0x8e77…c4f3

Профи

Эдж

+3.2pp

ROI

+8%

Доля побед

79% @ 75.5¢

Brier

0.134

Сделок

2321

Ср. размер

$361

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	81% (166/205)	+6%	205
Политика	83% (38/46)	+0%	46
Крипто	50% (4/8)	+9%	8
Геополитика	100% (6/6)	+22%	6
Спорт	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Технологии	100% (1/1)	+2%	1
Экономика	100% (1/1)	+85%	1

Other205 ставки
Попадания
81% (166/205)
ROI
+6%
Политика46 ставки
Попадания
83% (38/46)
ROI
+0%
Крипто8 ставки
Попадания
50% (4/8)
ROI
+9%
Геополитика6 ставки
Попадания
100% (6/6)
ROI
+22%
Спорт2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+2%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+85%

История результатов

80% попаданий · 216/269

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?	No	$4.5k	85.8¢	Победа
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	No	$65	89.0¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$243	85.0¢	Победа
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$468	18.7¢	Поражение
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?	No	$212	89.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$3.5k	87.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$4.1k	82.0¢	Победа
Will Chainlink hit $23 in January?	No	$29	88.0¢	Победа
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13?	No	$4.4k	88.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$4.4k	88.0¢	Победа
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 9?	No	$4.5k	89.4¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$47	80.0¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?	Yes	$4.3k	87.0¢	Победа
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	$4.3k	86.0¢	Победа
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$1.2k	82.3¢	Победа
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$1.8k	74.0¢	Победа
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	$610	61.0¢	Поражение
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?	No	$619	78.0¢	Победа
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$6	67.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$10.2k	81.4¢	Победа
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 11?	No	$553	89.0¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$4.0k	79.2¢	Победа
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?	No	$1.8k	89.0¢	Победа
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 9?	Yes	$4.4k	89.0¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	No	$2.0k	78.3¢	Победа
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?	No	$162	89.0¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 1-7?	No	$1.0k	51.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$3.1k	62.0¢	Победа
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$1.7k	86.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?	Yes	$1.6k	78.0¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4.4k	88.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	No	$1.3k	67.0¢	Победа
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$1.5k	74.0¢	Поражение
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$3.5k	67.9¢	Поражение
Will Ethena reach $0.50 in November?	No	$528	88.0¢	Победа
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	$5.2k	69.7¢	Победа
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	$8.5k	81.2¢	Победа
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	$4.2k	83.0¢	Победа
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$1.3k	64.0¢	Поражение
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	$7.4k	83.9¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$10.0k	66.7¢	Победа
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	No	$298	74.0¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$5.7k	80.6¢	Победа
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	$1.0k	69.1¢	Победа
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	$7.0k	78.0¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?	No	$1.4k	88.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$2.6k	52.0¢	Поражение
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	$12.5k	89.0¢	Победа
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?	No	$4.5k	88.0¢	Победа
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$1.9k	37.4¢	Поражение

Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?Победа
No$4.5k @ 85.8¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Победа
No$65 @ 89.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Победа
No$243 @ 85.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$468 @ 18.7¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Победа
No$212 @ 89.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Победа
No$3.5k @ 87.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$4.1k @ 82.0¢
Will Chainlink hit $23 in January?Победа
No$29 @ 88.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13?Победа
No$4.4k @ 88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Победа
No$4.4k @ 88.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 9?Победа
No$4.5k @ 89.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$47 @ 80.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?Победа
Yes$4.3k @ 87.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Победа
No$4.3k @ 86.0¢
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Победа
Yes$1.2k @ 82.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Победа
No$1.8k @ 74.0¢
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$610 @ 61.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Победа
No$619 @ 78.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Поражение
No$6 @ 67.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Победа
No$10.2k @ 81.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 11?Победа
No$553 @ 89.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Победа
No$4.0k @ 79.2¢
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?Победа
No$1.8k @ 89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 9?Победа
Yes$4.4k @ 89.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Победа
No$2.0k @ 78.3¢
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Победа
No$162 @ 89.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 1-7?Поражение
No$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Победа
No$3.1k @ 62.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Победа
No$1.7k @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Победа
Yes$1.6k @ 78.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$4.4k @ 88.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Победа
No$1.3k @ 67.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Поражение
No$1.5k @ 74.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
No$3.5k @ 67.9¢
Will Ethena reach $0.50 in November?Победа
No$528 @ 88.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Победа
No$5.2k @ 69.7¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Победа
No$8.5k @ 81.2¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Победа
No$4.2k @ 83.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Поражение
No$1.3k @ 64.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Победа
No$7.4k @ 83.9¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Победа
No$10.0k @ 66.7¢
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Победа
No$298 @ 74.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Победа
No$5.7k @ 80.6¢
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?Победа
No$1.0k @ 69.1¢
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$7.0k @ 78.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?Победа
No$1.4k @ 88.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
No$2.6k @ 52.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Победа
No$12.5k @ 89.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Победа
No$4.5k @ 88.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Поражение
No$1.9k @ 37.4¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$29.8k	74.1¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$23.7k	71.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Политика	No	$12.2k	97.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$11.8k	83.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$11.3k	90.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	No	$10.6k	85.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$9.6k	95.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$9.4k	94.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$8.5k	85.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$4.9k	97.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$4.8k	96.4¢
SBF released from custody in 2026?	Политика	No	$4.8k	95.4¢
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$4.8k	95.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Технологии	No	$4.7k	93.1¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Политика	No	$4.6k	92.8¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$4.6k	90.6¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$4.6k	92.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$4.6k	92.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Политика	No	$4.5k	90.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Технологии	No	$4.5k	89.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$4.5k	89.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$4.4k	89.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$4.3k	87.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Политика	No	$4.3k	86.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Политика	No	$4.2k	85.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Политика	No	$4.2k	84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Политика	No	$4.2k	83.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$4.1k	82.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Политика	No	$4.1k	81.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$4.1k	81.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$29.8k @ 74.1¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Экономика
Yes$23.7k @ 71.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Политика
No$12.2k @ 97.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$11.8k @ 83.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$11.3k @ 90.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
No$10.6k @ 85.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$9.6k @ 95.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$9.4k @ 94.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$8.5k @ 85.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Геополитика
No$4.9k @ 97.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$4.8k @ 96.4¢
SBF released from custody in 2026?Политика
No$4.8k @ 95.4¢
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Политика
No$4.8k @ 95.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Технологии
No$4.7k @ 93.1¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Политика
No$4.6k @ 92.8¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Политика
No$4.6k @ 90.6¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$4.6k @ 92.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$4.6k @ 92.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Политика
No$4.5k @ 90.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Технологии
No$4.5k @ 89.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$4.5k @ 89.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$4.4k @ 89.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Геополитика
No$4.3k @ 87.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Политика
No$4.3k @ 86.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Политика
No$4.2k @ 85.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Политика
No$4.2k @ 84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Политика
No$4.2k @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$4.1k @ 82.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Политика
No$4.1k @ 81.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Политика
Yes$4.1k @ 81.0¢