0x8c65…dcf7

Профи

Эдж

+4.5pp

ROI

+9%

Доля побед

39% @ 34.4¢

Brier

0.152

Сделок

2328

Ср. размер

$12

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	36% (294/827)	+14%	827
Спорт	40% (34/85)	-8%	85
Политика	38% (29/77)	-33%	77
Наука	50% (11/22)	+75%	22
Технологии	48% (10/21)	+15%	21
Геополитика	38% (6/16)	+22%	16
Культура	9% (1/11)	+15%	11
Экономика	43% (3/7)	+54%	7
Крипто	50% (3/6)	+220%	6
Бизнес	67% (4/6)	+49%	6

Other827 ставки
Попадания
36% (294/827)
ROI
+14%
Спорт85 ставки
Попадания
40% (34/85)
ROI
-8%
Политика77 ставки
Попадания
38% (29/77)
ROI
-33%
Наука22 ставки
Попадания
50% (11/22)
ROI
+75%
Технологии21 ставки
Попадания
48% (10/21)
ROI
+15%
Геополитика16 ставки
Попадания
38% (6/16)
ROI
+22%
Культура11 ставки
Попадания
9% (1/11)
ROI
+15%
Экономика7 ставки
Попадания
43% (3/7)
ROI
+54%
Крипто6 ставки
Попадания
50% (3/6)
ROI
+220%
Бизнес6 ставки
Попадания
67% (4/6)
ROI
+49%

История результатов

37% попаданий · 395/1078

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Spurs	$6	57.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$7	68.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	Yes	$17	86.8¢	Победа
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	$12	24.0¢	Поражение
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	$7	74.0¢	Победа
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	No	$2	51.0¢	Победа
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	$25	46.9¢	Победа
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$1	5.9¢	Поражение
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Поражение
Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$1	12.0¢	Поражение
Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5	Over	$3	51.0¢	Поражение
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	No	$2	15.0¢	Победа
Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?	Yes	$10	52.0¢	Поражение
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?	Yes	$79	80.0¢	Победа
Pacers vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$15	56.0¢	Победа
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?	No	$6	31.8¢	Поражение
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$11	22.0¢	Поражение
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Поражение
Will Trae Young be traded this season?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Победа
Will "Sarah's Oil" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$0	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	No	$1	6.0¢	Поражение
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$2	34.0¢	Поражение
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones	Kentucky Wildcats	$680	34.0¢	Поражение
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?	Yes	$5	12.2¢	Поражение
Will Apple announce a touchscreen MacBook during the WWDC 2026 keynote?	No	$5	54.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in London be 47°F or higher on November 21?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?	No	$273	46.6¢	Победа
Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	$7	66.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 3?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Поражение
Will Elliot Anderson join Liverpool?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Поражение
Stars vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$11	53.0¢	Поражение
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$31	62.9¢	Победа
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	$11	55.0¢	Победа
Will Kanye visit Israel by December 31?	Yes	$2	9.0¢	Поражение
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?	Yes	$8	3.1¢	Поражение
Heat vs. Mavericks	Heat	$2	19.0¢	Поражение
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	$7	14.0¢	Поражение
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Weibo Gaming	$1	1.0¢	Поражение
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$9	21.5¢	Поражение
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	$13	63.5¢	Победа
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Hornets	$10	52.0¢	Победа
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$61	61.0¢	Победа
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?	Yes	$3	15.0¢	Поражение
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?	Yes	$24	48.0¢	Победа
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?	No	$72	72.0¢	Победа
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$39	19.3¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 4?	No	$12	24.0¢	Победа
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$23	45.0¢	Победа

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Победа
Spurs$6 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Победа
Yes$7 @ 68.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Победа
Yes$17 @ 86.8¢
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Поражение
No$12 @ 24.0¢
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Победа
Yes$7 @ 74.0¢
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?Победа
No$2 @ 51.0¢
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Победа
Yes$25 @ 46.9¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Поражение
No$1 @ 5.9¢
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Nuggets vs. PelicansПоражение
Pelicans$1 @ 12.0¢
Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Поражение
Over$3 @ 51.0¢
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Победа
No$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?Победа
Yes$79 @ 80.0¢
Pacers vs. PelicansПобеда
Pelicans$15 @ 56.0¢
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?Поражение
No$6 @ 31.8¢
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$11 @ 22.0¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Trae Young be traded this season?Победа
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will "Sarah's Oil" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Поражение
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Поражение
No$1 @ 6.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Поражение
No$2 @ 34.0¢
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State CyclonesПоражение
Kentucky Wildcats$680 @ 34.0¢
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 12.2¢
Will Apple announce a touchscreen MacBook during the WWDC 2026 keynote?Победа
No$5 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 47°F or higher on November 21?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?Победа
No$273 @ 46.6¢
Wizards vs. HornetsПобеда
Hornets$7 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 3?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Elliot Anderson join Liverpool?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Stars vs. CanadiensПоражение
Canadiens$11 @ 53.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Победа
Yes$31 @ 62.9¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Победа
No$11 @ 55.0¢
Will Kanye visit Israel by December 31?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 3.1¢
Heat vs. MavericksПоражение
Heat$2 @ 19.0¢
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 14.0¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerПоражение
Weibo Gaming$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 21.5¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Победа
No$13 @ 63.5¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Победа
Hornets$10 @ 52.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Победа
Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 15.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Победа
Yes$24 @ 48.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Победа
No$72 @ 72.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$39 @ 19.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 4?Победа
No$12 @ 24.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Победа
No$23 @ 45.0¢

Недавние сделки

в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировки

Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Политика	Yes	$67	68.0¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Политика	No	$66	66.6¢
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Технологии	Yes	$26	26.4¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Крипто	No	$14	39.4¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Крипто	No	$5	15.8¢
Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?	Культура	No	$3	49.1¢

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Политика
Yes$67 @ 68.0¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Политика
No$66 @ 66.6¢
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Технологии
Yes$26 @ 26.4¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?Крипто
No$14 @ 39.4¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?Крипто
No$5 @ 15.8¢
Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?Культура
No$3 @ 49.1¢