0x8b01…24a9

Профи

Эдж

+16.7pp

ROI

+26%

Доля побед

78% @ 61.2¢

Brier

0.096

Сделок

399

Ср. размер

$62

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	30% (9/30)	+11%	30
Спорт	80% (8/10)	+43%	10
Other	10% (1/10)	-64%	10
Культура	50% (1/2)	+12%	2
Крипто	50% (1/2)	+19%	2
Технологии	100% (1/1)	+13%	1
Экономика	100% (1/1)	+1150%	1

Политика30 ставки
Попадания
30% (9/30)
ROI
+11%
Спорт10 ставки
Попадания
80% (8/10)
ROI
+43%
Other10 ставки
Попадания
10% (1/10)
ROI
-64%
Культура2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+12%
Крипто2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+19%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+13%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1150%

История результатов

39% попаданий · 22/56

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Поражение
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	$117	39.0¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	$67	28.1¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	$17	76.8¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Поражение
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	Yes	$26	51.0¢	Победа
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?	No	$4	18.0¢	Поражение
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	JD Gaming	$2	40.0¢	Победа
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	Team WE	$22	20.2¢	Поражение
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$374	52.0¢	Поражение
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$1.3k	57.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Поражение
Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$146	73.0¢	Победа
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	$12	5.0¢	Поражение
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	$18	89.2¢	Победа
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	FlyQuest	$89	89.0¢	Победа
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	$16	20.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	$7	72.0¢	Победа
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$600	88.2¢	Победа
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	$28	77.1¢	Победа
No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by September 30?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Победа
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$3.9k	61.4¢	Победа
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	$49	11.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	$49	21.5¢	Поражение
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	$1	6.0¢	Поражение
Republican Senate odds dip to 35% by October 31?	No	$1	7.0¢	Поражение
Republican Senate odds dip to 35% by October 31?	Yes	$18	88.2¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	No	$4	10.2¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$50	48.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$6.1k	83.8¢	Победа
LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	FlyQuest	$86	86.0¢	Победа
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	$34	30.8¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	$10	83.0¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$11.4k	82.8¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	$17	84.1¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Поражение
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	$13	66.0¢	Поражение
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	$76	76.0¢	Победа
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	JD Gaming	$39	19.5¢	Поражение
Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?	No	$11	11.4¢	Поражение
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$5	8.2¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Поражение
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Поражение
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	No	$0	0.2¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	$10	88.0¢	Победа
Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026?	Yes	$22	42.0¢	Поражение

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Поражение
No$117 @ 39.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Поражение
No$67 @ 28.1¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 76.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Победа
Yes$26 @ 51.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?Поражение
No$4 @ 18.0¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageПобеда
JD Gaming$2 @ 40.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsПоражение
Team WE$22 @ 20.2¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Поражение
No$374 @ 52.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Победа
Yes$1.3k @ 57.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$146 @ 73.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Поражение
No$12 @ 5.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Победа
Yes$18 @ 89.2¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageПобеда
FlyQuest$89 @ 89.0¢
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Поражение
No$16 @ 20.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?Победа
No$7 @ 72.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Победа
Yes$600 @ 88.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Победа
No$28 @ 77.1¢
No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by September 30?Победа
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Победа
No$3.9k @ 61.4¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Поражение
No$49 @ 11.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Поражение
No$49 @ 21.5¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Поражение
No$1 @ 6.0¢
Republican Senate odds dip to 35% by October 31?Поражение
No$1 @ 7.0¢
Republican Senate odds dip to 35% by October 31?Победа
Yes$18 @ 88.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?Поражение
No$4 @ 10.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$50 @ 48.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$6.1k @ 83.8¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageПобеда
FlyQuest$86 @ 86.0¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsПоражение
Invictus Gaming$34 @ 30.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Победа
No$10 @ 83.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Победа
No$11.4k @ 82.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?Победа
No$17 @ 84.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 66.0¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsПобеда
Invictus Gaming$76 @ 76.0¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsПоражение
JD Gaming$39 @ 19.5¢
Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Поражение
No$11 @ 11.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 8.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Поражение
No$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Победа
Yes$10 @ 88.0¢
Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 42.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$300	87.0¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Спорт	No	$191	99.7¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Спорт	Yes	$140	98.2¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Политика	No	$100	96.1¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	No	$100	93.6¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Спорт	No	$100	99.6¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Политика	No	$100	99.5¢
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Политика	No	$100	84.6¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Политика	Yes	$100	83.0¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Экономика	No	$100	99.2¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Спорт	No	$99	98.9¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Политика	No	$52	96.5¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	No	$20	86.4¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$20	71.6¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Экономика	No	$6	98.2¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Политика
Yes$300 @ 87.0¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Спорт
No$191 @ 99.7¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Спорт
Yes$140 @ 98.2¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Политика
No$100 @ 96.1¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
No$100 @ 93.6¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Спорт
No$100 @ 99.6¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Политика
No$100 @ 99.5¢
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Политика
No$100 @ 84.6¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Политика
Yes$100 @ 83.0¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Экономика
No$100 @ 99.2¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Спорт
No$99 @ 98.9¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Политика
No$52 @ 96.5¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
No$20 @ 86.4¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технологии
Yes$20 @ 71.6¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Экономика
No$6 @ 98.2¢