0x8e6b…2ffc

Профи

Эдж

+10.1pp

ROI

+70%

Доля побед

28% @ 18.4¢

Brier

0.160

Сделок

734

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	29% (28/95)	+63%	95
Спорт	18% (4/22)	+228%	22
Политика	38% (8/21)	+47%	21
Культура	33% (3/9)	+29%	9
Крипто	67% (2/3)	+10%	3
Геополитика	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other95 ставки
Попадания
29% (28/95)
ROI
+63%
Спорт22 ставки
Попадания
18% (4/22)
ROI
+228%
Политика21 ставки
Попадания
38% (8/21)
ROI
+47%
Культура9 ставки
Попадания
33% (3/9)
ROI
+29%
Крипто3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+10%
Геополитика2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

30% попаданий · 45/152

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	Yes	$10	15.0¢	Поражение
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	$11	99.2¢	Победа
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	$26	42.0¢	Поражение
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	$25	70.0¢	Победа
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	$131	89.4¢	Победа
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Победа
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 6?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	34.0¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$10	20.0¢	Поражение
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$5	8.7¢	Поражение
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$10	64.0¢	Победа
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$5	23.0¢	Поражение
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	5.8¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$10	25.0¢	Поражение
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$5	36.0¢	Поражение
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	Yes	$32	7.4¢	Поражение
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?	Yes	$4	17.0¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$158	25.5¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$16	17.7¢	Поражение
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	8.6¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?	Yes	$6	1.6¢	Поражение
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?	Yes	$26	4.9¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	Yes	$9	28.8¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	No	$5	36.6¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	Yes	$6	34.9¢	Победа
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	14.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$20	17.5¢	Поражение
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	No	$4	84.0¢	Победа
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	Yes	$54	17.4¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	Yes	$25	32.6¢	Поражение
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	$20	89.6¢	Победа
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$49	8.3¢	Поражение
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$5	9.0¢	Поражение
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$16	8.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	40.0¢	Победа
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$18	3.1¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 9?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Поражение
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$13	8.0¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$10	22.0¢	Победа
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10?	Yes	$3	19.7¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Поражение
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Поражение
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	$24	34.8¢	Поражение

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseПобеда
No$11 @ 99.2¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseПоражение
No$26 @ 42.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseПобеда
No$25 @ 70.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseПобеда
No$131 @ 89.4¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?Победа
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 6?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 34.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 8.7¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Победа
Yes$10 @ 64.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 5.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?Поражение
Yes$32 @ 7.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 17.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$158 @ 25.5¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 17.7¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 8.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 1.6¢
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Поражение
Yes$26 @ 4.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 28.8¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Поражение
No$5 @ 36.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Победа
Yes$6 @ 34.9¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 14.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 17.5¢
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Победа
No$4 @ 84.0¢
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Поражение
Yes$54 @ 17.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?Победа
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 32.6¢
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Победа
No$20 @ 89.6¢
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Поражение
Yes$49 @ 8.3¢
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 8.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 3.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 9?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 8.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Победа
Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 19.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Поражение
Yes$24 @ 34.8¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$213	94.1¢
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$118	86.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$96	79.4¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$93	80.0¢
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$74	82.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$28	17.0¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$28	94.3¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$23	95.2¢
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$12	83.1¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$11	79.2¢
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$1	17.3¢
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Технологии	Yes	$1	27.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Политика	Yes	$0	50.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$0	34.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$0	36.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	15.7¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	47.2¢
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$0	12.0¢
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$0	17.6¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$0	3.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$0	15.7¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$0	4.4¢

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Крипто
No$213 @ 94.1¢
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Крипто
No$118 @ 86.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Экономика
Yes$96 @ 79.4¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Крипто
No$93 @ 80.0¢
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?Крипто
No$74 @ 82.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$28 @ 17.0¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Крипто
No$28 @ 94.3¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Крипто
No$23 @ 95.2¢
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Крипто
No$12 @ 83.1¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Крипто
No$11 @ 79.2¢
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$1 @ 17.3¢
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Технологии
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Политика
Yes$0 @ 50.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
Yes$0 @ 34.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$0 @ 36.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 15.7¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 47.2¢
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$0 @ 12.0¢
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$0 @ 17.6¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$0 @ 3.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$0 @ 15.7¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$0 @ 4.4¢