0x8deb…7062

Профи

Эдж

+10.5pp

ROI

+12%

Доля побед

90% @ 79.5¢

Brier

0.103

Сделок

565

Ср. размер

$31

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	85% (46/54)	+13%	54
Экономика	93% (13/14)	+4%	14
Геополитика	100% (7/7)	+3%	7
Политика	100% (4/4)	+15%	4

Other54 ставки
Попадания
85% (46/54)
ROI
+13%
Экономика14 ставки
Попадания
93% (13/14)
ROI
+4%
Геополитика7 ставки
Попадания
100% (7/7)
ROI
+3%
Политика4 ставки
Попадания
100% (4/4)
ROI
+15%

История результатов

89% попаданий · 70/79

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	$165	99.8¢	Победа
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	No	$133	99.9¢	Победа
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	Yes	$922	99.4¢	Победа
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?	No	$1.2k	99.8¢	Победа
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.1k	97.4¢	Победа
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	No	$95	95.3¢	Победа
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	$110	97.8¢	Победа
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?	No	$15	73.0¢	Победа
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	$132	88.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$78	78.0¢	Поражение
Will SOFR hit 3.75% (High) between February 13 and February 28?	No	$16	77.5¢	Победа
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?	Yes	$970	72.8¢	Победа
Will SOFR hit 3.60% (Low) between March 1 and March 31?	No	$3	50.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $72 by end of February?	No	$1	10.0¢	Победа
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	$30	82.6¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?	Yes	$9	85.0¢	Победа
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	No	$4	89.1¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?	No	$12	63.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	$122	88.8¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	No	$3	25.0¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.7k	85.5¢	Победа
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?	Yes	$120	87.4¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	$6	60.0¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	$45	89.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?	No	$5	50.0¢	Победа
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	No	$48	78.2¢	Победа
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.5k	87.5¢	Победа
Will SOFR hit 3.60% (Low) between April 1 and April 30?	No	$1	10.0¢	Поражение
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	$364	88.1¢	Победа
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	$7	68.0¢	Победа
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?	No	$12	60.9¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	$429	88.6¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$156	78.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	No	$14	87.6¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of February?	No	$38	85.4¢	Победа
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	$10	77.1¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?	No	$303	86.6¢	Победа
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$102	84.8¢	Победа
March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?	No	$88	88.1¢	Победа
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	$41	81.4¢	Победа
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$172	86.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	$587	85.7¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	$201	87.2¢	Победа
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the February Meeting?	No	$0	70.0¢	Победа
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,500 (HIGH) in March 2026?	No	$11	85.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	$9	85.0¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?	Yes	$9	89.1¢	Победа
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in February 2026?	No	$10	59.9¢	Победа
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	$265	86.5¢	Поражение
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$475	86.3¢	Победа

Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Победа
No$165 @ 99.8¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Победа
No$133 @ 99.9¢
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Победа
Yes$922 @ 99.4¢
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Победа
No$1.2k @ 99.8¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$1.1k @ 97.4¢
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Победа
No$95 @ 95.3¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?Победа
No$110 @ 97.8¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?Победа
No$15 @ 73.0¢
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Победа
No$132 @ 88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Поражение
No$78 @ 78.0¢
Will SOFR hit 3.75% (High) between February 13 and February 28?Победа
No$16 @ 77.5¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Победа
Yes$970 @ 72.8¢
Will SOFR hit 3.60% (Low) between March 1 and March 31?Победа
No$3 @ 50.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $72 by end of February?Победа
No$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Победа
Yes$30 @ 82.6¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Победа
Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Победа
No$4 @ 89.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?Победа
No$12 @ 63.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Победа
Yes$122 @ 88.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Поражение
No$3 @ 25.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$1.7k @ 85.5¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?Поражение
Yes$120 @ 87.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?Победа
No$6 @ 60.0¢
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?Победа
Yes$45 @ 89.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Победа
No$5 @ 50.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?Победа
No$48 @ 78.2¢
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$1.5k @ 87.5¢
Will SOFR hit 3.60% (Low) between April 1 and April 30?Поражение
No$1 @ 10.0¢
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Победа
No$364 @ 88.1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?Победа
No$7 @ 68.0¢
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?Победа
No$12 @ 60.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Победа
No$429 @ 88.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Победа
No$156 @ 78.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?Победа
No$14 @ 87.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of February?Победа
No$38 @ 85.4¢
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?Победа
No$10 @ 77.1¢
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Победа
No$303 @ 86.6¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$102 @ 84.8¢
March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?Победа
No$88 @ 88.1¢
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Победа
No$41 @ 81.4¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$172 @ 86.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Победа
Yes$587 @ 85.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Победа
No$201 @ 87.2¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the February Meeting?Победа
No$0 @ 70.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,500 (HIGH) in March 2026?Победа
No$11 @ 85.0¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Победа
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?Победа
Yes$9 @ 89.1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in February 2026?Победа
No$10 @ 59.9¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Поражение
No$265 @ 86.5¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Победа
Yes$475 @ 86.3¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$4.2k	96.3¢
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Геополитика	No	$2.6k	96.6¢
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Политика	No	$1.2k	99.7¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Политика	No	$1.1k	99.9¢
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Политика	No	$1.1k	99.5¢
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the October 2026 meeting?	Геополитика	No	$259	99.8¢
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Политика	No	$250	96.9¢
Will Algeria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$169	93.6¢
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Геополитика	No	$100	99.8¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Экономика	No	$66	99.8¢
Will USD/CAD hit 1.55 (High) in 2026?	Политика	No	$60	90.8¢
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Экономика	No	$49	86.2¢
Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?	Политика	No	$36	94.9¢
Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?	Политика	No	$34	95.0¢

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Экономика
Yes$4.2k @ 96.3¢
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Геополитика
No$2.6k @ 96.6¢
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Политика
No$1.2k @ 99.7¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Политика
No$1.1k @ 99.9¢
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Политика
No$1.1k @ 99.5¢
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the October 2026 meeting?Геополитика
No$259 @ 99.8¢
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Политика
No$250 @ 96.9¢
Will Algeria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$169 @ 93.6¢
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Геополитика
No$100 @ 99.8¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Экономика
No$66 @ 99.8¢
Will USD/CAD hit 1.55 (High) in 2026?Политика
No$60 @ 90.8¢
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Экономика
No$49 @ 86.2¢
Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?Политика
No$36 @ 94.9¢
Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?Политика
No$34 @ 95.0¢