0x882b…a746

Профи

Эдж

+3.8pp

ROI

+8%

Доля побед

49% @ 45.7¢

Brier

0.140

Сделок

1196

Ср. размер

$10

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	46% (11/24)	-0%	24
Other	41% (9/22)	+58%	22
Геополитика	33% (1/3)	-92%	3

Политика24 ставки
Попадания
46% (11/24)
ROI
-0%
Other22 ставки
Попадания
41% (9/22)
ROI
+58%
Геополитика3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
-92%

История результатов

43% попаданий · 21/49

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$32	63.8¢	Победа
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	$37	38.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$80	58.1¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	59.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$9	86.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$54	0.2¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$53	89.0¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	$3	1.6¢	Поражение
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$595	80.6¢	Поражение
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	$1	3.8¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	Yes	$31	78.0¢	Победа
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$36	89.8¢	Победа
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$301	37.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$807	62.2¢	Победа
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$3	0.8¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$252	74.1¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$45	78.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	$78	19.2¢	Поражение
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	$209	83.6¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	$34	74.9¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$196	0.7¢	Поражение
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	$8	82.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$191	37.1¢	Поражение
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	$14	67.0¢	Поражение
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$21	82.2¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$50	66.7¢	Поражение
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	$2	5.9¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$5	52.0¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$509	73.5¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	$50	18.6¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	$5	89.8¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	$111	69.6¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	$2.4k	77.3¢	Победа
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	$32	8.2¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$161	77.4¢	Победа
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	$21	1.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$1.0k	64.9¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$79	37.9¢	Поражение
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$11	79.9¢	Победа
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	$1.9k	43.2¢	Победа
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	$76	54.4¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$4	9.0¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	$99	36.3¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	$533	88.8¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$11	75.6¢	Победа
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$10	51.0¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$1.4k	77.6¢	Победа

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Победа
No$32 @ 63.8¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Поражение
Yes$37 @ 38.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$80 @ 58.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.7k @ 59.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Победа
No$9 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$54 @ 0.2¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?Победа
Yes$53 @ 89.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Поражение
No$3 @ 1.6¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
Yes$595 @ 80.6¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Поражение
No$1 @ 3.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Победа
Yes$31 @ 78.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Победа
No$36 @ 89.8¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$301 @ 37.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$807 @ 62.2¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Поражение
No$3 @ 0.8¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$252 @ 74.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$45 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Поражение
No$78 @ 19.2¢
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Победа
Yes$209 @ 83.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Победа
No$34 @ 74.9¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Поражение
No$196 @ 0.7¢
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Поражение
No$8 @ 82.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Поражение
Yes$191 @ 37.1¢
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Поражение
No$14 @ 67.0¢
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$21 @ 82.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 66.7¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Поражение
No$2 @ 5.9¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Поражение
No$5 @ 52.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Победа
Yes$509 @ 73.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 18.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Победа
No$5 @ 89.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Поражение
Yes$111 @ 69.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Победа
No$2.4k @ 77.3¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Поражение
Yes$32 @ 8.2¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$161 @ 77.4¢
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Поражение
No$21 @ 1.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Победа
No$1.0k @ 64.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$79 @ 37.9¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Победа
Yes$11 @ 79.9¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Победа
No$1.9k @ 43.2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Поражение
Yes$76 @ 54.4¢
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 9.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Поражение
Yes$99 @ 36.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Победа
No$533 @ 88.8¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Победа
Yes$11 @ 75.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Поражение
No$10 @ 51.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Победа
Yes$1.4k @ 77.6¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Политика	No	$152	76.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Политика	No	$51	42.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	—	No	$44	44.4¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?	—	Yes	$41	37.1¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	—	Yes	$29	20.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$27	17.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?	—	Yes	$20	14.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?	—	Yes	$17	15.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?	—	Yes	$7	15.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	—	Yes	$7	44.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$6	20.0¢
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?	—	Yes	$6	70.5¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?	—	Yes	$5	18.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026?	—	Yes	$5	14.3¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$5	5.0¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	—	Yes	$5	0.7¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026?	—	Yes	$3	29.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?	—	Yes	$2	15.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	14.0¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Политика
No$152 @ 76.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Политика
No$51 @ 42.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?—
No$44 @ 44.4¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?—
Yes$41 @ 37.1¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?—
Yes$29 @ 20.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?—
Yes$27 @ 17.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?—
Yes$20 @ 14.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?—
Yes$17 @ 15.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?—
Yes$7 @ 15.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?—
Yes$7 @ 44.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?—
Yes$6 @ 70.5¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?—
Yes$5 @ 18.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026?—
Yes$5 @ 14.3¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Политика
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?—
Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026?—
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?—
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢