← Умные деньги
0x8de0…7f22
ПрофиЭдж
+5.6pp
ROI
+21%
Доля побед
43% @ 37.7¢
Brier
0.181
Сделок
518
Ср. размер
$274
Динамика ROI
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Политика | 48% (76/160) | +23% | 160 |
| Other | 39% (39/99) | +38% | 99 |
| Геополитика | 52% (12/23) | +37% | 23 |
| Технологии | 23% (5/22) | -73% | 22 |
| Культура | 45% (5/11) | +66% | 11 |
| Экономика | 40% (2/5) | +46% | 5 |
| Бизнес | 50% (1/2) | -27% | 2 |
- Политика160 ставки
- Попадания
- 48% (76/160)
- ROI
- +23%
- Other99 ставки
- Попадания
- 39% (39/99)
- ROI
- +38%
- Геополитика23 ставки
- Попадания
- 52% (12/23)
- ROI
- +37%
- Технологии22 ставки
- Попадания
- 23% (5/22)
- ROI
- -73%
- Культура11 ставки
- Попадания
- 45% (5/11)
- ROI
- +66%
- Экономика5 ставки
- Попадания
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +46%
- Бизнес2 ставки
- Попадания
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -27%
История результатов
43% попаданий · 140/322- Yes$135 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$135 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$135 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$135 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$135 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$135 @ 2.7¢
- No$309 @ 44.6¢
- Yes$135 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$135 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$665 @ 37.0¢
- No$200 @ 43.1¢
- Yes$226 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
- No$69 @ 7.1¢
- Yes$908 @ 45.5¢
- No$7 @ 68.0¢
- No$20 @ 69.0¢
- Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?ПоражениеYes$187 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.2¢
- No$32 @ 10.0¢
- No$301 @ 86.0¢
- No$2.4k @ 31.2¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 76.9¢
- Yes$133 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 68.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 29.8¢
- No$64 @ 75.2¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 69.0¢
- No$287 @ 58.0¢
- Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?ПоражениеNo$469 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
- No$63 @ 5.0¢
- No$35 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$295 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$333 @ 24.0¢
- No$60 @ 34.5¢
- No$40 @ 38.7¢
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?ПоражениеYes$2 @ 17.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 86.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$25 @ 7.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 81.1¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 14.6¢
- Yes$51 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$82 @ 13.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 52.0¢
- No$3 @ 60.0¢
- No$176 @ 67.3¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
- No$3.7k @ 73.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 18.8¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 14.6¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 15.3¢
- No$1.5k @ 81.0¢
- Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?ТехнологииNo$1.2k @ 31.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 73.3¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 35.9¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 45.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 16.0¢
- No$754 @ 60.0¢
- No$741 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$740 @ 19.0¢
- No$732 @ 71.6¢
- Yes$691 @ 17.2¢
- Yes$682 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$662 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$652 @ 25.2¢
- No$629 @ 2.8¢
- No$618 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$599 @ 75.1¢
- No$547 @ 76.0¢
- No$538 @ 50.0¢
- Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?ПолитикаNo$469 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$450 @ 71.0¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?ПолитикаYes$318 @ 34.0¢
- No$315 @ 27.0¢
- No$309 @ 22.0¢
- No$309 @ 44.6¢
- Yes$291 @ 52.0¢