile strike on Pakistan soil by Friday?Поражение
Yes$104 @ 79.5¢
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?Поражение
No$25 @ 33.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Поражение
No$72 @ 40.0¢
Will the Australian hero donation campaign reach $1.7 million by Dec 15?Поражение
No$61 @ 3.0¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$283 @ 27.6¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Победа
No$1.5k @ 59.2¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Победа
No$985 @ 48.3¢
Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?Победа
Yes$47 @ 33.6¢
North Korea missile test by September 15?Победа
No$173 @ 55.8¢
North Korea missile test by September 15?Поражение
Yes$117 @ 23.4¢
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025?Победа
No$62 @ 65.4¢
Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?Поражение
Yes$53 @ 35.0¢
Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in April?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 3.8¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Поражение
No$934 @ 26.7¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.4k @ 40.1¢
Israel military action against Iran in April?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 11.0¢
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in October?Победа
Yes$172 @ 57.3¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Победа
Yes$502 @ 64.2¢
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?Победа
Yes$105 @ 42.0¢
Trump x Xi talk before July?Поражение
No$125 @ 24.3¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Поражение
Yes$611 @ 23.4¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Поражение
No$548 @ 13.7¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Победа
Yes$686 @ 71.9¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Поражение
Yes$194 @ 49.5¢
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Поражение
Yes$118 @ 2.8¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$163	54.4¢
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?	Политика	No	$121	66.5¢
Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?	Политика	No	$108	61.4¢

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?Геополитика
No$163 @ 54.4¢
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?Политика
No$121 @ 66.5¢
Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?Политика
No$108 @ 61.4¢